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Read Dave's 2025 NFL bets, futures, MVP odds, Super Bowl championship predictions. Expert picks for the 2025 NFL season including team win totals and award-winner odds.
The start of the 2025 NFL season is almost here. That means the gang here at RotoBaller is gearing up for another season to help you crush the sportsbooks on all your NFL wagers. The futures market is one that is highly popular among many serious and casual bettors. Whenever you’re looking to play NFL futures, there are a couple of things you need to keep in mind.
First, understand that your money is going to be locked up for a long time. It will be months before you know the results, and if you’re betting on any awards, you won’t see any money until the winners are announced in February the following year. Second, always shop around for the best lines. It’s understandable if you get cozy with one sportsbook because you like the special promotions they offer each week. But that should be secondary to making money. Different books offer different lines with different odds, and you always want to make sure you’re getting the best bang for your buck. Beating the sportsbooks is not easy, so you’re going to want any advantage you can get.
With that said, let’s get into the good stuff. Here are several of my favorite NFL Futures and Awards bets for the 2025 NFL season.
NFL Team Win Totals
Buffalo Bills Under 12.5 Wins (-135) FanDuel Sportsbook
Risk 1.35 Units to Win 1 Unit
Buffalo will be among the best teams in the AFC again this year, but it’s fair to expect some regression compared to 2024. The Bills led the NFL in turnover differential last year, and it wasn’t particularly close. Buffalo had a +24 turnover margin in 2024. This was the best mark by any team since 2019.
The problem here is that turnover margin is not sticky, and there is a ton of variance in this stat from year to year. That will be problematic for a Buffalo defense that was actually not very good in 2024. This unit will need to play much better, as it likely won’t be able to rely on good turnover luck again in 2025. Reigning NFL MVP Josh Allen will always keep Buffalo in the mix, but this defense will need to take a major step forward if this team is going to clear 13+ wins.
There are just more ways we can win this bet rather than lose it. A 12-5 season would still be a very good year for Buffalo, but we would still cash this ticket. 13 wins is a tough mark to reach, and there are enough issues with Buffalo’s defense to prevent them from getting there.
Minnesota Vikings OVER 8.5 Wins (-140) FanDuel Sportsbook
Risk 1.4 Units to Win 1 Unit
The Vikings made several moves to address the offensive and defensive lines this offseason. They are arguably better in both of these areas entering the 2025 season than they were last year when they won 14 games. Minnesota still has Kevin O’Connell calling the shots on offense and Brian Flores as its defensive coordinator and play-caller.
This team easily surpassed this win total last year with Sam Darnold as its starting quarterback. That speaks volumes to the roster general manager, Kwesi Adofo-Mensah, has put together. The big wild card for Minnesota is the new starting quarterback, J.J. McCarthy. As long as he doesn’t pull a Zach Wilson and completely faceplant, this team is easily capable of winning 9+ games.
Miami Dolphins Under 8.5 Wins (-190) Fanduel Sportsbook
Risk .95 Units to Win .5 Units
There have been multiple reports out of Miami this offseason that head coach Mike McDaniel has been working hard to change the team's culture from the last three years.
Excuse me, but what?
What the heck have they been doing the last three years that prompted a culture shift in Year 4?
This points to a coach who’s realized he's been too lenient, and is now desperately trying to turn things around to save his job. McDaniel is a great offensive mind and play-caller, but running a team is much different than drawing up plays on a chalkboard.
Miami’s offensive line was also a problem last year, and the team did not do enough to adequately address this issue for 2025. When your starting quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa, has a well-documented history of concussions, that seems like a major problem. There’s also the issue of Tyreek Hill removing himself from the season finale last year and telling teammates on the sidelines he was “out” after doing so. Now we are getting reports that he and Tagovailoa are having issues on and off the field.
Tua Tagovailoa and Tyreek Hill’s Chemistry Appears Off https://t.co/TiQXQcmaIZ
— RotoBaller NFL (@RotoBallerNFL) August 18, 2025
The vibes coming out of Miami just don’t feel good right now.
I got this line a few months ago when the odds were much better. All the sharps have hopped on since, and the juice is now a ridiculous -190. We won’t wager a full unit at this price, so for our purposes in this article, we’ll scale it down to get a half unit.
There are just too many factors working against Miami this season. If we’re correct, and Miami doesn't surpass this win total, then they might be in the market for a new coach in 2026.
Super Bowl LX Bets
Baltimore Ravens to Win Super Bowl LX (+700) Caesars Sportsbook
Risk .25 Units to Win 1.75 Units
This is arguably the best roster we have seen Baltimore assemble in recent years. The Ravens made several moves to strengthen the secondary, and the offensive and defensive lines remain strong. Plus, they are still led by two-time NFL MVP Lamar Jackson.
