X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

2018 NFL Draft Class Preview - Running Backs (Part 1)

An in-depth preview of 2018 NFL Draft rookies for the running back position (part one). Matt Wispe's top RBs for fantasy football dynasty league rookie drafts.

In my last article, I introduced this series where I'll be providing shorter blurbs to help preview fantasy relevant prospects in the 2018 NFL Draft.

Today, we'll be taking a look at the RB position. Not only is this a strong class at the very top, but it also is incredibly deep. It may not rival the 2017 class in terms of the sheer volume of immediate impact players, but there is plenty of value to be had early on.

I'm sure there will be some turnover at the somewhat arbitrary order that I present them in, but there should be further clarity as we get closer to draft day.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Saquon Barkley, Penn State

Saquon Barkley is the consensus top RB in the class and a near-lock to be drafted early in the first round of the NFL draft.

Saquon Barkley G Rush Att Rush Yds Yards per Carry Rush TD Receptions Rec. Yds Yards per Reception Rec. TD
2015 11 182 1076 5.9 7 20 161 8.1 1
2016 14 272 1496 5.5 18 28 402 14.4 4
2017 13 217 1271 5.9 18 54 632 11.7 3
Career 38 671 3843 5.7 43 102 1195 11.7 8

The takeaway from Barkley's career is primarily defined by his workload in the running and passing game. With two seasons over 200 rushing attempts, Barkley demonstrated a workhorse RB ability and with more than two receptions per game, he's also shown a complete skill set required to be in today's NFL.

The NFL combine could be a day for Barkley to put on a show. If he does, as expected, it could secure a top-five overall selection.  However, he'll need to have shown improvement since high school if he really wants to impress scouts. His 4.63 second forty time from the high school combine, while impressive, won't place him among the fastest RB prospects and could cost him a few spots similar to Dalvin Cook last year.

Barkley is going to be one of the more expensive first round rookie picks in recent years. Barring a Dalvin Cook-like combine performance or something unforeseen, he'll be the 1.01 in all dynasty rookie drafts, a first round start-up league pick, and likely a first round pick in all redraft leagues.

 

Derrius Guice, LSU

Guice isn't the same level of prospect that Leonard Fournette was in 2017, but he's still projected as a fringe first round pick.

Derrius Guice G Rush Att Rush Yds Yards per Carry Rush TD Receptions Rec. Yds Yards per Reception Rec. TD
2015 11 51 436 8.5 3 5 20 4 0
2016 12 183 1387 7.6 15 9 106 11.8 1
2017 12 237 1251 5.3 11 18 124 6.9 2
Career 35 471 3074 6.5 29 32 250 7.8 3

Guice regressed during his senior year in the running game, but his increase usage in the passing game provides a positive outlook for his NFL potential.  Guice was responsible for 46 percent of LSU's rushing yards and 45 percent of rushing TDs. At first glance that's not overly impressive, but due to the LSU run-heavy offense he's also responsible for 26 percent of the total offensive yards and 31 percent of total TDs.

Weighing in around 215 lbs, there's no significant concern whether Guice will be able to handle a full NFL workload. As for most RBs, Guice's athletic measureables will be watched closely at the combine. Since the 40 time has been found to be among the most predictive for future NFL success, we have to hope he improves his 4.61 time from high school.

Guice is among the fairly large second tier of RBs in this class. While many are excited about his NFL prospects, he could fall in the draft with a poor combine, simply due the extreme depth in the class. Guice is a first-round rookie pick in dynasty leagues no matter the draft position or situation because of his upside at a highly coveted position.

 

Bryce Love, Stanford

EDIT: Bryce Love announced on January 16th that he would be returning for his senior season.

If you're looking for an incredibly productive RB who will get questioned about whether his size can hold up in the NFL, Bryce Love is your guy.

