X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Free Week 5 NFL Betting Picks and Expert Predictions

TJ Watt - IDP, Pittsburgh Steelers, DST, Defense, Fantasy Football Def

Dave's free NFL betting picks for Week 5 and expert predictions for 2024. His NFL best bets for Week 5 and his favorite plays. Who should you bet in Week 5?

We took one on the chin last week with a 0-2 record. The Steelers and Jets put up a couple of clunkers that ultimately ruined our day. New York dropped a game against a Broncos team that might not be as bad as we originally thought. These things happen. Pittsburgh’s loss was a little more frustrating as it couldn’t stop a Colts team that seemed completely lost the previous two weeks. It's tough but all part of the roller-coaster ride of an 18-week season.

There’s some good value available on the card this week and a few ways we can attack it. We’re going with a small home favorite and a road dog as we look to right the ship and get back on track.

Make sure you’re following RotoBaller on X and check out RotoBaller.com for all your fantasy football and NFL needs. Here are our best bets for Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5) vs. Dallas Cowboys

We’re going back to the well with this pick. Pittsburgh let us down last week but this is a good spot to back the home favorites. The Cowboys are extremely banged up. They will likely be without defenders Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence and these are huge losses to the defense.

The Steelers rank higher in offensive, defensive, and total team DVOA, per FTN Fantasy. They should also hold a significant edge in the trenches. Dallas only ranks 21st in PFF’s pass-blocking grade. The Steelers currently rank sixth in Adjusted Sack Rate but are tied for 11th in the league in sacks.

We could be in store for a big correction in this game as T.J. Watt could have a field day against Dallas’ offensive front.

The Cowboys' porous run defense held up against the New York Giants last week, but they could have trouble stopping a Pittsburgh ground attack that averages over 128 rushing yards per game.

Simply put -- the Steelers are the better team, and I make them nearly 4.5-point favorites in my rankings.

Pick: Steelers -1.5 (-115) FanDuel Sportsbook

Risk 1.15 Units to Win 1 Unit

 

Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5) vs. New Orleans Saints

The Chiefs offense took a major hit when they lost star receiver Rashee Rice to a knee injury last week. His absence paired with the loss of running back Isiah Pacheco could stifle their attack.

New Orleans ranks higher than Kansas City in offensive, defensive, and total team DVOA. The Saints boast plenty of speed on offense and could find success attacking a Chiefs secondary that ranks 19th in defensive passing DVOA and allows the 10th-most passing yards per game. A heavy dose of play-action passing combined with Alvin Kamara on the ground could be highly successful.

Backing Derek Carr is always a gamble, but the Saints have the ability on defense to get pressure on Patrick Mahomes and slow down a Kansas City offense that suddenly is devoid of playmakers. However, it always has the trump card that is Mahomes in its back pocket.

The key will be whether the Saints offensive line can handle the Chiefs pass rush. If they do, then Derek Carr could have himself a game and New Orleans could be a live dog. Either way, this is too many points in what should be a low-scoring defensive battle.

Pick: Saints +5.5 (-110) BetMGM Sportsbook

Risk .55 Units to Win .5 Units

 

RotoBaller Premium Betting

For more of Dave's picks as well as bets and prop picks from other RotoBaller experts, grab a premium NFL betting membership and then head over to the RotoBaller Discord where bets and props are posted for all members daily!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

George Springer

Goes on Concussion Injured List
Dyami Brown

"Explosive" in Jaguars Camp
James Proche II

Impressing in Titans Camp
Kyle Williams

"Up and Down" in Training Camp Practices
Dallas Cowboys

Micah Parsons Requests Trade Out of Dallas
Kenny Pickett

Returns to Practice in Limited Capacity
JoJo Romero

the Top Candidate for Saves in St. Louis
Braelon Allen

Returns to Jets Practice
Xavier Worthy

Avoids Concussion
Nolan Arenado

Going on Injured List With Shoulder Injury
DeVonta Smith

Misses Fourth Practice
Dontayvion Wicks

Takes Part in Friday's Practice
Jayden Reed

Practicing on Friday
Conor McGregor

Enters UFC Testing Pool
Emanuel Wilson

Suffers Leg Injury on Friday
Bryce Young

and Starters Will Play First Two Preseason Games
Ja'Tavion Sanders

"Shining" in Practice
New York Jets

Quinnen Williams is Week-to-Week with Calf Injury
Dallas Cowboys

Micah Parson Considering Drastic Measures Amid Contract Negotiations
Grayson Rodriguez

