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Scott Cullen provides his MLB DFS prop picks for September 30th, 2020 on Monkey Knife Fight. Make your DFS picks with his fantasy baseball advice.
The Major League Baseball playoffs are in full swing and with eight games going Wednesday there will be many opportunities to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.
With so many games on the schedule, you can pick and choose the numbers that make the most sense to you.
Here are some angles to consider for the full slate of MLB playoff games on Monkey Knife Fight:
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STAR SHOOTOUT - EARLY GAMES
MORE OR LESS
Jose Berrios MORE THAN 4.5 STRIKEOUTS
After a slow start to the season, the Twins starter rounded into form and he recorded at least five strikeouts in five of his last seven starts in the regular season. The Astros did have the lowest strikeout rate (19.7%) in the league this year but Twins starter Kenta Maeda whiffed five in five innings in Game One.
Jason Heyward MORE THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS
The veteran Cubs outfielder had a strong season, which included a .392 on-base percentage and .848 OPS. He reached base multiple times in 24 of 50 games in which he appeared. Going against the Brewers, that’s enough opportunity to like Heyward to reach base twice.
Alex Bregman LESS THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS
It was a down season for Bregman and he managed to reach base multiple times in 17 of 42 games in which he appeared this season.
RAPID FIRE
Ian Happ +0.5 hits + walks vs. Anthony Rizzo
Happ has been surprisingly productive for the Cubs and his .361 on-base percentage is better than Rizzo’s .342 OBP. That’s not a huge difference in one game but it’s also enough reason to like Happ as the underdog.
Kyle Tucker +0.5 runs + RBI vs. Jesus Aguilar
This is a close matcup, without the underdog getting an extra half run + RBI. Tucker is averaging 1.29 runs plus RBIs per game this season while Aguilar is averaging 1.27 per game. Getting that half run as an underdog makes Tucker the easy choice.
TORONTO-TAMPA BAY
MORE OR LESS
Tyler Glasnow MORE THAN 7.5 STRIKEOUTS
Even if the Toronto Blue Jays have a better-than-average strikeout rate, and they do, Glasnow has been a strikeout machine, recording at least eight strikeouts in seven of his past eight starts.
RAPID FIRE
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. -0.5 fantasy points vs. Travis Shaw
Gurriel is one of the most reliable bats in the Blue Jays lineup, had an .882 OPS this season, and had a couple of hits in Game One. Shaw had a .717 OPS this season which is pretty low-end for a major league regular.
N.Y. YANKEES-CLEVELAND
MORE OR LESS
Carlos Carrasco LESS THAN 6.5 STRIKEOUTS
Carrasco is a quality starter and averaged 6.8 strikeouts per start which probably isn’t enough to like him for at least seven against a Yankees team that has a low strikeout rate (21.7%) and already crushed Cleveland ace Shane Bieber in Game One.
Masahiro Tanaka MORE THAN 4.5 STRIKEOUTS
While Tanaka isn’t an ace starter, he has had five consecutive starts with at least five strikeouts (including four straight starts with precisely five) and might as well ride that streak against a suspect Cleveland lineup.
D.J. LeMahieu MORE THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS
The American League batting champion had a .421 on-base percentage this season so in four plate appearances, the lean would be towards going over 1.5 hits plus walks but if he gets to the plate five times, LeMahieu really should be able to reach base a couple of times.
Jose Ramirez MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES
The most dangerous bat in the Cleveland lineup, Ramirez had a career-high .607 slugging percentage this season. If he gets at least four at-bats, he should absolutely finish with multiple total bases.
RAPID FIRE
Aaron Judge -0.5 fantasy points vs. Aaron Hicks
Both Yankees outfielders are productive players but Judge has a much higher ceiling. During the season, Judge had an .891 OPS while Hicks had a solid .793 OPS. Judge is also hitting higher in the Yankees lineup (second in the order in Game One against Cleveland) so take the better hitter who has a better chance to get to the plate more often.
MILWAUKEE-LOS ANGELES
MORE OR LESS
Walker Buehler LESS THAN 5.5 STRIKEOUTS
As good as Buehler is, he has had some injury issues and hasn’t been going very deep into games, going six innings just once. That makes it a little difficult to bank on at least six strikeouts, even against a Brewers lineup that has a higher strikeout rate (26.6%).
Christian Yelich MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES
The star Brewers outfielder got off to a terrible start to the season but has gradually been coming around. If the Brewers are going to do anything in the postseason, they will need Yelich to produce as he has in the past.
Corey Seager MORE THAN 1.5 TOTAL BASES
The Dodgers shortstop had an outstanding season, the best of his career, which included a .585 slugging percentage. If he gets at least four at-bats, he should be expected to accrue at least a couple of bases.
Cody Bellinger LESS THAN 1.5 HITS + WALKS
This was a strangely ineffective season for Bellinger, and his .333 on-base percentage doesn’t fit easily with reaching base multiple times in a single game.
