X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

MLB DFS Prop Picks for Monday, October 12th - Monkey Knife Fight

Sam Chinitz presents his expert MLB DFS prop picks for Monday, October 12th. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.

The MLB playoffs are now well underway, and Monday features a pair of intriguing ALCS games. Although full-season fantasy leagues have been finished for more than a week now, fantasy players still have opportunities to make money with DFS.

Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, MLB DFS games in the industry. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.

The Astros vs. Rays props are too close to call for my taste, but the Braves vs. Dodgers game features props worth considering. I'll be making MKF picks every Monday, so check back again next week for more opportunities.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Hit Parade

Freddie Freeman, Dansby Swanson, Cody Bellinger more than 3.5 total hits

Freddie Freeman: 

53 batters have seen at least 100 fastballs above 96 mph since the beginning of last season, and none have posted a higher xwOBA against those pitches than Freddie Freeman (.504). Dropping that qualifier to 50 pitches expands the sample to 254 batters, and Freeman still ranks in the top-five, making him one of the best (if not the best) power-fastball hitter in baseball. Freeman will face off against a pitcher with a 97 mph average fastball velocity in Walker Buehler, and Buehler throws the pitch 54% of the time. Combined with the fact the Freeman has been arguably the best hitter in the National League with a resume that includes a .462 OBP that’s well-supported by a .341 xBA, a 28% chase rate, and an 8.5% swinging-strike rate, and Freeman’s relatively favorable matchup against Walker Buehler gives him a solid chance of reaching base multiple times on Monday. 

Dansby Swanson:

If Freddie Freeman is the league’s best high-velocity fastball hitter, Dansby Swanson isn’t far behind. Since the start of 2019, Swanson has posted a .302 xBA and a .710 xSLG against fastballs faster than 96 mph, good for a top-10 xBA among hitters who have seen at least 100 of those pitches. Swanson also owns a 9.8% swinging-strike rate and 22.8% chase rate against curveballs (Buehler’s best pitch by swinging-strike rate), and that strength should help insulate Swanson from strikeouts on Monday. All of that means that Swanson should pick up a hit or two on Monday, making him a solid addition to this prop.

Cody Bellinger:

Cody Bellinger feasts on fastballs outside of the strike zone. Only 11 hitters posted an xBA above Bellinger’s .309 mark against fastballs outside of the strike zone this season (min. 100 results), and his matchup against Braves starting pitcher Max Fried is favorable in that regard as Fried threw his fastball 42% of the time this season with more than half of those coming outside of the strike zone. A lefty-on-lefty matchup with Fried isn’t ideal for Bellinger, but the platoon shouldn’t have too much of an impact on Bellinger’s production. Indeed, Bellinger’s xBA against fastballs outside of the strike zone from southpaws sits .264 since he entered the league in 2017  -- still good for a top-30 mark this season better than any other hitter on the Dodgers. Combined with the fact that Bellinger is a generally excellent hitter who finished the season with a .339 xBA over his last 50 PA, Bellinger’s solid matchup makes him a strong fit for this prop.

 

Play the Hit Parade Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Khalil Shakir

Exits Practice Early on Friday
Brock Bowers

Misses Friday's Practice
Michael Wilson

Budda Baker Collide in Practice
Stefon Diggs

Impressing in Camp
Chris Godwin

Improving, Remains Without a Timetable
Jackson Chourio

Could be Out a Month
Aaron Judge

Yankees Eyeing Return for Aaron Judge Next Week
Tyreek Hill

Hasn't Fully Understood the Offense in the Past
Antonio Gibson

Won't Take Part in Friday's Scrimmage
Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys Sign La'el Collins
Joe Flacco

Sees Most of First-Team Work on Friday
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Misses Second Straight Practice
Justin Jefferson

