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Our Sleeper.com NFL DFS prop picks - over/under props for the Sunday slate of games in Week 18. Dan's favorite prop bets on Sleeper.com.
Welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for the Week 18 Sunday Main Slate.
Last week’s picks finished 5-2, bringing us to 16-12 since taking over this column in Week 14. Coming into Week 18, our prop picks are sitting at 102-75 across all slates. We’ll look to finish the regular season on a high with our top prop picks for Week 18’s Sunday slate.
Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting -- there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are a few of our favorite prop picks for the Sunday main slate on Sleeper DFS.
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Week 18 Sleeper DFS Prop Picks: Sunday Main Slate
Jared Goff OVER 213.5 Passing Yards
Dan Campbell is playing his starters in a Week 18 tune-up game against the Packers, with Goff and the Lions passing game continuing to be busy in recent weeks. Goff has averaged over 286 passing yards in his last three games, completing over 70% of his passes in two of them.
The Packers are 28th in defensive DVOA and are giving up an average of 212.4 passing yards per game, although they have been leakier of late, giving up over 250 yards through the air in each of their last three games.
Expect Goff to play the majority of the game and top 213 passing yards on Sunday.
Sam Howell UNDER 215.5 Passing Yards
After leading the league through the air early this season, Howell and the Washington passing attack have cooled in recent weeks. Howell has finished under 200 passing yards in four straight games, falling to twelfth among quarterbacks in passing on the season.
The second-year quarterback finishes his season against a Dallas defense ranking fifth in DVOA and fifth in passing yards allowed per game (190.9). He is also a good bet to continue his streak of six straight games with at least one interception.
PFF agrees with this pick, giving it a 78.4% likelihood of hitting. Despite a passing game script against the Cowboys, fade Howell on Sunday.
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Tyler Allgeier OVER 35.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards
Allgeier has been the surprise beneficiary of 12.2 touches and 52.6 total yards per game in the Falcons offense this year, making his combined yardage prop too low in Week 18 against New Orleans.
Allgeier has finished with 40 or more combined yards in four straight games. The Saints have allowed a rusher to top that mark in thirteen straight contests, and every game but one this season (Week 3).
Rotoballer's Proptimizer tool is in line with this pick, giving it a 17.2% edge with a Sharp App projected line of 48.7 receiving yards.
Other Recommendations:
- DK Metcalf OVER 67.5 receiving yards
- Jake Ferguson OVER 36.5 receiving yards
- Jonnu Smith UNDER 2.5 receptions
- Anders Carlson OVER 6.5 kicking points
NOTE: An earlier version of this article had Jacoby Brissett included in the Other Recommendations section, who has since been ruled out for Sunday's game.
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