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Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 9 - Sunday Late 4 PM Slate! The 2023 NFL season is underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.
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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.
If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 9
Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Dak Prescott MORE than 250.5 passing yards
Dak Prescott has thrown for more than 250 passing yards in three of his previous four games as he has also been averaging nearly 30 passing attempts per game over this span. The Cowboys should also look to come out passing against this Eagles defense on Sunday.
On the season, Philadelphia has allowed the fifth-most passing yards to the quarterback position while also allowing over 267 passing yards per game. They have allowed four quarterbacks to throw for more than this total, including a 397-yard passing performance from Sam Howell just last week. They have also allowed the fewest rushing yards to the running back position this season, which means Dallas will be forced to move the ball through the air in this one. Add in the fact that Dallas is a three-point underdog, and you have a solid recipe for success.
CeeDee Lamb MORE than 73.5 receiving yards
Pairing up Dak Prescott with CeeDee Lamb makes a ton of sense here as Lamb has eclipsed this total in each of his previous two games while averaging nearly 138 receiving yards per game. He has also averaged eight targets per game on the season, making him Dak's favorite target.
As aforementioned, the Eagles have struggled against the pass and have also allowed an average of 191 receiving yards per game to the wide receiver position. They have also allowed the second-most total receiving yards to wide receivers on the season, ranking behind only the Washington Commanders. Dallas being a three-point underdog also should increase Lamb's volume.
Jonathan Taylor LESS than 15.5 receiving yards
This currently ranks at the top prop for the 4 PM slate on the PrizePicks Optimizer with over a 60% chance of success. The reason this prop rates so highly is due to the fact that most books have this set at -118 to the under of 13.5 receiving yards, so we are getting a two-yard discount.
The Panthers have also been solid against pass-catching running backs as they have allowed the fifth-fewest receiving yards to the position on the season. Although Taylor has eclipsed this total in two of four games played this season, both came against worse defenses against pass-catching running backs and both came in games the Colts were trailing. They currently sit as three-point favorites in this one and may not need to rely on Taylor in the passing game quite as much.
Other Recommendations: Jonathan Taylor MORE than 64.5 rushing yards
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