Works With Trainers on Friday
Adonai Mitchell

Impresses in Practice
Saquon Barkley

in Line for More Receiving Work in 2025?
Juan Soto

Back in Lineup Against Giants
Mack Hollins

Patriots Have Big Plans for Mack Hollins?
Jalin Hyatt

Adds Weight Over the Offseason
Keenan Allen

Visiting Chargers on Friday
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Reinstated and Starting on Friday
George Springer

Goes on Concussion Injured List
Dyami Brown

"Explosive" in Jaguars Camp
James Proche II

Impressing in Titans Camp
Kyle Williams

"Up and Down" in Training Camp Practices
Dallas Cowboys

Micah Parsons Requests Trade Out of Dallas
Kenny Pickett

Returns to Practice in Limited Capacity
JoJo Romero

the Top Candidate for Saves in St. Louis
Nolan Arenado

Going on Injured List With Shoulder Injury
Conor McGregor

Enters UFC Testing Pool
Grayson Rodriguez

Considering Having Surgery
Devin Williams

Yankees Plan to Keep Devin Williams in Closer's Role
HyunSung Park

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Tatsuro Taira

Set For UFC Vegas 108 Main Event
Mateusz Rębecki

Mateusz Rebecki Looks For His Second Consecutive Win
Chris Duncan

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Elves Brener

Looks For His Fourth UFC Win
Esteban Ribovics

Set For UFC Vegas 108 Main Card Bout
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos Aims To Bounce Back
Karol Rosa

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Nora Cornolle

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Neil Magny

Returns At UFC Vegas 108
Kevin Vallejos

Set To Open Up UFC Vegas 108 Main Card
Danny Silva

Set For His Third UFC Fight
Mikal Bridges

Signs Extension with Knicks
Jackson Chourio

Expected to Go on Injured List With Hamstring Strain
Jonathan Aranda

Rays Hope Jonathan Aranda Can Return in September
Shelby Miller

Brewers Acquire Shelby Miller
José Caballero

Jose Caballero Shipped to the Bronx
Bailey Falter

Traded to Royals
Charlie Morton

Headed to Detroit
Camilo Doval

Yankees Acquire Camilo Doval
Griffin Jax

Traded to Tampa Bay
Connor McDavid

Oilers Hope to Finalize Connor McDavid's Contract Extension Soon
Willi Castro

Joining Cubs
BUF

Devon Levi Re-Signs With Sabres for Two Years
Merrill Kelly

Rangers to Acquire Merrill Kelly
Martin Pospisil

Signs Three-Year Extension
Ramón Laureano

Ramon Laureano Heading to San Diego
Ryan O'Hearn

Padres Acquire Ryan O'Hearn From Orioles
Dario Šarić

Dario Saric Hoping to Have Meaningful Role with Kings
Donte DiVincenzo

to Skip EuroBasket Due to Injury
Ayo Dosunmu

Set to Remain in Chicago
Malevy Leons

Signs Exhibit 10 Deal With Thunder
Daeqwon Plowden

Kings Pick Up Daeqwon Plowden on Two-Way Deal
Bryce McGowens

Signs Two-Way Deal with Pelicans
Jonathan Kuminga

Declines Latest Offers from Golden State
Gary Woodland

Eyeing Strong Finish to Reach Playoffs
Max McGreevy

Chasing a Miracle at Wyndham
Stephan Jaeger

a Solid Value Play at Wyndham Championship
Max Homa

Fighting to Salvage Disappointing Season
Nicolai Hojgaard

a Sleeper at Wyndham Championship
Rickie Fowler

Riding Quiet Momentum Into Wyndham
Brian Campbell

a Wild Card at Wyndham Championship
Akshay Bhatia

Looking to Flip the Script at Wyndham Championship
Aaron Rai

Finishes Tied For 34th at Open Championship
Andrew Novak

Finishes Tied For 63rd at Open Championship
Hideki Matsuyama

Finishes Tied For 16th at Open Championship
Kurt Kitayama

Wins 3M Open
Tom Kim

Finishes Tied For 28th at 3M Open
PGA

Sungjae Im Misses Cut at 3M Open
Max Greyserman

Misses Cut at 3M Open
Jordan Spieth

Looks to End Regular Season on a High Note at Wyndham Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Finishes Tied For Fourth at Open Championship
Eric Cole

