Farmers Insurance Open - Showdown Round 4 (Premium Content)

Spencer Aguiar digs into the third round of the Farmers Insurance Open, providing his DFS model to try and locate potential value as we enter the final day of the event.

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard.

While this article can normally be found behind the paywall portion of the RotoBaller website, we are offering it to you for free this week to take advantage of all the great information and tools available for your in-tournament research. If you like what you see, you can show your support by using the discount code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. That will give you 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022! We hope you enjoy this week's treat!

I am excited to announce that I will be providing a premium spreadsheet that can be accessed through the link below. Here you will find updated stats for the particular tournament - all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this piece is to provide an area where you can not only research the daily proceedings for DFS Showdown strategy but also potentially find outright additions or daily head-to-head wagers to add to your card after round 1.

I have included some advanced metrics that should pinpoint golfers that have underachieved or overachieved on a particular day and have added a feature that allows you to go back in and weigh your pre-tournament research. For the sake of how the sheet is set up behind the paywall, you will have to readjust your rankings once again in tab number 1 if you would like to incorporate that particular feature back into your daily research.

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Farmers Insurance Open

Check out Spencer's individual round sheets. Thursday's results will be added to round 1. Friday to round 2 and Saturday to round 3. All previous rounds are included in things you can research on the current day of action, which should help make all statistics easy to find! 

Top-15 Ball-Striking (South Course Only)

Top-15 Of Model (50% Pre-Tournament, 25% OTT+APP, 25% Score) 

50/50 Stats versus Pre-Tourney (No Score)

I don't love the model this week. We are missing a round of trackable data, but you can make your own interpretation when you make a copy of your own.

Round 4 Bets:

I am calling it an event on the head-to-head front. I likely will need a Jason Day victory to walk out of this week up anything, but I haven't liked how the model has performed outside of Thursday. Remember to remove some of the scoring data from the mix for head-to-head wagers if using my sheet. Keeping that in is much more pertinent for outright wagers. In most showdown contests or matchup bets, you want as much data as you can get into the fray. Scoring has little importance.

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— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020

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