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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Championship Weekend's Games of the Fantasy Football season. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of on this special Championship Weekend edition between the Buccaneers at Packers and Bills at Chiefs.
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Bucs @ Packers
Recommended Prop Pick:
Davante Adams more than 87.5 receiving yards: While the Bucs were able to shut down Michael Thomas last week, I think that was an anomaly and Adams will have a solid day. The Bucs have struggled vs. wide receivers in recent weeks as they have allowed nine wide receivers to go over 80 receiving yards in their last nine games. Adams is an absolute beast as he averages nearly 11 targets per game. Adams has also averaged over 98 receiving yards per game and has also gone over 100 receiving yards seven times this season. The Bucs have a tremendously strong run defense as they ranked first in rushing yards allowed on the season, which tells me the Packers will have to rely on the passing game to move the ball and win this game. Adams will most certainly be a focal point on Sunday.
Aaron Rodgers more than 280.5 passing yards: As aforementioned, the Packers will likely have to move the ball through the air in this one to find success, which means Rodgers could be in line for a solid day. He has thrown for over 280 yards in 10 games on the season. The Bucs have also allowed seven quarterbacks to throw for over 280 passing yards on the season, including allowing Taylor Heinicke to throw for 306 passing yards in the Wild Card Round.
Chris Godwin more than 4.5 receptions OR more than 65.5 receiving yards: Godwin has been targeted 19 times in the previous two playoff games for the Bucs and has hauled in nine balls for 113 yards. He went for 79 yards and 34 yards respectively but would have been at 63 yards last week had a 29-yard touchdown review gone his way. This is a game where he should be targeted in a similar fashion as he is expected to be covered by Chandon Sullivan, who has struggled at times in the slot. The Packers as a whole have been strong against the pass, but this is a spot where they can be exploited and Godwin could also serve as a safety valve in this spot.
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Bills @ Chiefs
Recommended Prop Picks:
Travis Kelce more than 95.5 receiving yards: This prop is obviously dependent on Mahomes starting, but I would expect him to play Sunday :). Kelce is an absolute monster and is a matchup nightmare for the Bills. The Bills allowed the second-most receiving yards to tight ends on the season by allowing nearly 1,000 yards. Kelce has gone over 95.5 receiving yards in four of his previous five games and also hit 100 receiving yards in seven games this season, including a 109-yard performance last week against the Browns. I would expect the Chiefs to come out and look to exploit the Bills' deficiency here and Kelce should have a big day. I would also recommend Travis Kelce more than 20.5 fantasy points as the Bills have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to tight ends on the season and have allowed eight receiving touchdowns, which ranks 12th-worst in the league.
Stefon Diggs more than 97.5 receiving yards: Diggs has been performing at his peak in recent weeks and Josh Allen has been feeding him as noted by his double-digit targets in five of the Bills' previous seven games. He has gone over 100 receiving yards in each of the Bills' first two playoff games and has also hit 100 receiving yards in five of their last six games. The Chiefs have struggled a bit recently against wide receivers as they have allowed 100-yard receivers in two of their previous three games and also allowed 88 yards to Rashard Higgins just last week. Diggs is going to be heavily targeted in this game and I would expect him to be able to get over the hump. The fact that the Bills are slight dogs could also increase pass volume late in the game and Diggs would certainly benefit from that.
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