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This Thursday, we have two teams that both appear to have surprising records. With Will Levis now commanding the Titans, we'll find out if his four touchdowns were just a flash in the pan. As for the Steelers, we still don't know if it will be Kenny Pickett or Mitch Trubisky on Thursday.
Last week, we dropped two prop articles and finished 7-4 on our selections, building on our 23-16 total. In light of the MLB playoffs, if we can manage to start hitting above 500, I’d be very happy. I’m hoping we can find some gems in this early slate of games.
My name is Ellis Johnson and I have been writing for RotoBaller for four years. You can catch my weekly Fantasy Pie Shop articles on RotoBaller (trust me, it’s as fun as it sounds). RotoBaller is coming out with weekly DFS plays and lots of great analysis with their DFS pass. Be sure to check it out as the team has been crushing it so far this year!
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Derrick Henry (RB, TEN)
Over 0.5 rushing yards
A Sleeper special here. Just to ice the cake a little, we have Henry over 0.5 rushing yards available on Sleeper. Now that’s easy money right there.
DeAndre Hopkins (WR, TEN)
Over 50.5 receiving yards
It’s only a one-week sample size, but oh my Will Levis helped Hopkins turn back the clock. There’s not a lot that’s normal about Levis, but normally, young QBs love big targets with a large catch radius. That’s exactly what Hopkins is on this offense.
Plus, Hopkins gets to take on a Steelers secondary that has been struggling and now lost Minkah Fitzpatrick for this game. Since Week 3, the Steelers have allowed the second-most yards to the position and the third-most fantasy points. I expect Hopkins will easily have enough volume to pass this threshold this week.
Nick Folk (K, TEN)
Over 1.5 made field goals
I hope I am not jinxing it, but Folk has yet to miss a kick this season. Last week, with Will Levis only passing touchdowns, Folk converted all four extra-point attempts. However, I’m all for Levis being great, but you don’t go into Pittsburgh and pass for four bomb touchdowns. Trust me, as a Bengals fan, I have seen how hard it is to play in Pittsburgh.
As a result, I think this game screams low scoring with lots of field goals. Currently, the weather is expected to be cool, with mild winds. As a result, I expect Levis will do enough to put this team in field goal range a few times this Thursday.
Chris Boswell (K, PIT)
Over 1.5 made Field Goals
You know we have a burner of a matchup when I’m selecting two overs on kicker props. Much like Folk, Boswell has been money this season. His first missed kick was last week when he attempted a 61-yarder to head into halftime. Personally, I think I’ll forgive him for that one.
This Titans secondary is abysmal, and with only the pass rush to really worry about, I am sure either Mitch Trubisky or Kenny Pickett will find a way to move the ball. So far this season, this Steelers team has not been known for scoring touchdowns, opening the door for Boswell to continue his great season.
Diontae Johnson (WR, PIT)
Over 4.5 receptions
Johnson is back and healthy (hopefully). Since their bye week, Johnson has averaged 10 targets per game. Regardless of who is under center, both of these QBs love to feed Johnson the ball.
The Titans are known for their defensive line, limiting opposing RBs to the third-fewest rushing yards per game. As a result, the Steelers are going to be under pressure and forced to pass more than they would like. I expect lots of these short targets will find their way to Johnson, easily setting the table for at least five receptions in this game.
Thanks for reading. Check out my prop picks for the Sunday games later this week!
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Disclaimer: Please gamble responsibly. I am writing this as a thought-provoking guide that can hopefully help individuals make their own decisions.
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