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FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (5/05/17): MLB DFS Advice

The top FanDuel daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for 5/04/17 by Kevin Luchansky. Expert MLB DFS advice, sleepers & player recommendations for FanDuel.

Happy Cinco De Mayo my fellow daily fantasy friends! Let's kick off the weekend with some tequila, strikeouts and dingers. Sounds like a pretty good recipe for fun if you ask me. On deck tonight we have a 13 game Main slate that begins at 7:05, and FanDuel gives us an All Day slate option as well, which includes all 30 teams and begins at 2:20 Eastern. The majority of my picks will focus on the Main slate, but if there are any eye-popping stats among the four teams taking the field under the sun, I'll make mention of those as well.

Before we jump into my player selection analysis and rationale, let's see if we can gather any insights from the early lines Vegas has posted. As of right now, we have two teams featuring incredibly attractive run total projections. It should come as no surprise that these teams are competing at Coors Field today. The Diamondbacks (5.7) and Rockies (5.6) top the list, followed by the Red Sox (4.9), Orioles (4.8) and Reds (4.6). The heaviest moneyline favorites of the day - helping in identifying which cash game pitchers to target and which to fade - are the Nationals (-168), Orioles (-162) and the Indians (-161). Those aren't very big differentials compared to most days, but still something to consider.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel on 5/05/17. The DFS lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options, and of course, value playsLet's get rolling.

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Offensive Stacks

Baltimore Orioles versus Miguel Gonzalez

Gonzalez hasn't pitcher too poorly this season, but he's in for a rude awakening in this contest. The Orioles are projected with one of the highest run totals of the day (4.8) and Gonzalez, despite not getting blown up too hard just yet in 2017, doesn't have very strong indicating stats that he'd be able to maintain the success he's had. His strikeout numbers are well below average, his WHIP is less than ideal (1.2+) and he's allowed an opponent wOBA over .300 in his last three starts. What is extra attractive about this Orioles lineup is that they can get it done by stringing together hits or leaving the yard in back-to-back swings. They feature quite a few hitters in the top-to-middle of their order with ISO splits far over the league average, starting with Trey Mancini, Mark Trumbo, Adam Jones and Seth Smith.

 

Washington Nationals versus Nick Pivetta 

The Nationals get a nice park upgrade boost tonight and a date with Nick Pivetta. Both of those are positive things, and the Nationals lineup has been nothing but positive as well. Pivetta doesn't really have any major league stats worth throwing out there. In the few innings he's thrown this year, he has been hit very hard, but the sample size is small. What we can gather, though, is that he is going to be quite over-matched against a team that is hitting the ball in a class all my themselves. There are a number of Nationals hitters with great splits, so you'll have your pick of the litter. Personally, my Nationals stack will consist of: Daniel Murphy, Trea Turner, Bryce Harper and Anthony Rendon. Matt Wieters may be worth a share or two as well, depending on the construction of the rest of your lineup.

 

Also Consider: Arizona Diamondbacks versus German Marquez 

 

FanDuel DFS Pitchers

I have good news and bad news for you. Let's start with the good: there are a number of quality pitching options on the board tonight. Now for the bad news - you need to decide on one for cash games, and deciding between a few of these guys is like splitting hairs.

Yu Darvish - SP, at SEA ($10,600)

Determining the "safest" option to roll with today for cash game contests is tough to do. It's a good problem since we're not stuck using risky "tournament type" pitchers and elevating them into cash game roles as we did yesterday, but it can also lead to a lot of second guessing. The top choice for me is Yu, and it has a lot do with the the elite ceiling he possesses. He has been pretty fantastic this year as well, showing great consistency by surpassing his price implied value in three of his last four games. For tonight, he's a moneyline favorite and while the Mariners offense is a solid one, Darvish does get a pitcher's park upgrade with this game taking place in Seattle. He possesses elite strikeout upside (11.4 K/9 this season) and he has been pretty good in limiting base runners (1.1 WHIP). The Mariners run total projection of just 3.6 is pretty great relative to the rest of this Friday slate, and his 52% groundball rate over the last 15 days is attractive as well.

 

Kenta Maeda - SP, at SDP ($8,400)

If tournaments are more your cup of tea, Maeda is in a great spot for you tonight. This season he's shown big strikeout numbers (9.6 K/9) and while he has had some troubling starts (which will keep his ownership percentage at a more opportune number), he has the type of matchup against the Padres that is worth the risk. It's no secret that San Diego's offense has been pretty awful, and its also been pretty publicized that they have a strikeout problem - which is good for you and me rostering Maeda tonight. In fact, the Padres projected lineup tonight has struck out this season in nearly 28% of their at-bats versus right-handed pitching and the fact this game will be played in the super spacious Petco Park is even better for Maeda-backers.

 

Also Consider: Stephen Strasburg - SP, at PHI ($10,400)

 

FanDuel DFS Infielders

Yasmani Grandal - C, vs SDP ($2,700)

Outside of this game taking place in a park with big outfield dimensions, there isn't anything I don't love about the Yasmanian Devil in this matchup. The big catcher hits right in the middle of this potent Dodgers lineup and he's priced as a bargain - especially when you consider he's facing a right-hander and draws most of his power when he's standing on the left side of the plate. This season, he already has very impressive splits to showoff, starting with his .346 wOBA and a .270 ISO.

Also Consider: Manny Pina - C, at PIT ($2,700)

 

Freddie Freeman - 1B, vs STL ($4,500)

Is there anyone in baseball hotter than Freddie right now? He's literally killing it, and even with his price rising, he has still managed to surpass his price implied value in seven of the Braves' last 10 games. Tonight, he's a must play in cash game formats as he's got a good matchup and excellent splits to boot. Against right-handed pitching this season, Freeman has an incredible wOBA/ISO/Slugging% line of .446/.341/.666. The matchup is made a little more attractive thanks to Atlanta's new stadium being hitter friendly and Lance Lynn's terrible road splits.

Also Consider: Trey Mancini - 1B, vs CWS ($3,000)

 

Daniel Murphy - 2B, at PHI ($4,100)

Usually I want some exposure to the teams with the highest projected run totals - especially in cash game formats - and today is no different. The Nationals lineup has been incredible this season in pushing runs across the plate, and a big reason why is Murphy in the heart of their order. The lefty has been up to his usual ways this season, killing right-handed pitching to the tune of a .407 wOBA and a .248 ISO. His opponent, Nick Pivetta, is going to be quite over-matched in this one.

Also Consider: Ryan Schimpf - 2B, vs LAD ($3,100)

 

Jake Lamb - 3B, at COL ($4,600)

A steep price to pay? Sure. But I'm hard pressed finding anything not to love about Mr. Lamb and this Friday night matchup he has in front of him. The Diamondbacks are currently projected for the most runs of the day, Lamb hits in the middle of the order, and this game is taking place at Coors Field. The next wave of persuasion: he's facing a pretty mediocre and inexperienced pitcher in German Marquez and Marquez has allowed a .362 wOBA over the last 15 days. And finally, Lamb's splits are eye-popping: .381 wOBA and a .300 ISO.

Also Consider: Jedd Gyorko - 3B, at ATL ($3,200)

 

Aledmys Diaz - SS, at ATL ($3,000)

I really do love me some Aledmys Diaz. It seems that no matter how hot or cold he gets at the plate, he stays right around the $3k mark, and I dig that. Right now, he's starting to heat up, and he's in an opportune place, hitting in the two-hole for a team that is swinging it well and gets a park upgrade for tonight's contest. For the season, Diaz has shown really good reverse splits, posting a .347 wOBA and a .215 ISO against righties.

Also Consider: Carlos Correa - SS, at LAA ($3,800)

 

FanDuel DFS Outfielders

Cody Bellinger - OF, at SDP ($2,800)

My picks have leaned on the expensive side today, so I wanted to lead with value for my outfield guys. Make no mistake, on a huge contest day such as this, there is value to be had at every position. There just also happens to be really good matchups for some of the elite-priced players, and I'd being do an injustice not to point them out. Now, as for Bellinger, the kid is in a great spot. West coast ball players happen to go overlooked, so I love the leverage I think Bellinger and his teammates will possess tonight in San Diego, especially for tournaments. Bellinger is projected for the two-slot in this loaded lineup and in a short amount of time this season, he's been very strong against right-handed pitching, posting a .450 wOBA and a .350 ISO.