Bryce Love G Rush Att Rush Yds Yards per Carry Rush TD Receptions Rec. Yds Yards per Reception Rec. TD
2015 14 29 225 7.8 2 15 250 16.7 1
2016 12 111 783 7.1 3 8 83 10.4 1
2017 13 263 2118 8.1 19 6 33 5.5 0
Career 39 403 3126 7.8 24 29 366 12.6 2

It's hard to fathom that a scout would question whether Bryce Love was capable of handling a full workload in the NFL after he had over 250 rushing attempts for 2,118 yards, but it's an inevitability considering that he missed one game with an ankle injury. But looking at his rushing efficiency, I'm willing to ignore that. Love failed to exceed one reception per game during his final two seasons which should limit the comparisons to fellow Stanford alumnus, Christian McCaffrey.

Running a 4.47 40-yard dash out of high school, along with his propensity for long plays, there's little reason to be concerned with how Love will test at the combine. The only question is whether he'll be one of the best athletes in the class.

Ideally, I would have liked for Love to have a higher usage in the passing game and more than six career kickoff returns, but his rushing efficiency can't go without notice. A strong draft process likely puts Love in the conversation for a late round pick, but he more likely falls to the second round.

Love's dynasty value will fluctuate based on his draft position. If he lands in a strong situation in the early second round, he could climb as high as fifth or 6th pick, but he's most likely to be selected around pick nine.

 

Ronald Jones, USC

Fans of Jones would have hoped for a better conclusion to his college career. Sub-65 yards rushing on the National stage raised some questions about how his draft stock would be affected. But, despite the poor finish, the former USC RB still stands to be an early-round selection.

Ronald Jones G Rush Att Rush Yds Yards per Carry Rush TD Receptions Rec. Yds Yards per Reception Rec. TD
2015 14 153 987 6.5 8 7 39 5.6 1
2016 13 177 1082 6.1 12 11 76 6.9 1
2017 13 261 1550 5.9 19 13 165 12.7 1
Career 40 591 3619 6.1 39 31 280 9 3

After nearly eclipsing 1000 rushing yards during his freshman year, Jones followed it up with back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons. His 1,550 yards in 2017 represented the eighth-most in college football. At 6-foot, 200 lbs, there shouldn't be any concern whether Jones can remain healthy with a full NFL workload. His 20.08 rush attempts per game was the 18th most in the country and he ranked ninth in rushing dominator.

Ronald Jones Rush Att/G Rush Yds/G Rush TDs/G MS RuYds MS RuTDs
Rushing Dominator
2017 20.08 119.23 1.46 0.60 0.65 0.62

Jones didn't test at the High School combine, but his projected 40 times range from 4.28 to 4.50 sec. If he tests anywhere near the low end of that, Jones's stock will soar. He appears to be one of the most athletic backs in a strong RB class and he'll need to test as such to reach his high end draft ceiling.

Jones's floor for most rookie drafts is probably in the seventh overall in most leagues. If he manages to sneak into the first round of the NFL draft, that floor likely rises to fifth.  Jones projects as a versatile RB at the next level and if he proves to be as athletic as projected, he could be one of the most exciting players in the class.

 

Nick Chubb, Georgia

The next two RBs, who are coincidentally teammates, are likely the two that some readers think I should have mentioned earlier. And that's very possibly true.

Nick Chubb replaced Todd Gurley in 2014 after Gurley went down with a knee injury during his sixth game of the season and produced the following results.

Nick Chubb G Rush Att Rush Yds Yards per Carry Rush TD Receptions Rec. Yds Yards per Reception Rec. TD
2014 13 219 1547 7.1 14 18 213 11.8 2

After that season, dynasty players began salivating for his potential in the 2017 draft class, but things went a little sour in his subsequent seasons.

Nick Chubb G Rush Att Rush Yds Yards per Carry Rush TD Receptions Rec. Yds Yards per Reception Rec. TD
2015 6 92 747 8.1 7 4 32 8 1
2016 13 224 1130 5 8 5 86 17.2 1
2017 15 223 1345 6.0 15 4 30 7.5 0
Career 34 758 4769 6.3 44 31 361 11.6 4

An ugly injury in 2015 opened the door for teammate, Sony Michel to takeover the backfield which limited the workload Chubb would receive for the remainder of his career. Even with a somewhat disappointing 2016, there was still significant expectation that he'd enter the 2017 draft, but with the projections he was given, Chubb returned for his senior season. Despite splitting the workload with the aforementioned Michel and freshman, D'Andre Swift, Chubb still eclipsed 200 rushing attempts with more than six yards per carry. He never returned to the level of his freshman year, but Chubb appears to be one of the more productive RBs in the class.

