RADIO
The NASCAR Camping World Truck Series is back for the first time since the Bristol dirt race on March 29th. This week, we head to Richmond for the ToyotaCare 250.
We have a Kyle Busch appearance in this race, so things might wind up being a little more predictable than we'd like. But hey, you've got to roll with the punches and figure it out!
Here at RotoBaller, we want to help you make informed decisions about your DFS lineups, which is why I'll be breaking down the slates for the Truck Series. Let's look at some NASCAR Truck Series DFS lineup picks for the ToyotaCare 250 on DraftKings. Be sure to also check out our NASCAR Premium Tools for Truck Series including our DFS Lineup Optimizer and powerful Research Station.
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Kyle Busch #51 ($16,500)
Starting 12th
There are 250 laps this week. That's a lot of chances for one driver to dominate this race, racking up the laps led and the fastest laps. Because of that, I'm paying up for Kyle Busch. Yes, $16,500 is a lot of money, but sometimes you have to do it and then work on your value guys. That'll be the main point of today's article: finding those value guys.
But before that, a little more on Busch.
He hasn't run a Truck Series race here since 2005, so we can't use recent results to make our argument, but we can use the Cup Series results, where he has six Richmond wins and 23 top 10s. That means he has a top 10 in 76.7 percent of his races here. He's finished off the lead lap here once, with zero DNFs. This is a great Busch track.
He's also got two top-two finishes this season in his two Truck starts. He's led laps in his last 13 Truck Series starts. This is an obvious play. Don't run from the chalk.
Matt Crafton #88 ($8,700)
Starting 7th
I think Crafton comes at a solid value this week, coming in as the 10th-most expensive driver.
His Richmond results back in the day weren't great, but when the series returned to this track last season for the first time since 2005, Crafton finished second, leading 25 laps.
Last year, Crafton had top 10s in all three short track races on the schedule. He should be a fixture all day in the top 10, with a good shot to lead a few laps at some point and end up in the top five. Crafton's probably a bit of a boring play, but sometimes boring is what it takes to win some money.
Timmy Hill #56 ($7,000)
Starting 34th
Alright, let's start getting into the value.
Timmy Hill starts 34th. Over the past two years in this 56 truck, Hill's raced 11 times. He's finished worse than 22nd just once, which was a DNF at Vegas last season. He has top 20s in all the short track races he's run since then, including a ninth here at Richmond last year.
He's run a lot of races in Xfinity and Cup here, so that might give him a slight advantage over Truck Series drivers who've run here just once. And this 56 truck definitely isn't bad at tracks like this. I'm excited for Hill this week.
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Jett Noland #44 ($6,800)
Starting 36th
This one is riskier, but it could pay off. Noland will make his second Truck Series start following a 29th-place finish in the Daytona road course race.
A lot of Noland's experience is on short tracks, as he's won a lot of late model races in his young career. Niece trucks aren't, like, elite equipment, but if Noland can keep it clean, this is probably a top 25 truck. The one time the 44 didn't crash out this year, Ross Chastain drove it to a seventh-place finish. Trouble does seem to keep finding this truck, but that can't continue forever, right?
Danny Bohn #30 ($5,700)
Starting 28th
Bohn's results in this 30 truck haven't been great, but I think short tracks are a different story.
Bohn has run 18 races in this series. His only two top 10s were at short tracks. He has an average finish of 18th at short tracks, vs 22.8 overall.
At this point, I probably won't put Bohn in a DFS roster at a speedway again, because the upside isn't there. But I really think he's going to be a great value play moving forward at places like Richmond. He was only 33rd here last year after electrical issues, but his average running position was 25th and he ran as high as 18th. That was also early in his Truck career, and he's gotten more comfortable in this Truck since then.
Ryan Reed #49 ($5,300)
Starting 39th
Alright, this one could bite us, but it's hard to ignore a driver with higher-level experience starting 39th, even if it happens to be in the 49 truck.
Ryan Reed's run 171 Xfinity Series races. 12 of those were at Richmond, where he had an average finish of 13.6. That was better than all but five other tracks, but it's hard to even count the Charlotte road course, since he ran there just once.
So, this is a good track for Reed! The real question: is this a good truck for Reed?
That's a tough one to answer. The 49 didn't qualify for the for a race until Bristol, but Andrew Gordon finished just 31st in it. Last year, this team had one top 25 run. It's, uhh, not a great truck.
But he starts 39th. There's upside here. Ryan Reed isn't going to start-and-park. He'll keep it clean, he'll make smart passes, and he'll try to survive. If you're digging all the way down the value rabbit hole, Reed makes some sense.
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