BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~117 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~142
ANALYSIS:
Even though the offseason departures of JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman Jr. have extricated both wide receivers from Kansas City’s depth chart, the prospective target distribution among the Chiefs’ remaining arsenal of receivers has been difficult to predict. The situation also remains unclear after Kadarius Toney sustained a torn meniscus during Kansas City's first day of training camp.
Toney’s absence has created an opportunity for one of Kansas City's wide receivers to function as a reliable second option behind Travis Kelce. Skyy Moore's ability to operate from the slot could also launch him into a role that replicates JuJu Smith-Schuster's responsibilities last season when Smith-Schuster lined up inside on 47.3% of his routes.
Rookie Rashee Rice, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Richie James, Justyn Ross, and Justin Watson could all enter into the equation as training camp continues. But Moore's development as a route-runner and his potential for accumulating yardage after the catch have positioned him as the primary beneficiary of increased targets during Toney's latest absence.
Even though the escalating ADPs have altered the cost of securing Moore, he still remains undervalued. It could be a consequence of lingering disappointment surrounding his numbers during 2022. He was relegated to a 29% snap share last season while failing to exceed a 30% share in 10 different matchups. He was also limited to just 22 receptions (1.4 per game) and 250 receiving yards (15.6 per game).
He operated from the slot on 54% of his routes but was a distant fifth among Kansas City’s wide receivers with 143 routes run. However, there is a legitimate reason for optimism that Moore will be entrusted with a more substantial role. General manager Brett Veach was incentivized to select Moore with the 54th overall pick of the 2022 NFL Draft, following a collegiate career in which he eclipsed 800+ yards as a true freshman at Western Michigan. He later collected 95 receptions and generated 1,292 yards during his final season as a Bronco (2021). He also got the highest receiving grade from PFF among all wide receivers who played in a Group of Five Conference.
Moore will now operate with a full year of development in Andy Reid’s potent offense and appears to be the most viable candidate to collect targets while functioning from the slot. His prospects of generating numbers that surpass the expectations of his ADP should compel you to prioritize him when your drafts enter the double-digit rounds.
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