Chubb's dynasty value will be determined by his draft position. If he's drafted to be the lead back, he could be drafted as early as second overall, but his floor is likely the mid-first if other RBs surpass him with better opportunity. Chubb is considered by some to be the second-best RB in the class. If the NFL agrees, he'll be a factor in rookie drafts and some redrafts leagues.

 

Sony Michel, Georgia

In one game, Sony Michel likely raised his draft stock significantly to those who hadn't gotten around to seeing him yet. But, even if his value should have already been known, his absolute destruction in the Rose Bowl against Oklahoma has to be seen as something special.

Sony Michel Rush Att Rush Yds Yards per Carry Rush TD Receptions Rec. Yds Yards per Reception Rec. TD
Rose Bowl 11 181 16.5 3 4 41 10.3 1

Michel was simply outstanding during the semi-final game. On 15 touches, he totaled 242 yards and four touchdowns. Michel followed up with 98 yards on 14 carries against the vaunted Alabama defense to end his career. While he failed to "wow" in a similar fashion to the Oklahoma game, but his playoffs positioned him well for the draft process. And it really shouldn't have been a surprise after his career.

Sony Michel G Rush Att Rush Yds Yards per Carry Rush TD Receptions Rec. Yds Yards per Reception Rec. TD
2014 8 64 410 6.4 5 7 106 15.1 1
2015 13 218 1136 5.2 8 26 270 10.4 3
2016 12 152 840 5.5 4 22 149 6.8 1
2017 14 156 1227 7.9 16 9 96 10.7 1
Career 47 590 3613 6.1 33 64 621 9.7 6

Michel served as the second RB behind Chubb during the 2014 season, but once he opened the door, it stayed open. Michel's 64 career receptions demonstrate his ability to be used where ever he's needed and his substantial increase in touchdowns erased any concerns you could have about his ability to finish the job.

Michel ran a 4.46 40 at the high school combine. Any improvement to that time would help his draft stock.

You could make a case the Michel is the better RB coming out of Georgia. That alone should tell you Michel's potential. He'll likely be the less expensive Georgia back to acquire in rookie drafts simply due to his likely draft position, making him the most viable sleeper of this running back group.

 

Kerryon Johnson, Auburn

I'm adding Kerryon Johnson to the top six after Bryce Love announced that he would be returning to school in 2018. Johnson was a critical member of the Auburn offense that earned a place in the SEC Championship game.

Kerryon Johnson G Att Yds Avg TD Rec Yds Avg TD
2015 12 52 208 4 3 14 159 11.4 0
2016 12 182 895 4.9 11 17 125 7.4 0
2017 12 285 1391 4.9 18 24 194 8.1 2
Career 36 519 2494 4.8 32 55 478 8.7 2

Johnson broke out during the 2016 season as a complementary back to Kamryn Pettway, but took over the full job in 2016. His 1391 yards was the 20th most in college football and his 18 rushing touchdowns was tied for ninth. Six yards per carry is the ideal efficiency number that I look for and while he never eclipsed that level, he impressed in other areas. With 55 career receptions, he averaged more than one a game for 36 games and his final season average of two alleviates any concerns that he could be limited in the NFL.

Johnson doesn't have testing numbers to accurately predict his potential athleticism so the combine will be critical for him to improve his draft stock. If he can run in the 4.5 second range, it will shine a positive light on the productive back. Weight might be a minor concern for Johnson, but at 212 pounds, the concerns are minor, at most.

The former four-star RB will likely be a late first round pick in rookie drafts and could be a sneaky late-round pick in redraft leagues.