ONLY LAMAR. WOW.
📺: #BALvsCIN on CBS/Paramount+
📱: https://t.co/waVpO8ZBqG pic.twitter.com/KenO7criwG— NFL (@NFL) October 6, 2024
If the Ravens can’t get over the hump this year and continue to shoot themselves in the foot with untimely, sloppy penalties/mistakes, then it might be time to have a conversation regarding head coach John Harbaugh.
Green Bay Packers to Win Super Bowl LX (+1400) Caesars Sportsbook
Risk .2 Units to Win 2.8 Units
There has been money pouring in on Green Bay ever since the team landed star pass rusher Micah Parsons in a trade with the Dallas Cowboys. It's for good reason as the Packers got themselves arguably the best pass rusher in the league and addressed a big area of need. This move ensures the Packers will remain in the thick of the NFC race and can once again compete with the best in the conference. It also means Green Bay might have a realistic shot to bring the Lombardi Trophy back home.
Division Winner Bets
Arizona Cardinals to Win NFC West (+450) Bet MGM Sportsbook
Risk .5 Units to Win 2.25 Units
The 49ers have an easy schedule, but their roster is littered with holes. The Los Angeles Rams are a good team, but there are still major questions surrounding Matthew Stafford’s back.
Arizona won eight games last year during Jonathan Gannon’s second season as head coach. Its defense was a major issue, but Arizona has blitzkrieged that side of the ball this offseason. More specifically, the Cardinals made major additions to their defensive line. Arizona brought in veterans Dalvin Tomlinson and Calais Campbell to bring some stability to this unit. The team also drafted rookies Walter Nolen III and Jordan Burch in the 2025 NFL Draft. If these additions help improve the defense, then Arizona could emerge as a surprise division winner.
This is a good price to take a stab at Arizona emerging from a division that's more wide open than some people think.
Denver Broncos to Win AFC West (+325) Caesars Sportsbook
Risk .2 Units to Win .65 Units
The AFC West has been the Chiefs' playground for almost a decade, as the team has won nine straight division titles. While the Chiefs reached their third straight Super Bowl last year, Kansas City did so in an extremely unconventional fashion. They won a ton of close games, scaled back the offense, and deployed an offensive approach that was built around converting third downs and extending drives. Kansas City actually saw the 11th most third downs per game in 2024. This was their highest finish in this category during the Patrick Mahomes/Andy Reid era.
If Kansas City hopes to win its 10th straight AFC West title, then it would be advisable that it change its offensive approach from the unsustainable version we saw in 2024. That's because the Denver Broncos have quietly been building a strong roster over the last few seasons.
Denver has one of the best offensive lines in the league. Its defense, which ranked fourth in total defensive DOVA last year according to FTN Fantasy, is poised to be even better in 2025 following the additions of Dre Greenlaw and rookie cornerback Jahdae Barron. With Bo Nix entering his second season, plus the additions of running backs R.J. Harvey and J.K. Dobbins, Denver’s offense could take a step forward this year, too.
As long as the Chiefs have Patrick Mahomes, they will always be a threat to win the Super Bowl. But unless Kansas City ditches last year's offensive approach, the door is open, ever so slightly, for a team like Denver to steal the AFC West crown.
Other NFL Team Future Bets
Green Bay Packers to be NFC #1 Seed (+900) Bet365 Sportsbook
Risk .2 Units to Win 1.8 Units
I had this wager in my futures portfolio and first draft of this article before the Parsons news broke. I got this line at +1100 originally, but it's since been bet down. The best value is gone, however, I still think it's worth a wager at the current number.
The Philadelphia Eagles are clearly the team to beat in the NFC entering the 2025 season. But people forget, they were not the NFC’s top seed entering the playoffs last year. Green Bay played Philadelphia very tough in the Wild Card round before and has continued to assemble a strong roster. Acquiring Parsons was the cherry on top. They have all the weapons needed to make a run at the number one seed.
Los Angeles Chargers to Miss Playoffs (+110) Bet MGM Sportsbook
Risk 1 Unit to Win 1.1 Units
Jim Harbaugh remains one of the better coaches in the league, and he automatically gives the Chargers a safe floor. But this team had several major departures this offseason, specifically along the defensive line.
The Chargers also had the benefit of playing a soft schedule in 2024. That won’t be the case this season. Combine question marks on defense with the loss of star offensive tackle Rashawn Slater, and that could be enough for Los Angeles to miss the playoffs in a loaded AFC conference. Harbaugh has this team heading in the right direction, but this season could be a bit bumpier than some realize.
