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It's all come down to this in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Noah Gragson, Ty Gibbs, Josh Berry and Justin Allgaier will race for a championship on Saturday, with the highest finisher winning it all.
It's also your last chance to play NASCAR Xfinity Series DFS until February. Unfortunately, qualifying is just a few hours before the race, so I don't have place differential information, but we can still look at some trends to get a sense of who might be good plays.
Here at RotoBaller, we want to help you make informed decisions about your DFS lineups, which is why I'll be breaking down the slates for the Xfinity Series. Let's look at some NASCAR Xfinity DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Championship on DraftKings. Be sure to also check out our NASCAR Premium Tools for Xfinity Series including our DFS Lineup Optimizer and powerful Research Station. This slate locks on 11/5/22 at 6:15 p.m. ET.
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Xfinity DFS Picks - DraftKings
Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Top Priced Drivers For Phoenix
We've got four drivers who cost over $10,000, and they're exactly the four drivers you would expect: the Championship 4.
Noah Gragson ($11,400): This is it for Noah Gragson. In his fourth full-time season in Xfinity, he has one more shot at a title before he moves to the Cup Series next year. Gragson has eight wins this season, including one here at Phoenix earlier in the season, when he led 114 laps. Consider him the favorite.
Ty Gibbs ($11,000): The big question with Gibbs: will someone try to get payback on him for his aggressive driving? Maybe it won't be teammate Brandon Jones, who Gibbs wrecked last week, but it might be someone. Gibbs feels like a checkers or wreckers play this week: if he's running second on the last lap, I think he bumps the driver in front of him and wins the title. If he's leading on the last lap, I think the other three drivers would gleefully dump him.
Justin Allgaier ($10,600): Allgaier has a ton of experience here, with 24 Xfinity Series starts at this track. In those 24 races, he has two victories and 16 top 10s, with four top 10s in a row. But Allgaier hasn't necessarily been a threat to win lately; in his last three starts here, he's finished eighth, ninth and 10th. I think Allgaier might be fool's gold today: his track record suggests he can win this, but I'll likely end up fading him for Gragson and Gibbs unless he winds up with place differential upside.
Josh Berry ($10,300): Berry's probably the least likely of the Championship 4 to win this. He was third here earlier this season, but he has just two Xfinity races here. He should run well because the Championship 4 always run well, but Berry's future feels a lot like Ty Majeski in the Truck Series race: a Championship 4 driver who has to push the car too hard to compete with the other three and ends up making a mistake.
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Mid-Range Options
Austin Hill ($9,600): Hill's been running well lately, with top 10s in three consecutive races. He was only 17th here in his lone Xfinity start, and his Truck Series track record isn't stellar either, but I'm going with Hill because of the recency stuff, not what happened here in a different series in different years.
Riley Herbst ($8,700): Herbst is still searching for his first Xfinity Series victory and it's unlikely to happen this year, but overall he's been running really well. He's got the best average finish of his career this season at 13.2, plus the most top fives and top 10s. He's also got three career top 10s in six Phoenix starts, including a pair of fourth-place finishes.
Nick Sanchez ($7,500): Sanchez, who'll be going full-time in the Truck Series for Rev Racing next year, is back in the Big Machine 48 car this week. He's got three finishes of 12th or better since jumping into this car, and at Martinsville he started 24th and finished seventh. If he qualifies outside the top 15, I'll be all over this play.
Potential Value Picks
Jeb Burton ($6,700): One of the hardest stats to believe this year: Jeb Burton doesn't have a top 10 finish. Not a single one. This car is a major step down from the Kaulig car he drove in 2021, which he had 16 top 10s in. But Burton's had top 20 finishes in seven consecutive races and could wind up being a solid, if unexciting, play on Saturday.
Rajah Caruth ($6,000): Caruth was running pretty well in last night's Truck Series race until he was taken out in a late crash. He's had some solid Xfinity runs in this Alpha Prime Racing machine, including a 12th-place finish at Martinsville last week.
Bayley Currey ($5,200): This will obviously depend on qualifying, but if Currey starts below his average starting position (25.6) then I think there's some decent place differential upside. JD Motorsports isn't at the level it was a few years back when you could usually count on their cars to challenge for a top 20, but Currey's a solid driver who can get the most out of the equipment.
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