Considering Having Surgery
Cam Skattebo

Missing Team Drills, Being Managed by Giants
Calvin Ridley

Won't Practice on Friday
Los Angeles Rams

Kam Curl is Considered Week-to-Week with an Ankle Injury
Terry McLaurin

Commanders Not Interested in Trading Terry McLaurin
Drake Maye

Has Yet to Throw an Interception in Training Camp
Detroit Lions

Dan Campbell Not Happy with Lions Performance in HOF Game
Devin Williams

Yankees Plan to Keep Devin Williams in Closer's Role
HyunSung Park

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Tatsuro Taira

Set For UFC Vegas 108 Main Event
Mateusz Rębecki

Mateusz Rebecki Looks For His Second Consecutive Win
Chris Duncan

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Elves Brener

Looks For His Fourth UFC Win
Esteban Ribovics

Set For UFC Vegas 108 Main Card Bout
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos Aims To Bounce Back
Karol Rosa

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Nora Cornolle

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Neil Magny

Returns At UFC Vegas 108
Kevin Vallejos

Set To Open Up UFC Vegas 108 Main Card
Danny Silva

Set For His Third UFC Fight
Mikal Bridges

Signs Extension with Knicks
Jackson Chourio

Expected to Go on Injured List With Hamstring Strain
Jonathan Aranda

Rays Hope Jonathan Aranda Can Return in September
Shelby Miller

Brewers Acquire Shelby Miller
José Caballero

Jose Caballero Shipped to the Bronx
Bailey Falter

Traded to Royals
Charlie Morton

Headed to Detroit
Camilo Doval

Yankees Acquire Camilo Doval
Griffin Jax

Traded to Tampa Bay
Connor McDavid

Oilers Hope to Finalize Connor McDavid's Contract Extension Soon
Willi Castro

Joining Cubs
BUF

Devon Levi Re-Signs With Sabres for Two Years
Merrill Kelly

Rangers to Acquire Merrill Kelly
Martin Pospisil

Signs Three-Year Extension
Ramón Laureano

Ramon Laureano Heading to San Diego
Ryan O'Hearn

Padres Acquire Ryan O'Hearn From Orioles
Jesús Sánchez

Jesus Sanchez Traded to the Astros
Carlos Correa

Astros Acquire Carlos Correa From the Twins
Cedric Mullins

Mets Acquiring Cedric Mullins
Jonathan Aranda

Exits Thursday With Apparent Wrist Injury
Dario Šarić

Dario Saric Hoping to Have Meaningful Role with Kings
Donte DiVincenzo

to Skip EuroBasket Due to Injury
Ayo Dosunmu

Set to Remain in Chicago
Malevy Leons

Signs Exhibit 10 Deal With Thunder
Daeqwon Plowden

Kings Pick Up Daeqwon Plowden on Two-Way Deal
Bryce McGowens

Signs Two-Way Deal with Pelicans
Jonathan Kuminga

Declines Latest Offers from Golden State
Gary Woodland

Eyeing Strong Finish to Reach Playoffs
Max McGreevy

Chasing a Miracle at Wyndham
Stephan Jaeger

a Solid Value Play at Wyndham Championship
Max Homa

Fighting to Salvage Disappointing Season
Nicolai Hojgaard

a Sleeper at Wyndham Championship
Rickie Fowler

Riding Quiet Momentum Into Wyndham
Brian Campbell

a Wild Card at Wyndham Championship
Akshay Bhatia

Looking to Flip the Script at Wyndham Championship
Aaron Rai

Finishes Tied For 34th at Open Championship
Andrew Novak

Finishes Tied For 63rd at Open Championship
Hideki Matsuyama

Finishes Tied For 16th at Open Championship
Kurt Kitayama

Wins 3M Open
Tom Kim

Finishes Tied For 28th at 3M Open
PGA

Sungjae Im Misses Cut at 3M Open
Max Greyserman

Misses Cut at 3M Open
Jordan Spieth

Looks to End Regular Season on a High Note at Wyndham Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Finishes Tied For Fourth at Open Championship
Eric Cole