 

More 2018 Dynasty League Strategy




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ben Kohles

Finishes Tied For 59 At Corales Puntacana Championship
Joel Dahmen

Finishes Tied For Second At Corales Puntacana Championship
Beau Hossler

Finishes Tied For 60 At Valero Texas Open
Doug Ghim

Finishes Tied For 18 At the Valero Texas Open
Jordan Spieth

Finishes Tied For 18 At RBC Heritage
Kurt Kitayama

Misses The Cut At Valero Texas Open
Si Woo Kim

Finishes Tied For Eighth At RBC Heritage
George Kirby

"Feeling Great", Could Throw Again On Sunday
Tyler Fitzgerald

Returning To Starting Nine
Josh Lowe

Progressing Well, Could Play In Rehab Games On Saturday
Shane McClanahan

Begins "Throwing-Like" Activities
Patrik Laine

Remains Day-To-Day
Gabriel Vilardi

On Track To Return Wednesday
Brandon Hagel

Ruled Out For Game 5
Marcus Johansson

Returns To Action Tuesday
Cole Ragans

Won't Start On Wednesday
Dylan Moore

Placed On 10-Day Injured List With Hip Inflammation
Jonas Siegenthaler

Considered A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Brett Pesce

A Game-Time Call Tuesday
Yordan Alvarez

Back In Tuesday's Lineup
Frederik Andersen

Unavailable Tuesday
Aaron Nesmith

Upgraded To Available
Las Vegas Raiders

Jack Bech A Strong Candidate To Be An Immediate Starter
Las Vegas Raiders

Zamir White Competing For Depth Role
New York Jets

Mason Taylor To Immediately Be Atop Jets Tight End Depth Chart
Bennedict Mathurin

Cleared For Game 5
Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Setting Up As Post-Hype Sleeper In 2025?
Denver Broncos

Dre Greenlaw Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold To Take Over 90% Of The Snaps
Tennessee Titans

Titans In No Rush To Trade Will Levis
Daulton Varsho

Reinstated From Injured List And Starting On Tuesday
Minnesota Vikings

J.J. McCarthy Says He Knows He's Ready To Start For Vikings
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Picking Up Fifth-Year Option On Dax Hill
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Apply Unrestricted Free-Agent Tender To J.K. Dobbins
Seattle Seahawks

Jaren Hall Cut Loose By Seahawks
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs Compare Josh Simmons To Christian Darrisaw, Rashawn Slater
Denver Broncos

Pat Bryant Compared To Michael Thomas
Denver Broncos

RJ Harvey Could Do It All For Broncos
Carolina Panthers

Tetairoa McMillan Likely To Man The X Spot For Panthers
Green Bay Packers

Packers, Jaire Alexander Continue To Discuss Potential Reunion
Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys Discussed George Pickens With Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs To Pick Up Fifth-Year Option On Trent McDuffie, George Karlaftis
Washington Commanders

Matt Gays Signs One-Year Deal With Commanders
San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle Signs Four-Year Extension With 49ers
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Records Third Consecutive Double-Double
Brandin Podziemski

Hits Six Treys During 26-Point Performance
Jimmy Butler III

Leads Warriors In Scoring Monday Night
Jarrett Allen

Has Double-Double, Six Steals In Blowout Win
Brandon Boston Jr.

Recovering From Ankle Surgery
Kelly Olynyk

Undergoes Heel Procedure
Aaron Nesmith

Probable For Tuesday's Action
Nathan MacKinnon

Has Two Points In Losing Effort
Martin Necas

Records Two Assists In Game 5 Loss
Mikko Rantanen

Tallies Three Points In Monday's Win
Wyatt Johnston

Leads Stars To Game 5 Victory
Sergei Bobrovsky

Returns To Winning Ways
Anton Lundell

Earns Two Points Monday
Ryan Gerard

Going For A Texas Trifecta Of Sorts
Brandon Hagel

Departs Loss Early
Joe Highsmith

Hoping To Make More Putts In Texas
Eric Cole

Expecting Big Things In Texas
Brian Campbell

May Go Under The Radar At CJ Cup
Riley Greene

Homers Twice On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

Exits Monday's Win Early
Los Angeles Chargers

Tre Harris Expected To Fill X Role For Chargers
Jimmy Butler III

Officially Active For Game 4
Isaiah Stewart

Uncertain For Game 5
Michael Porter Jr.

