Sleeper.com NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Week 11 Sunday Night Football

November 18, 2023

Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 11 Sunday Night Football (November 19, 2023). Use Dan's NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on Sleeper.

Welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 11 Sunday Night Football: Vikings vs. Broncos. Last week’s SNF picks swept 3-0, bringing our season record to 10-11. Let’s get back above .500 this week.

Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting -- there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are a few of our favorite prop picks for SNF on Sleeper DFS.

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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 11 Sunday Night Football

Javonte Williams OVER 67.5 Rushing Yards

Williams has exceeded this total in three straight games and has looked impressive doing it. After being eased back into the backfield early in 2023, the third-year back is averaging 21 carries per game and 82 rushing yards in his last three contests. 

 With an offensive line that ranks 13th in the NFL according to PFF, the Broncos have a great opportunity to win in the trenches this week. As two-point favorites against the Vikings, the Broncos should look to establish the run and win the time-of-possession battle with Williams as the focal point of the offense now that his knee is returning to form.

Samaje Perine UNDER 2.5 Receptions

Perine has been slowly ceding snaps to RBs Javonte Williams and rookie Jaleel McLaughlin as the season has progressed. With Williams looking more like his 2022 self in recent weeks and McLaughlin impressing in limited opportunities, Perine’s time on the field has been diminishing. 

The sixth-year back has averaged 24.75% of snaps over his last four weeks after tallying an average of 46.4% snaps per game between Weeks 1-5. The Vikings have given up the second-most receptions this season, however, the majority of this production has been to the wide receiver position. They have held running backs to 12 receiving yards or fewer in seven of ten games. 

Rotoballer’s Proptimizer supports this bet with a slight 3% edge based on a Sharp App projected line of 2,1 receptions. Perine’s shrinking workload makes him a long shot to reach his receptions total on Sunday.

Joshua Dobbs OVER 31.5 Rushing Yards

Dobbs has quickly become a fan favorite in recent weeks after leading the Vikings to thrilling victories in his first two games with the team. His ability to extend plays with his legs has been his biggest asset this year, and it has shown on the stat sheet. Dobbs is second among QBs in rushing this year with 368. He has surpassed 31 yards on the ground in four of his last five games, giving his rushing prop a high likelihood of returning value this week. 

With Alexander Mattison unlikely to play due to concussion, it will be the Ty Chandler show in the Minnesota backfield this week. With a banged up running back room, this week Minnesota will likely rely on Dobbs dropping back even more than their 63.9% average in passing play percentage (fourth in the NFL).

Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.

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