Week 11 NFL DFS Prop Picks for MNF - Over/Under Prop Picks on Sleeper.com

November 19, 2023

Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 11 Monday Night Football (November 20, 2023). Use Dan's NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on Sleeper.

Welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 11 Monday Night Football: Eagles vs. Chiefs. Last week’s MNF picks finished 1-2, bringing our season record to 14-6 (70%). 

Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting -- there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are a few of our favorite prop picks for MNF on Sleeper DFS.

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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 11 Monday Night Football

A.J. Brown OVER 7.5 Receptions

Brown has been on an absolute tear this year as the WR2 in PPR through 10 weeks, including top-seven performances in five of his last six games. With Dallas Goedert out of the mix for the foreseeable future, the A.J. Brown pass funnel that has been on display for the last seven weeks shows no sign of stopping. 

Brown has the third-best individual matchup of the week, according to PFF (90.9 matchup advantage). The Chiefs play man coverage at a top-10 rate, which bodes particularly well for the fifth-year receiver, who ranks first in PFF receiving grade and fantasy points per route run against man. 

Skyy Moore OVER 1.5 Receptions

Despite largely underwhelming this season, Moore has a great chance to exceed his receptions total this week. In a rematch of last season’s Super Bowl against the formidable Eagles, the Chiefs will likely have to rely on their receivers to exploit weaknesses in the Philadelphia secondary.

Moore has hit two receptions in four of his last five games despite averaging a 53.3% catch rate so far this season, a stark dip from his 66.7% catch rate from a season ago. 

PFF also ranks the Eagles as the fifth-easiest matchup for receivers this week. They have given up the second-most fantasy football points against on the season, including eight catches for 106 yards and a touchdown from Commanders WR Jahan Dotson in Week 8.

Jerick McKinnon UNDER 2.5 Receptions

McKinnon’s usage has diminished this season (only one game above 40% of the Chiefs' offensive snaps), coinciding with Isiah Pacheco’s increased third down and passing game participation. He has two catches or less in three straight games and has only surpassed that total once in his last six. 

Rotoballer's Proptimizer tool agrees with the under, giving it a 17.4% edge with a Sharp App projected line of 1.8 receptions. With more opportunities being fed to the likes of Rashee Rice and Justin Watson, McKinnon hasn’t been needed in the passing game. Expect that to continue this week.

Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.

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