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Kevin's best MLB player prop bets for today (6/14/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Pete Alonso, Ketel Marte, and others!
Welcome to Sunday, RotoBallers! We've got a ton of good-looking afternoon baseball in front of us with lots of solid opportunities to try and take advantage of. It's a bit tricky with quite a few aces on the hill today, but we'll still come through with a few spots that should be advantageous.
Today I'm coming at you with four picks that I'm fond of. We've got a couple of hot hitters to back, along with one of my favorite fades of all time taking the hill. Make sure to check out the RotoBaller Discord, where you can find input from all our experts, which could include more home run spots as well as some great strikeout picks.
Below, you'll be able to read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Sunday, June 14, 2026. The current odds given reflect the best price as of the time of publication, but remember to always shop around at other sportsbooks so you can get the most value on your home run wagers. Odds can vary significantly from one sportsbook to another.
MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (6/14/2026)
Pete Alonso OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+349, DraftKings)
Yesterday, we backed an Oriole in a fantastic matchup, but Colton Cowser couldn't come through for us. Instead, it was Alonso who continued his solid streak. With great numbers against Walker Buehler, I can't help but take him in this spot here.
Pete goes oppo 💪 pic.twitter.com/g6m03fmwr7
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) June 13, 2026
Alonso is finally starting to look like the top-tier free agent that Baltimore signed this offseason, hitting five homers over the last two weeks, which is fueled by a 56.4% hard-hit rate. He's posting a 15% barrel rate over the last seven days, making him a solid hitter to target against any pitcher.
In the matchup against Buehler specifically, I'm very intrigued by their history against each other. Alonso has gone 5-17 against him with four of those hits leaving the yard. Now, most of that is old news, but it certainly doesn't hurt the argument here.
Walker has been decent at times this season, and the numbers on the outset look to be solid against righties. But I'm staring at a 42.6% fly-ball rate against righties on the road when he's normally pitching to a 28% fly-ball rate. I smell opportunity.
Tying in the prior history that Alonso has against Buehler, along with the run of four homers in his last five games, adds up to an appealing angle. I think Alonso extends this streak to five homers in his last six games. Let's get one over the plate that Alonso can launch.
Ketel Marte OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+250, Fanatics)
We haven't seen Marte go deep since his walk-off shot against the Dodgers a couple of weeks ago. That makes him the quintessential hitter that is proverbially "due" to smack one. Give me a matchup when he's on the right side of the plate, and I'll back him all day.
KETEL MARTE CALLS GAME 😤 pic.twitter.com/GZIyw8qlCm
— MLB (@MLB) June 5, 2026
When Marte hits as a righty, he produces a .253 ISO compared to a .170 mark as a lefty. There's just a bit more power he gets from the right side, and we're looking to take advantage of that against Cincinnati's Andrew Abbott.
Abbott has struggled a lot more against righties this season. He's got just a 12.3% strikeout rate against them, so we're getting a really solid chance that the ball's in play whenever Marte steps to the plate.
The Reds' southpaw attacks righties with mostly four-seamers, followed by a mix of changeups, curves, and sinkers. The changeup is the worst pitch for Marte from the right side of the plate, but changeups always need a four-seamer to set them up. The four-seamer is Abbott's most homer-prone pitch, while Marte excels against them.
The recent data may hold you back from backing Marte here, and I get it, but I'm viewing this as a very solid get-right spot for the switch hitter. He's got the power, and against a guy like Abbott, in a park like Great American Ball Park, I think he stands a very good chance to launch one deep on Sunday.