 

Jackie Bradley - OF, at MIN ($3,000)

I think Jackie Bradley could be one of the sneakiest and profitable plays of the evening. Since his return to the lineup, he's been hitting near the bottom of the order and this game is being played in a park - Minnesota - that's more pitcher friendly than the one JBJ plays half of his games in. All the aforementioned sound like minor red flags, but I think Bradley can take advantage of Phil Hughes tonight. Hughes has been pretty kind to opposing hitters, allowing a .361 opponent wOBA thus far and over 3 seconds of average air time on batted balls. Bradley possesses powerful splits against righties as well, showcased by his .253 ISO and .520 slugging percentage marks.

 

Mark Trumbo - OF, vs CWS ($3,200)

Big Mark is due tonight. He's been middling around this price range and just barely hitting value of late, but he's ready to pop. His splits against righties are very attractive - .360 wOBA, .286 ISO - and he's facing a fly ball pitcher that has allowed batted balls to fly an average of more than three second this season. Something has to give, and I think Trumbo busts out of his "slump" here.

 

Also Consider: Adam Jones - OF, vs CWS ($3,000)

 

MLB News & Injury Alerts

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Sam Merrill

Remains on Shelf Wednesday
Max Strus

Still Out Wednesday
Ayo Dosunmu

May Miss Another Game Wednesday
Brandon Clarke

Upgraded to Questionable on Injury Report
Cam Spencer

Unavailable Wednesday
Mike Conley

Remains Sidelined Wednesday
Zach LaVine

to Be Re-Evaluated in One Week
Mike Trout

Angels Open to Mike Trout Playing Center Field in 2026
Victor Wembanyama

Coming off the Bench on Tuesday Night
Rudy Gobert

Not on the Injury Report for Wednesday
Anthony Edwards

on the Injury Report Again for Wednesday Night
Ja Morant

Questionable for Wednesday's Meeting With Timberwolves
Saquon Barkley

Misses Practice With Stinger
RJ Harvey

Dealing With Rib Injury
Josh Jacobs

Intends to Play Against Bears on Saturday
Zach Bogosian

Misses Tuesday's Game
Marcus Johansson

Unavailable Tuesday
Artyom Levshunov

Scratched for Tuesday
Mathew Barzal

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Joseph Woll

Returns to Action Tuesday
Mike Matheson

Won't Play on Tuesday
Rasmus Ristolainen

Makes Season Debut Tuesday
Bam Knight

Cardinals Place Bam Knight on Injured Reserve
CFB

Kansas State's Jayce Brown Intends to Transfer
CFB

Nation's Leading Passer Drew Mestemaker to Enter Transfer Portal
Justin Crawford

Phillies Planning to Start Justin Crawford in Center Field
CFB

Jayden Maiava Signs New Deal to Return to USC
CFB

Aidan Mizell Won't Return to Florida, Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

East Carolina Targeting Jordan Davis as Next Offensive Coordinator
Patrick Mahomes

Targeting Week 1 Return in 2026
Cutter Gauthier

Scores Twice at MSG
CFB

Michigan QB Jadyn Davis Set to Enter Transfer Portal
CFB

Travis Williams Joining Texas A&M Defensive Staff
Tim Stützle

Tim Stutzle Records Three Assists in Dramatic Win
Filip Forsberg

Nets 11th Career Hat Trick
Sam Reinhart

Pots Two Goals Against Lightning
Darcy Kuemper

Hurt Versus Stars
Gustav Forsling

Injured in Monday's Win
Brandon Hagel

Makes Early Exit Monday
Cooper Flagg

Becomes Youngest 40-Point Scorer in NBA History
Victor Wembanyama

May Come Off the Bench Again Tuesday
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic to Undergo MRI Tuesday
Sam Hauser

