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RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - John Deere Classic

One And Done Staff Picks Overview

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for a third season.

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Andrew Putters and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

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One and Done Selections - John Deere Classic

Joe Nicely - Seamus Power

Alternate - Scott Stallings

No need to beat around the bush, the John Deere Classic is an event that always suffers from being held the week before the Open Championship. The field is less-than-stellar if we’re being honest with just five of the world’s top-50 golfers in attendance this week. I have no interest in any of those players anyway (that’s code for “I’ve already used them in this contest.”), as the Deere is always a birdie-fest, which brings the entire field into play.

Enter Seamus Power, a player that not too long ago was grinding out Monday qualifiers in an attempt to get starts on the PGA Tour. The Irishman has played well enough over the past two months to now be considered a legitimate threat at TPC Deere Run. Power comes in on the heels of a top-10 finish in Detroit last week - his second top-10 in his last four starts - and brings tons of positive momentum to Illinois. He’s fared well in previous Deere starts, boasts a 68.42 career scoring average in the event, and has posted top-25s in two of his three prior starts on this layout.

Yearly Earnings -$5,750,745

Yearly Cuts Made - 23/26

 

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Spencer Aguiar - Aaron Wise

Alternate - Kevin Streelman

It looks like we have nine events left (eight weeks in total), and I probably could make life pretty simple on myself if I played things more conservatively and rolled out Russell Henley. The American is not only one of the safest players on the board to lock in some money at the John Deere Classic, but I also think it is somewhat likely someone rolls out the 32-year-old in this particular game. That, of course, assumes this contest hasn't turned into a contrarian dart throw where everyone tries to zig while I zag, but these are the game theory thoughts that run through my mind while trying to make a selection in this four-person match.

The way I see the board is this: First place this week pays a little over one million dollars, with a solo fifth yielding just over $250k. To me, that screams shooting for the moon with my selection since anything that isn't a top-three performance turns into a trivial payout, so with that thought in mind, I am going to take Aaron Wise - a golfer that can win this tournament if he gets any semblance of a putter.

Wise's home course is TPC Summerlin - a venue that will mimic a lot of the quirks that he gets this week at TPC Deere Run, and I believe the state of his game is as high as anyone in this field when we remove his flat stick. The former Oregon product ranks inside the top-20 of my model in strokes gained OTT + approach, strokes gained total on easy courses, weighted bent play + birdie or better percentage, and is also third in this field in strokes gained tee to green. Some might argue that this is a little too aggressive of a pick, but I am willing to roll the dice with the lack of star power at the top of the board.

Yearly Earnings - $8,046,638

Yearly Cuts Made - 22/26

 

Josh BennettPatton Kizzire

Alternate - Steve Stricker

What a field we have to choose from this week. Hard to really be able to trust any guy in this field other than MAYBE Berger, so I’m just going to take a shot at a guy that there is no chance I’ll even think about using again in the future but could make it happen for one week. Kizzire usually struggles because many courses are demanding off the tee (especially in terms of length) and he just doesn’t have a great game there. The rest of the game he actually does pretty well, though. This tournament has proven to be a birdie-makers course, and Kizzire is one of those. He’s won two tournaments in birdie-fests before and tends to run up the leaderboard in other events where we see the winner around 20-under. I think this is a good time to take a chance on a guy that’s won on the tour before in a high-scoring environment, but to be completely honest I wouldn’t be surprised if he missed the cut either.

Yearly Earnings - $3,976,607

Yearly Cuts Made - 19/26

 

Andrew Putters - Scott Stallings

Alternate - Kevin Streelman

It’s getting into the go big or go home part of the schedule. I liked Scott last week and that has not changed this week. He’s trending up in every category over the last 6 tournaments. The most improved statistic is SG Putting. If he can get hot with that, he can fool in the birdies with the best of them. Go get em Stalls!!

Yearly Earnings - $5,839,153

Yearly Cuts Made - 21/26

 

Running Totals

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OAD Spreadsheet

 

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Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team: Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win big.

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