2025-2026 NFL Awards Bets
Cameron Ward to Win Offensive Rookie of The Year (+350) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .5 Units to Win 1.75 Units
Las Vegas Raiders running back Ashton Jeanty is the favorite to win this award, but the Raiders are not expected to be very good this year. That could mean Jeanty doesn't get enough volume to post the gaudy numbers that are sometimes needed to win this award.
Ward has drawn rave reviews from the Titans and basically anyone else who’s visited Tennessee this offseason. If those reports are all true, then Ward is going to win this award as the voters tend to favor quarterbacks.
It’s not often a quarterback taken first overall is not the betting favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, so this is a good opportunity to throw some money on Ward.
Emeka Egbuka to Win Offensive Rookie of The Year (+1800) Draftkings Sportsbook
Risk .1 Units to Win 1.8 Units
This award feels pretty top-heavy this year. If there is a player who could prevail besides Jeanty or Ward, it might be Egbuka.
Emeka Egubka with a highlight-reel catch on Teddy Bridgewater's 2nd TD pass of the first quarter 😳
Stream on @NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/ihY2W68Ruf
— NFL (@NFL) August 16, 2025
He has done nothing except draw rave reviews this summer. With Jalen McMillan and Chris Godwin expected to miss the beginning of the year, Egbuka will have a major role right out of the gates. His main target competition is veteran Mike Evans. The 12th-year pro has had a historic career, but 2025 will be Evans’ age-32 season. There is a chance he starts to experience age-related decline, and this would open a window for Egbuka to function as the team’s WR1.
If Egbuka hits the ground running, he will force Tampa Bay to feed him the football regardless of when Godwin or McMillan returns from injury. It’s worth taking a little stab at this number.
Jordan Love to Win MVP (+2000) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .2 Units to Win 4 Units
Love’s 2024 might seem disappointing when you look at his raw stats. However, there is plenty of underlying data that paints a much different picture.
after spending the entire weekend researching & writing about the Packers 2024 season I 100% disagree w this
on early downs among 46 QBs, Love ranked:
#4 in YPA
#5 in EPA/att
#8 in successand that's despite being injured/playing thru injury half the year
then on 3rd down... https://t.co/iATM6chesB
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) June 2, 2025
Love was also seventh in EPA (expected points added) per drop-back among all quarterbacks in 2024, per FTN Fantasy. He posted an above-average touchdown rate for the second straight season of his career in 2024. This shows that he is capable of producing a monster touchdown season at some point in his career.
Jordan Love tosses a back shoulder TD to Christian Watson
📱: Stream #SEAvsGB on #NFLPlus https://t.co/624TrfDUF6 pic.twitter.com/sKRHOhqsVO
— NFL (@NFL) August 26, 2023
Love also enters 2025 fully healthy. Many people forget that he injured his knee in the season opener last year. Love also injured his hamstring soon after returning from his initial knee injury. As a result, the Packers decided to ride running back Josh Jacobs last year, and Green Bay ran the ball at a higher rate than it did compared to 2023.
While Love did recently undergo surgery on his non-throwing hand, all sources indicate the injury is nothing major, and he will be fine for Week 1. It looks like Love will be fully healthy entering the season.
Green Bay had no issues running its offense through Love in 2023. With a talented group of pass catchers at his disposal, we could be looking at a huge year for Love and the Packers offense in 2025.
After the Parsons trade, this is probably the best value left on the board if you're looking to play any Packers futures. I am very bullish on Love's 2025 outlook and believe he is one of the better quarterbacks in the league. Fortunately, I made two separate wagers on Love to win MVP earlier in the offseason before the Parsons news broke. When I made those wagers, the lines were +2500 and +3100, respectively.
Those values are long gone, but this 20-1 number is still worth playing. Act fast, though. Love's odds are down to 16-1 at other books, so this 20-1 number might not hang around much longer.
J.J. McCarthy to Win MVP (+7500) FanDuel Sportsbook
Risk .05 Units to Win 3.75 Units
I released this play for Premium subscribers in the RotoBaller Discord back in April. We got that number at 100-1 at Caesars Sportsbook. Unfortunately, that number no longer exists, and McCarthy’s odds at Caesars are now listed at 50-1, which, in my opinion, is the correct price.
Not to worry, though, this 75-1 number at FanDuel works just fine.
This play is simple. Sam Darnold, a career journeyman, entered this system and had a career year in 2024. If Kevin O’Connell could get all of that out of Darnold, then imagine what he can do with his hand-picked quarterback of the future, who, despite being injured, had the luxury of sitting and learning for an entire year in 2024.
Minnesota is arguably the best situation a first-time starting quarterback can enter. This is worth a tiny sprinkle on the off chance McCarthy has a huge season and leads the Vikings to another banner season.
