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Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 12 - Sunday Late 4 PM Slate! The 2023 NFL season is underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.
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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.
If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 12
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Josh Allen MORE than 263.5 passing yards
If the Bills are going to compete and have a shot at winning this game, they are going to have to do it on the arm of Josh Allen. The reason for this is because the Eagles' run defense has been stout in 2023. On the season, they have allowed the fewest total rushing yards to running backs in the league while also allowing an average of just 60 rushing yards per game.
This being said, the Eagles have been a pass-funnel defense as they have allowed the sixth-most total passing yards to quarterbacks while allowing an average of nearly 270 passing yards per game. Allen has eclipsed this total in five of his previous eight games. The Eagles have also allowed two of the previous three quarterbacks they have faced to eclipse this total and five total quarterbacks on the season.
Gabriel Davis MORE than 34.5 receiving yards
Pairing Josh Allen with a receiver in this game makes a ton of sense, and while the majority of folks will look toward Stefon Diggs, the Eagles are likely able to key in on him and make him less of a factor, especially considering his receiving yards prop is set at 82.5. In Davis, we get a very achievable 34.5 receiving yards, which is a number he has eclipsed in six games this season.
Davis will be up against an Eagles defense that has allowed the fifth-most total receiving yards to the wide receiver position. They have also allowed an average of 192 receiving yards per game to wide receivers. A total of 21 wide receivers have managed to eclipse this total against the Eagles this season.
Josh Jacobs MORE than 62.5 rushing yards
The Raiders are going to want to keep the ball on the ground in this game in order to keep the Chiefs' offense off the field for as much of the game as possible and this means pounding the rock with Josh Jacobs. Jacobs has carried the ball 200 times through the Raiders' first 11 games, which averages out to over 18 carries per game.
He will be up against a Chiefs defense that has struggled a tad against the run, as noted by the fact that they have given up the 16th-most total rushing yards in the league and have already had their bye week. What is most surprising is that the Chiefs have allowed an average of over 4.7 yards per carry. Due to this, if Jacobs can see his usual workload, he could easily smash this total and end up north of 80 rushing yards.
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