Misses Cut at 3M Open
Keith Mitchell

Needs a Big Week at Wyndham Championship
Robert MacIntyre

is the Perfect Kind of Ball-Striker for Wyndham Championship
Charlie McAvoy

Ready to Go for Next Season
Dylan Samberg

Agrees to Three-Year Contract with Jets
Michael Kim

Needs More Solid Finishes
NBA

Thanasis Antetokounmpo Added to Greece Training Camp Roster for EuroBasket 2025
Los Angeles Clippers

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Waived by Clippers
Josh Green

May Not be Ready for Start of Hornets Training Camp
NBA

Thomas Bryant Set to Move to Greece
Cam Thomas

Nets Far Apart in Contract Talks
Kristaps Porzingis

Feeling "Great" Ahead of New Season
Chris Paul

Hints He Could Extend His Career Beyond the 2025-26 Season
Brandon Miller

Close to 100 Percent
Jayden Struble

Canadiens Lock Up Jayden Struble for Two Years
Robert Whittaker

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Reinier de Ridder

Gets Split-Decision Win
Conor Timmins

Avoids Salary Arbitration with Two-Year Deal
Marcus McGhee

Drops Decision At UFC Abu Dhabi
Toronto Raptors

Colin Castleton Waived by Raptors on Monday
Petr Yan

Extends Win Streak
Marc-Andre Barriault

Suffers Decision Loss
Shara Magomedov

Gets Back In The Win Column
Jose Ochoa

Dominated At UFC Abu Dhabi
MMA

Asu Almbayev Dominates At UFC Abu Dhabi
Kyle Larson

Falls Short of Back-To-Back Victories at Indianapolis
Denny Hamlin

Rallies Into Third Place At Indianapolis
Chase Briscoe

Pit Strategies End up Failing Chase Briscoe at Indianapolis
Ty Gibbs

Wins NASCAR's Inaugural In-Season Challenge Tournament
Ryan Preece

Finishes Fourth but Loses Ground to Playoff Cutline
Brad Keselowski

Has Good Strategy, but Not Enough to Win
Ryan Blaney

Bails from Hail Mary Strategy Attempt but Recovers to Finish Seventh
Tyler Reddick

Eliminated from Brickyard 400 in Crash After Top Five Run
Chicago Bulls

Billy Donovan Agrees to Contract Extension with Chicago
Erik Jones

Is Erik Jones Worth Rostering At Indianapolis This Week?
Carson Hocevar

Is Carson Hocevar Worth Rostering For Indianapolis DFS Lineups?
NASCAR

Could A.J. Allmendinger be A Solid Tournament DFS Option?
Zane Smith

Is a Respectable Value Option for Indianapolis Despite Low Experience
Cole Custer

Is A Solid Value Option for Indianapolis DFS Lineups
Riley Herbst

Is an Unfavorable DFS Option for Indianapolis Lineups
Zeev Buium

Aims for Big Role Next Season
NHL

Conor Sheary Signs Tryout Deal with Rangers
Denny Hamlin

an Easy DFS Target After Wreck in Qualifying
Arvid Soderblom

Agrees to Two-Year Deal with Blackhawks
Kyle Larson

Will Start 13th to Defend Brickyard 400 Crown
Chase Briscoe

on Pole for Brickyard as Momentum Continues to Build
Ryan Blaney

Learned a Lot in Practice at Indianapolis
Brad Keselowski

Should Be Very Strong at Indianapolis
NASCAR

Could Bubba Wallace Challenge for a Brickyard 400 Win on Sunday?
Ryan Preece

Don't Forget About Ryan Preece at Indianapolis