Micah Parsons to Win Defense Player of the Year (+600) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .2 Units to Win 1.2 Units
Parsons is the odds-on favorite to win this award. We should expect to see another monstrous season, and his presence means the Packers have a legitimate chance to win the NFC. These awards are largely narrative-based for the voters. If Parsons has a big season, and Green Bay is in Super Bowl contention, it's easy to see him walking away with this award.
Jared Verse to Win Defensive Player of the Year (+1600) Caesars Sportsbook
Risk .10 Units to Win 1.6 Units
Verse only recorded 4.5 sacks in 2024 but finished ninth in PFF's pass rush grade last year. He was also fourth in total pressures and 11th in win rate per PFF. With numbers like these, sacks will eventually come.
.@JaredVerse1 dominated his rookie season.
What's in store for year 2? 👀 pic.twitter.com/OYKpLKkcTk
— NFL (@NFL) July 2, 2025
Verse showed some tantalizing upside during his rookie season. He’ll have to figure out a way to record more sacks to have a realistic shot at this award. Luckily, he’s got all the athletic tools needed to do so. This is worth a sprinkle just in case Verse puts it altogether.
Bijan Robinson to Win Offensive Player of the Year (+1600) Caesars Sportsbook
Risk .2 Units to Win 3.2 Units
Bijan Robinson to Win NFL Rushing Title (+1000) Caesars Sportsbook
Risk .2 Units to Win 2 Units
With Michael Penix Jr. taking over as the team’s starting quarterback, we should expect Atlanta to lean heavily on its running game as he gets acclimated to life in the NFL. That will mean plenty of opportunities for Robinson.
Bijan with the burst for a 37-yard TD 🔥
📺: #ATLvsNO on FOX
📱: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/hKRbrB8U8g— NFL (@NFL) November 10, 2024
An injury to right tackle Kaleb McGary is certainly not what we wanted to see. Luckily for Robinson, Atlanta is projected to face the easiest schedule of rushing defenses this year, per Sharp Football.
The Falcons also made a flurry of moves this offseason in order to fix a defense that plagued the team in 2024. An improved defense would mean the Falcons' offense is playing with a lot more leads than we saw a year ago. That would also lead to more rushing opportunities for Robinson.
Put it all together, and we could be looking at a massive third year for the Falcons' RB1.
Kenneth Walker III to Win Rushing Title (+10000) Bet MGM Sportsbook
Risk .05 Units to Win 5 Units
This line is absurdly wrong. Yes, Walker has some injury concerns, but if he hits his ceiling in Klint Kubiak’s offense, he is talented enough to lead the league in rushing. This line should be closer to 40-1 or 50-1, so we are getting major value here.
Nico Collins to Have the Most Regular Season Receiving Yards (+1000)
.15 Units to Win 1.5 Units
This number is 7-1 or 8-1 at most other sportsbooks, so this is a good price to gamble on Collins. Houston still wants to run the football, but with Joe Mixon nursing a mysterious foot injury, they might not be able to do so.
The team's current remaining backs are Woody Marks, Dameon Pierce, and Nick Chubb. Marks is an unproven rookie, while Pierce has struggled since a nice rookie season in 2022. Chubb is the most notable name in this trio, but he does not appear to be the same player following a horrific 2023 knee injury.
Houston also completely revamped its offensive line this offseason, but not in a good way. Their offseason moves were highlighted by the decision to trade away star left tackle Laremy Tunsil to the Washington Commanders. Houston's offensive line could really struggle to run the football this year, and as a result, they could be forced to throw the ball more than they'd like.
If that's the case, Collins would be a major beneficiary. He's one of the best receivers in the league and is capable of a massive season if he gets enough volume.
Xavier Worthy to Have the Most Regular Season Receiving Yards (+10000) Caesars Sportsbook
Risk .03 Units to Win 3 Units
Is Worthy a perfect wide receiver? No, he was very raw as a rookie last year and needs to hone his craft further. However, his quarterback is still Patrick Mahomes. Tyreek Hill had some fantastic seasons playing alongside Mahomes as their skills meshed together perfectly. Worthy may not be the caliber of player Hill was in his prime. However, Worthy still offers game-changing speed and can blow the top off any defense. The Chiefs have also reportedly been working hard to improve their deep passing game this offseason.
If Kansas City's deep passing game has a resurgence, then it's pretty obvious that Worthy will be the main beneficiary of this change. With Rashee Rice sitting out the first six games of the season due to a suspension, the door is wide open for Worthy to take the WR1 job and run away with it.
Rookie Xavier Worthy has his 2nd touchdown of the game 👏
📺: #SBLIX on FOX
📱: Tubi + NFL app pic.twitter.com/8BuZ6UnCrh— NFL (@NFL) February 10, 2025