Expected To Play In Game 5
Brandon Nimmo

Has Career Game
Russell Westbrook

Questionable For Tuesday Night
Tyler Glasnow

Going On The Injured List
Jaylen Brown

Back On The Injury Report
Jrue Holiday

Out Again On Tuesday Night
Bennedict Mathurin

Questionable For Game 5
Damian Lillard

May Not Play Next Season
Luis Arraez

Expected To Return On Tuesday
Johnathan Kovacevic

To Remain Out Tuesday
Brenden Dillon

Unavailable Tuesday
Luke Hughes

Not Ready To Return For Game 5
Darius Garland

Remains Out On Monday
Ross Colton

Remains Out On Monday
Oskar Bäck

Oskar Back Returns To Stars Lineup Monday
Miro Heiskanen

To Miss Game 5
Jordan Westburg

Placed On Injured List
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go For Game 4
William Byron

Ends With A Strong Top-Five Finish At Talladega
Ryan Blaney

Bad Luck Continues With Talladega Crash
Kyle Larson

Has A Career-Best Performance At Talladega
Ian Machado Garry

Gets Back On Track With UFC Kansas City Win
Brad Keselowski

Talladega Run Ends Early After Crashing
Carlos Prates

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Zhang Mingyang

Still Undefeated In The UFC
Anthony Smith

Retires After UFC Kansas City Loss
Giga Chikadze

Takes Unanimous Decision Loss
Giga Chikadze

Takes Unanimous-Decision Loss
David Onama

Extends Win Streak At UFC Kansas City
Michel Pereira

Drops Decision At UFC Kansas City
Abus Magomedov

Extends His Win Streak
Nicolas Dalby

Gets Finished For The First Time
Randy Brown

Gets Back In The Win Column
Ikram Aliskerov

Gets First-Round TKO Finish At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Gets TKO'd At UFC Kansas City
Chase Elliott

Recovers from Speeding Penalty to Finish Fifth
Joey Logano

Finishes Last at Talladega After Disqualification for Missing Spoiler Brace
Ryan Preece

Loses Talladega Race First in Photo Finish Then in Post-Race Inspection
NASCAR

Poor Toyota Strategy Arguably Cost Bubba Wallace Winning Chances at Talladega
Christopher Bell

Unhurt After Hard Contact with Inside Retaining Wall
Joe Ryan

Posts Stellar Outing
Jaylen Brown

Available For Game 4
Nick Lodolo

Throws Seven Scoreless Innings
Tyler Glasnow

Removed Early On Sunday
Darius Garland

Questionable For Game 4
Jaden Ivey

Making Progress
Tarik Skubal

Racks Up 11 Strikeouts
Luke Weaver

In Line To Get The Bulk Of Save Opportunities Moving Forward
Devin Williams

Removed From Closer Role
Chase Elliott

Is One OF The Top Overall DFS Picks Of The Week
Joey Logano

Could Joey Logano Finish A Race With A Top Finish At Talladega?
NASCAR

DFS Players Should Like Bubba Wallace For Talladega This Week
Christopher Bell

Should DFS Players Roster Christopher Bell At Talladega?
Austin Cindric

Is Austin Cindric Worth Rostering For Talladega DFS Lineups?
Shane Van Gisbergen

Is A Solid, Safe, DFS Choice For Talladega Lineups
Austin Dillon

Is Austin Dillon A Viable DFS Play At Talladega This Week?
Josh Berry

Qualifies Too High At Talladega To Be Worth Rostering In DFS
Michael McDowell

Should DFS Players Take A Shot On Michael McDowell At Talladega?
Noah Gragson

Could Be A Sneaky DFS Play For Talladega
Denny Hamlin

Probably Qualified Too Well for DFS Consideration
Kyle Larson

Increasingly Undervalued Due to His Crashing, but Still a Great DFS Option
Austin Hays

Smacks Two Homers On Saturday
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City