BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~95 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~120
ANALYSIS: To say that the 2022 season was a career year for Daniel Jones would be an understatement. His 18.4 FPPG (QB10) was his highest to date and was due in large part to his undervalued abilities as a running quarterback. He finished the season with 708 yards on the ground (QB5), which was almost as much as he had had the last two seasons combined.
Looking deeper into his passing numbers, he ranked low in most of the important categories. The Giants were 25th in the league in pass plays per game (30.6), which limited Jones to 15 passing touchdowns on the year (QB21) on only 472 attempts (QB14). With the limitations in the passing game, he ranked as the QB5 in accuracy rating (8.0) while exceeding his expected FPPG, which was only 17.1. He would have been QB14 on the season.
All of this led to a new four-year contract with the Giants as they head into the second year under Brian Daboll. Although the additions have been the ire of many jokes, the Giants have tried to better the offensive weapons at Jones's disposal.
Most important is the acquisition of big-bodied target Darren Waller, giving Jones a credible threat down the middle of the field and in the red zone. Once you look to the outside, it could be a guessing game week-to-week on who will be the most targeted receiver for the Giants between Isaiah Hodgins, Parris Campbell, Darius Slayton, or rookie Jalin Hyatt.
Add in the fact that the team was able to work a new deal with Saquon Barkley and Jones will have the best collection of talent to work with to date. The question with Jones when it comes to fantasy production will be if Daboll and the Giants put more emphasis on the progression of Jones as a passer and move away from the 50-50 run-to-pass ratio that we saw in 2022. If they can present him with more opportunities to score in 2023, then a repeat as a top-10 QB in FPPG could easily be within reach.
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