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This weekend features an exciting Cup Series race at Atlanta Motor Speedway in Georgia. Qualifying has already been completed at it looks like Chase Elliott, Aric Almirola, Joey Logano, Kyle Busch, and Clint Bowyer will make up the top-5 to start the race. MKF has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).
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We'll be helping you along every day and night where there's a race, by providing you with expert prop picks all NASCAR season long here at RotoBaller.
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Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Kevin Harvick OVER 19.5 Fantasy Points and Chase Elliott UNDER 19.5 Fantasy Points
We are back to a larger sized track this week and on most DFS sites, that means that the laps led bonus will be slightly less essential than it was last week on the Bristol Motor Speedway short-track. However, the MKF format makes it so that regardless of track length, factoring in laps led is essential.
Kevin Harvick has been excellent at Atlanta Motor Speedway over the past seven years. In those seven races, he has only one finish out of the top-10, has one win, and one runner-up. Starting in ninth-place has nearly no negative impact on him and Harvick can be expected to get up close to the lead extremely early in this race. According to the RotoBaller Premium Research Station, Harvick has the highest projection for laps led and finish position. As long as Harvick can stay in the race and finish within the top-10, he has a great chance of breaking through 19.5 fantasy points.
As for Chase Elliott, he has not been all that great at Atlanta Motor Speedway. In order for Harvick to surpass 19.5 fantasy points, he would need a top-5 finish and at least 50 laps led. Due to the fact that he is starting in pole position, it can be expected that he'll lead right around 50 laps or so. However, his 19th-place finish last year and a 10th-place finish in 2018 do not make it easy to believe he'll get that top-5 finish this year. As long he remains under 100 laps led, expect Elliott to hit the UNDER more often than not.
Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
Pick 2: Rapid Fire Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Kevin Harvick (-0.5) and Brad Keselowski (+1.5)
This is my favorite prop pick that MKF is offering this week. A Rapid Fire, two for two, that pays out at 3x your buy-in. Sign me up!
The first part of the prop pick is explained above. Harvick seems to be set-up a lot better than Elliott to lead more laps and finish the race in a higher position.
As for the second part, this is where it becomes interesting. Simply put, Kyle Busch is an elite driver and can win a race any given week. Busch won at Atlanta in 2013 and since then has had three other top-10 finishes. He comes into the race among the leaders in odds to win the race and second in odds for a top-10 finish. However, Keselowski has been scorching hot of late, and betting against him just doesn't seem right.
His two wins over the last three Cup Series races should be enough evidence to convince you that he has just as good a chance of winning this race as anyone but if it doesn't, hopefully, this will. His last three outings at Atlanta Motor Speedway have been a win in 2017, a runner-up in 2018, and a win last year. On top of all that, he is a 1.5 fantasy point underdog.
Play the Rapid Fire Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
Pick 3: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/3)
Recommended Prop Pick: Kevin Harvick OVER 19.5 Fantasy Points, Chase Elliott UNDER 19.5 Fantasy Points, Kyle Busch UNDER 18.5 Fantasy Points
I have already talked about all the drivers in this prop bet. This is just more of an introduction to the different types of contests that MKF offers. This contest, rather than having to get every piece of the puzzle correct, only requires you to get two of the three correct for 1.5x your buy-in.
For those more familiar with other DFS sites, this contest is more similar to cash formats (head to heads or double-ups) and the contests above are more like tournament formats. So, moving forward, always feel free to find some lower-risk contest like this one to utilize the drivers talked about!
Next race, I'll introduce you to some more of the high-risk, high-reward options that MKF offers!
Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
More NASCAR DFS
Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups, including this weekly YouTube video:
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