Tweaks Left Ankle Monday
Peyton Watson

Not Expected to Be Out Long-Term
Ja Morant

Injures Ankle in Monday's Win
Darren Waller

Hauls in Two Touchdowns in Monday Night Loss
Brandon Clarke

Still Out Monday
Rome Odunze

Considered Week-to-Week With Foot Injury
James Harden

Officially Active on Monday Night
Ja Morant

to Remain Under Minutes Restriction Monday
James Harden

a Game-Time Call Monday
Davante Adams

Considered Week-to-Week With Hamstring Injury
Jaylen Warren

to Play Through Illness on Monday Night
Will Smith

Sharks Place Will Smith on Injured Reserve
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Expected to Return Before Christmas
Dylan Holloway

to Miss Six Weeks
Patrick Kane

Expected to Miss at Least Two Games
Quinton Byfield

Ruled Out for Monday
Mika Zibanejad

Won't Play on Monday
Connor Bedard

Out Until 2026
Bhayshul Tuten

to Miss a Few Weeks With Finger Injury
Joe Burrow

Will Start the Rest of the Season
Jayden Daniels

to be Shut Down for Final Three Games
Philip Rivers

Will Start Again in Week 16
Drake London

Falcons "Very Hopeful" Drake London Can Return in Week 16
CFB

Dylan Raiola Entering His Name into Transfer Portal
Micah Parsons

MRI Confirms Torn ACL for Micah Parsons
CFB

Cincinnati's Brendan Sorsby Plans to Transfer When Portal Opens
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia, Phillies Finalizing One-Year Deal on Monday
Jaylen Warren

Questionable for Monday Night Due to Illness
Bam Knight

has "Bad Sprain," Unlikely to Play in Week 16
Brandon Royval

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
CFB

Baylor, LSU, Miami Among Potential Suitors for DJ Lagway
CFB

Aidan Chiles Will Enter Transfer Portal
Manel Kape

Shines At UFC Vegas 112
New York Jets

Jets Fire Defensive Coordinator Steve Wilks
Kevin Vallejos

Gets Second-Round Knockout Win
Christian Watson

Avoids Long-Term Injury, Status for Week 16 Unclear
Giga Chikadze

Suffers His First Career Knockout Loss
CFB

Quarterback DJ Lagway Entering Transfer Portal
Cesar Almeida

Gets Dominated
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Wins Sixth Fight In A Row
Teddye Buchanan

Ravens Linebacker Teddye Buchanan Believed to Have Torn ACL
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Melquizael Costa

Gets First-Round Knockout Win
Marcus Buchecha

Still Winless In The UFC
Kennedy Nzechukwu

And Marcus Buchecha Fight To Draw
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Drops Decision In His UFC Debut
King Green

Gets Back In The Win Column
Dallas Goedert

has Third Two-Touchdown Game on Sunday
Kenley Jansen

Agrees to One-Year Deal With Tigers
Merrill Kelly

Returns to Diamondbacks on Two-Year Deal
Jorge Polanco

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Mets
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026
CFB

Washington State Expected to Hire Kirby Moore as Next Head Coach
CFB

Kyle Whittingham Stepping Down as Utah Head Coach
Manel Kape

Set For UFC Vegas 112 Main Event
Brandon Royval

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 112
Kevin Vallejos

Set For His Third UFC Fight
Giga Chikadze

In Dire Need Of Victory
Cesar Almeida

Set To Welcome Cezary Oleksiejczuk To The UFC
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Maikel Garcia

Royals Agree on Five-Year Extension
Melquizael Costa

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Looks to Win Second Consecutive Fights
Marcus Buchecha

Looks To Bounce Back
CFB

Sherrone Moore Charged with Home Invasion, Among Other Charges
CFB

Freddie Kitchens Fired from North Carolina Coaching Staff
CFB

Bryce Underwood Could Leave Michigan Without Buyout
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Padres Not Considering Trading Fernando Tatis Jr.
Tarik Skubal

Tigers Engaged in "Serious Talks" Around Trading Tarik Skubal at the Winter Meetings
CFB

Chris Brazzell II Declaring for NFL Draft
CFB

Fernando Mendoza Named AP College Football Player of the Year
Raisel Iglesias

to Remain the Braves Closer
Robert Suarez

Agrees on Three-Year Deal With Braves
CFB

Sherrone Moore Remains in Police Custody

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP