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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 12. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.
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Panthers @ Dolphins: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Tua Tagovailoa less than 225.5 passing yards and Cam Newton more than 185.5 passing yards
Tua has hit this total in three of his previous five games, but he is going to have his hands full in this game. Over the previous four games, the Panthers have allowed quarterbacks to pass for an average of just 134 yards per game, which is ranked number one in the league. They also have not allowed a quarterback to throw for over this total since Week 6 when Kirk Cousins got them for 337 yards. Tua also does not have meant weapons healthy and may struggle to find reliable receivers in this game.
Cam returned to Carolina as the starting quarterback last week against Washington and promptly threw for 189 passing yards in a tough loss. This week, he should have his feet under him a bit more and gets to face a Miami defense that has allowed an average of 234 passing yards per game to the quarterback position over their previous four games. They have also allowed just over 54 rushing yards per game to running backs over that span, so Christian McCaffrey could find it a bit tough to get going in the run game and may find more success through the air.
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Steelers @ Bengals: Rush Hour Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Najee Harris and Joe Mixon to combine for more than 202.5 rushing yards
Harris has averaged over 22 carries per game in his previous six games and has also averaged nearly 83 rushing yards per game over that span. He is an absolute horse and will be facing a Bengals defense that has allowed running backs to average nearly 104 rushing yards per game over their previous three games while also giving up a ridiculous 5,5 yards per carry. Harris should see a steady diet in this one and can certainly carry the load in this contest.
Joe Mixon is fresh off a 30 carry game with the Bengals coming and saying they need to rely more on the run. Over his previous six games, Mixon has averaged over 16 carries per game and 68 rushing yards per game and is fresh off a 123-yard performance last week. The Steelers have allowed running backs to average 112 rushing yards per game over their previous four games while also allowing nearly five yards per carry over that span. If the Bengals are serious about running the ball, this appears like the perfect game to test that philosophy.
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Vikings @ 49ers: More or Less Contest
Recommended Prop Pick:
Deebo Samuel more than 80.5 receiving yards and Justin Jefferson more than 79.5 receiving yards
Samuel could be in line for a monster game in this one as he has seen an average of nearly 90 receiving yards per game over his previous five games. He will be facing a Vikings defense that has allowed wide receivers to absolutely torch them as they have given up nearly 238 receiving yards per game over their previous four games. This feels like a tremendous spot for the Niners' top wide receiver and he should be considered for DFS in all formats.
Justin Jefferson is fresh off a 167 receiving yard performance against the Packers last week and should be in line for another solid performance this week. He has gone over this total in each of his previous two games and three of his previous five games. Meanwhile, the Niners have allowed wide receivers to average nearly 162 receiving yards per game over their previous four games.
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