X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Finding Daily Fantasy Basketball Value Picks and NBA DFS Lineup Sleepers

By Keith Allison [CC-BY-SA-2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Dmetri looks at different NBA DFS statistics, to provide daily fantasy basketball tips and advice for DraftKings or FanDuel, and find lineup value picks and sleepers.

We often hear that baseball is a game of numbers. Well, all sports are. Basketball, like the others, is filled with statistics that are the building blocks used when forming trends. This is all very, very relevant to Daily Fantasy.

Any given player can break out on any given night, however, in attempting to string together consistency, trends are the most important thing to look at in doing so.

DvP, Defense vs. Position, is a vital statistic to observe constantly for Daily Fantasy, while affecting so many other categories that could reflect on an individual performance. It isn't exactly the easiest thing to keep track of, but luckily our guys at RotoBaller have put together an invaluable tool that calculates DvP daily, along with other extremely useful statistics that serve as an incredible aid when selecting DraftKings and FanDuel DFS lineups. Let's take a look at the tool's function, and what each category on the list entails.

 

Using DvP (Defense vs. Position) for DFS

As listed above, Defense vs. Position calculates how effective and ineffective teams defend each position. This category sorts through each player on the card for that day and ranks them using their opponent. This comes in handy particularly when picking sleepers, those who aren't necessarily a solid pick on a nightly basis. For example, Anderson Verajao and Timofey Mozgov are rarely reliable DFS options, but when facing the Los Angeles Lakers, the team ranked 30th (dead last) in guarding centers, their value increases quite a bit.

This feature also lets you narrow down a team's performance over the last 15 days, while giving you a look at their rankings from the prior season. Since injuries occur and teams often slump and streak, being able to observe a team's recent struggles allows you to hone in on an even more predictable outcome.

Average points allowed by a team vs. a specific position is also calculated here.

DvP

 

Using 'Projection/Value' for DFS

Who doesn't want an estimation of how many fantasy points a specific player could post? It's always comforting when experts are predicting which players they think will break out more than others. The projection category is RotoBaller's way of letting viewers and Daily Fantasy participants in on our top picks of the night.

Projection is paired with Value, calculated using a player's projection and comparing it to their price. This feature gives you a loud bang for your buck, considering it's another inside look at who we think is and isn't worth their price, while predicting which of the lower priced guys will reach or exceed projection.

Projection:Value

 

'Usage Rate' for DFS Lineups

Usage Rate has been dubbed by RotoBaller as "DFS crack sauce." And for good reason, as it is the most important factor in placing in DFS tournaments. This column measures the percentage of a team's possession a player "uses" while on the floor. To put it in simpler terms, Usage Rate measures how involved a player is in their teams offense when on the court. Ceilings, Floors, and Upsides can all be predicted using a player's Usage Rate.

Injuries also play a big role in calculating Usage Rate. Does James Harden's rate increase with Dwight Howard on or off the court? How will the injury to Jimmy Butler affect how much Pau Gasol is now used? Has Chris Paul become the heaviest source of production in the absence of Blake Griffin? These are all questions that can be answered by observing the Usage Rate of each player. DeMarcus Cousins and Harden have two of the highest Usage Rate's, 33.06 and 32.2.

Usage

 

More Statistics for DFS Lineups

Trend

This simply measures whether a player is hot or cold. (An arrow pointed either up or down is the indication)

Fantasy Points Per Game

This, along with the next couple, is self-explanatory, but what should also be stressed is the time it would take in doing the math yourself. Most of the time we're not necessarily searching for the best, but for consistency. This category helps you do so.

Minutes Per Game

Everybody wants to select guys that see plenty of the floor each night. Minutes per Game can be pinned against Fantasy Points per Game to observe whether a player is worth drafting. A player that plays over 30 minutes a night doesn't always result in big fantasy points. Marcus Morris sees over 35 minutes a night and averages only 24.97 fantasy points. Lebron James plays around the same amount of time as Morris but averages 46.22 FPPG.

Fantasy Points Per Minute

This is another stat that helps in figuring out if a player who sees a bulk of minutes is worth starting. Each of the aforementioned categories can also be narrowed down further: Home/Away, DraftKings/FanDuel, Season/Last 15 Days/Last Season, and of course Position C, PF, SF, SG, G.

Granted, some of these stats can be found on DraftKings and FanDuel, but being able to access them all together is rare. Each stat builds and reflects on the next, aiding DFS participants in putting together the best possible lineup while scrutinizing every possible angle to success, examining so much more than just how often a player can put the ball in the hoop.

Overall

 

Try RotoBaller's Daily Fantasy Basketball Premium Tools

Our NBA Premium Subscription goes above and beyond standard DFS tools.

  • DFS Cheat Sheet with Lineup Picks: Get access to 10 deeply researched picks per cheat sheet, complete with a slew of advanced stats that are key to unlocking NBA player value and DFS success. Cheat Sheets are released three days a week for full NBA slates: Monday, Wednesday, and Friday
  • DFS Value Picks Tool: This cutting edge tool will help you find, sort and filter the best value and sleeper picks for each day of NBA DFS action. With premium stats like "Usage Rate", "Trend" and "Value", you will have a serious leg up on the competition.
  • Daily NBA Projections: Meticulously researched daily NBA DFS points projections for FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.


If you're already purchased your NBA DFS Premium Subscription, you can access it here.

 

Premium Tool Screenshots - Check It Out

Daily Projections, Trends & Value Picks



NBA DFS Lineup Picks & Cheat Sheet

Click here to see a full size version of the cheat sheet

 

Fantasy Basketball & NBA DFS Chat Room - Live Advice

 

[iflychat_embed id="c-11" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="320px"]

 

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Matthew Stafford

Expected to Start in Week 1
Edward Cabrera

Heading to Injured List With Elbow Sprain
Najee Harris

Cleared for Contact, Could Play in Week 1
Denny Hamlin

Ends Eventful Day at Darlington in Seventh Place
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Almost Earns a Top-Five Finish at Darlington
John Hunter Nemechek

has His Best 2025 Performance at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

Has An Underwhelming Performance At Darlington
Josh Berry

Crashes Early and Suffers A Playoff Setback at Darlington
Harry Ford

Called Up for Major-League Debut
Victor Scott II

Activated From Injured List
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Dealing With Hamstring Tightness, Expects to Play Monday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

"Staying in Milwaukee"
Thanasis Antetokounmpo

Agrees to a One-Year Contract with Milwaukee
Kyrie Irving

"Healing Up Great"
Dante Exum

Mavs Agree on a One-Year Deal
Jaylen Warren

Agrees to Two-Year Extension With Steelers
De'Von Achane

Practicing Monday, on Track to Play in Week 1
Quinshon Judkins

Could Report to Browns This Week
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs, Trent McDuffie Not Expected to Finalize Extension
Chase Elliott

Under Playoff Pressure After 17th-Place Darlington Finish
Kyle Larson

Despite Hendrick Mediocrity, Kyle Larson Remains Pretty Safe in Playoffs
Alex Bowman

Opening-Lap Crash and Botched Pit Stop May Have Sunk Alex Bowman's Playoff Hopes
Erik Jones

Darlington Master Erik Jones Comes Up Short but Still Finishes Third
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Impresses at Southern 500
Dameon Pierce

Ahead of Schedule, Ready for Season
Jordan Love

May Wear Thumb Brace During Season
Chicago Bears

Bears Head Coach Admits Offense Could Face Learning Curve
Matt Chapman

Leaves Early on Sunday, Expects to Play Monday
A.J. Brown

Says He'll Be Active For Season Opener
Luis Garcia

to Make Season Debut on Monday
Max Scherzer

Exits Due to Back Tightness
Taylor Ward

Exits Early After Collison
Braelon Allen

Says He Has a Lot Left to Prove
Sal Stewart

Reds Promoting Sal Stewart to Majors
Daniel Suarez

is A DFS Risk for Darlington Lineups?
Randy Rodríguez

Randy Rodriguez to Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Noah Gragson

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Noah Gragson for Darlington?
Ty Dillon

is an Excellent Punt Option for Darlington DFS Lineups
Bogdan Bogdanović

Bogdan Bogdanovic to Miss the Rest of EuroBasket
Denny Hamlin

Picking Up Where He Left Off At Darlington
Kyle Larson

The Sky Is The Limit for Kyle Larson at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

a Strong DFS Play at Darlington This Weekend
Tyler Reddick

Shouldn't Be Overlooked at Darlington This Weekend
Alex Bowman

An Easy Place-Differential Play in DFS This Weekend
Ty Gibbs

Could Be Strong at Darlington This Weekend
Erik Jones

Has Best Darlington Qualifying Effort Since Last Win
Zane Smith

Hopeful For Another Solid Run At Darlington
Aroldis Chapman

Agrees to Contract Extension
Juan Soto

Homers Twice in Loss
Nick Kurtz

Avoids Serious Injury
MacKenzie Gore

Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Reaches 25-Homer, 25-Steal Milestone
Chris Sale

Activated on Saturday
Dansby Swanson

Homers Twice, Drives in Six in Win
Nick Kurtz

Leaves Game With Oblique Soreness
Joe Burrow

Bengals Feel Joe Burrow Just had "the Best Training Camp of his Career"
Randy Rodríguez

Tommy John Surgery Recommended for Randy Rodriguez
Corey Seager

Placed on Injured List
Jackson Chourio

to Return From Injured List on Saturday
Dallas Mavericks

Olivier-Maxence Prosper Waived by the Mavs
Lauri Markkanen

Dominant in Win Over Great Britain
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Leads Serbia to a Win
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Shines Versus Portugal
De'Von Achane

Should be Ready for Week 1
Jose Alvarado

"Good" After Recent Fall
Green Bay Packers

Packers Acquire Micah Parsons, Sign him to Four-Year Extension
Jauan Jennings

Remains Sidelined at Practice
Chris Godwin

to Miss First Month of Season, Possibly More
Quinshon Judkins

Not Considering Return to College
A.J. Brown

Returns to Practice, Expected to Play in Week 1
Jaylen Wright

Undergoes Surgery, Could be Back "Septemberish"
Tyreek Hill

on Track to Play in Week 1
Kyren Williams

to See Reduced Workload?
Lauri Markkanen

Torches Sweden
Neemias Queta

Dominates in EuroBasket Opener
Kawhi Leonard

Clippers Not Allowing Kawhi Leonard to Play Back-to-Backs
Dallas Mavericks

Mavericks Looking to Trade Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Tyrese Haliburton

Expects to Return in 15 Months
Terance Mann

Confident About Having a Big Year in Brooklyn
Zaccharie Risacher

Aims to Improve Ball-Handling Skills
NBA

Pistons And Timberwolves Join Race for Malik Beasley
John Tonje

Signs Two-Way Deal With Jazz
Max Strus

to Miss 3-4 Months After Surgery

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP