Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Likely to Regress to the Mean at Michigan
Source: Racing Reference

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June 8, 2025
Although Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has been one of the most anonymous drivers of the season, he still quietly remains in the playoff hunt since he has been much less crash-prone this year. His only DNF came when Carson Hocevar wrecked him out last week at Nashville, which resulted in Hocevar overtaking Stenhouse by two points for 17th. Stenhouse will probably begin to fade from the playoff picture this week at Michigan, a track where he has only finished better than 12th once and has only led two laps, even though those came in last year's race. His 30th-place starting position doesn't bode well, and it feels like he has been running worse than he is finishing, with a regression to the mean likely. Stenhouse is probably only worth starting if you think he will benefit from a wild pit strategy, but that's very difficult to predict.--Sean Wrona - RotoBaller
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