Misses Cut at 3M Open
Keith Mitchell

Needs a Big Week at Wyndham Championship
Robert MacIntyre

is the Perfect Kind of Ball-Striker for Wyndham Championship
Charlie McAvoy

Ready to Go for Next Season
Dylan Samberg

Agrees to Three-Year Contract with Jets
Michael Kim

Needs More Solid Finishes
NBA

Thanasis Antetokounmpo Added to Greece Training Camp Roster for EuroBasket 2025
Los Angeles Clippers

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Waived by Clippers
Josh Green

May Not be Ready for Start of Hornets Training Camp
NBA

Thomas Bryant Set to Move to Greece
Cam Thomas

Nets Far Apart in Contract Talks
Kristaps Porzingis

Feeling "Great" Ahead of New Season
Chris Paul

Hints He Could Extend His Career Beyond the 2025-26 Season
Brandon Miller

Close to 100 Percent
Jayden Struble

Canadiens Lock Up Jayden Struble for Two Years
Robert Whittaker

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Reinier de Ridder

Gets Split-Decision Win
Conor Timmins

Avoids Salary Arbitration with Two-Year Deal
Marcus McGhee

Drops Decision At UFC Abu Dhabi
Toronto Raptors

Colin Castleton Waived by Raptors on Monday
Petr Yan

Extends Win Streak
Marc-Andre Barriault

Suffers Decision Loss
Shara Magomedov

Gets Back In The Win Column
Jose Ochoa

Dominated At UFC Abu Dhabi
MMA

Asu Almbayev Dominates At UFC Abu Dhabi
Kyle Larson

Falls Short of Back-To-Back Victories at Indianapolis
Denny Hamlin

Rallies Into Third Place At Indianapolis
Chase Briscoe

Pit Strategies End up Failing Chase Briscoe at Indianapolis
Ty Gibbs

Wins NASCAR's Inaugural In-Season Challenge Tournament
Ryan Preece

Finishes Fourth but Loses Ground to Playoff Cutline
Brad Keselowski

Has Good Strategy, but Not Enough to Win
Ryan Blaney

Bails from Hail Mary Strategy Attempt but Recovers to Finish Seventh
Tyler Reddick

Eliminated from Brickyard 400 in Crash After Top Five Run
Chicago Bulls

Billy Donovan Agrees to Contract Extension with Chicago
Erik Jones

Is Erik Jones Worth Rostering At Indianapolis This Week?
Carson Hocevar

Is Carson Hocevar Worth Rostering For Indianapolis DFS Lineups?
NASCAR

Could A.J. Allmendinger be A Solid Tournament DFS Option?
Zane Smith

Is a Respectable Value Option for Indianapolis Despite Low Experience
Cole Custer

Is A Solid Value Option for Indianapolis DFS Lineups
Riley Herbst

Is an Unfavorable DFS Option for Indianapolis Lineups
Zeev Buium

Aims for Big Role Next Season
NHL

Conor Sheary Signs Tryout Deal with Rangers
Denny Hamlin

an Easy DFS Target After Wreck in Qualifying
Arvid Soderblom

Agrees to Two-Year Deal with Blackhawks
Kyle Larson

Will Start 13th to Defend Brickyard 400 Crown
Chase Briscoe

on Pole for Brickyard as Momentum Continues to Build
Ryan Blaney

Learned a Lot in Practice at Indianapolis
Brad Keselowski

Should Be Very Strong at Indianapolis
NASCAR

Could Bubba Wallace Challenge for a Brickyard 400 Win on Sunday?
Ryan Preece

Don't Forget About Ryan Preece at Indianapolis
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF