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Nick Mariano's recommended fantasy baseball starts and sits for all Week 4 starting pitcher matchups. Unearth potential streamers, two-start SPs and sleepers.
We're now in "late April" and can start to talk ourselves into hot or cold starts being for real, including the juicy baseballs that are destroying pitchers! Welcome back everyone to our starts/sits column for Week 4. We here at RotoBaller set out to ease your decision-making with our weekly starting pitcher matchups and recommendations. In case you missed it, this is our sixth year now writing this weekly column, helping fantasy baseball managers pick the best pitchers weekly.
Below are the projected starting pitching matchups for Week 4, which will be updated as rotations are announced and tweaked. Injuries are claiming starters left and right, so this column will be continuously updated and adjusted for any postponements or rotation shuffles, reflecting official beat writer speculation for as many unconfirmed rotation slots as possible.
For every week of the fantasy baseball season, we look to analyze all of the projected starting pitcher matchups and put together our optimal lineups. Here at RotoBaller, we believe that it’s key to analyze every SP matchup, each and every week, to help determine which SPs to start/sit and identify some sneaky streams. Let's win some leagues!
SP Matchups & Start/Sit Recommendations
This weekly piece considers the pitcher’s opponents, their career stats against the opponent, some ballpark factors and historical splits. With all of this information, we then provide our start/sit recommendations for each starting pitcher matchup for the approaching week of fantasy baseball.
We'll now include a "Score" value that goes from 0-100, with 100 being a perfect start and zero being an easy sit. Setting 50 as the "Start/Sit" border, this should help you determine streamer candidates and add necessary context. Also, I've added a two-start pitcher table at the end that combines scores for you, with 100 being the general threshold (if 50 is for one start, 100 is for two). Individual games are listed in case one great and one poor matchup requires attention. We're also working on a spreadsheet that will show historical accuracy that will eventually be linked at the end of the article. Now, time to dive in!
This column was last updated on Saturday, April 27th, and will be updated daily as more rotations and starters are announced through April 28th.
| PROBABLE PITCHERS - MONDAY (4/22/19) | ||||||
| GAME | VISITING STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE | HOME STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE |
| ARI@PIT | Zack Godley | ARI | SIT | 47 | Joe Musgrove | PIT | START | 52 |
| CHW@BAL | Manny Banuelos | CHW | SIT | 44 | David Hess | BAL | SIT | 40 |
| DET@BOS (PPD, 4/23) | Matthew Boyd | DET | START | 51 | Chris Sale | BOS | START | 60 |
| KC@TB | Brad Keller | KC | SIT | 46 | Yonny Chirinos | TB | START | 50 |
| MIL@STL | Adrian Houser | MIL | SIT | 38 | Jack Flaherty | STL | START | 52 |
| MIN@HOU | Jake Odorizzi | MIN | SIT | 43 | Brad Peacock | HOU | START | 50 |
| NYY@LAA | J.A. Happ | NYY | SIT | 48 | Matt Harvey | LAA | SIT | 42 |
| PHI@NYM | Jake Arrieta | PHI | START | 52 | Steven Matz | NYM | SIT | 49 |
| TEX@OAK | Mike Minor | TEX | START | 52 | Chris Bassitt | OAK | SIT | 44 |
| WAS@COL | Jeremy Hellickson | WAS | SIT | 36 | Tyler Anderson | COL | SIT | 44 |
| PROBABLE PITCHERS - TUESDAY (4/23/19) | ||||||
| GAME | VISITING STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE | HOME STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE |
| ARI@PIT | Luke Weaver | ARI | START | 53 | Trevor Williams | PIT | START | 54 |
| ATL@CIN | Kevin Gausman | ATL | START | 53 | Sonny Gray | CIN | SIT | 49 |
| CHW@BAL | Ivan Nova | CHW | SIT | 46 | Andrew Cashner | BAL | SIT | 43 |
| DET@BOS | Spencer Turnbull | DET | SIT | 46 | Hector Velazquez | BOS | SIT | 44 |
| KC@TB | Homer Bailey | KC | SIT | 41 | Ryne Stanek | TB | SIT (Opener) | 32 |
| LAD@CHC | Kenta Maeda | LAD | START | 54 | Jose Quintana | CHC | START | 51 |
| MIA@CLE | Pablo Lopez | MIA | START | 53 | Carlos Carrasco | CLE | START | 64 |
| MIL@STL | Zach Davies | MIL | SIT | 45 | Daniel Poncedeleon | STL | SIT | 43 |
| MIN@HOU | Michael Pineda | MIN | SIT | 45 | Wade Miley | HOU | SIT | 48 |
| NYY@LAA | Domingo German | NYY | START | 53 | Chris Stratton | LAA | SIT | 43 |
| PHI@NYM | Zach Eflin | PHI | START | 53 | Zack Wheeler | NYM | START | 52 |
| SEA@SD | Erik Swanson | SEA | SIT | 48 | Nick Margevicius | SD | SIT | 45 |
| SF@TOR | Jeff Samardzija | SF | START | 51 | Trent Thornton | TOR | START | 53 |
| TEX@OAK | Lance Lynn | TEX | SIT | 45 | Frankie Montas | OAK | START | 53 |
| WAS@COL | Patrick Corbin | WAS | START | 55 | Jeff Hoffman | COL | SIT | 45 |
| PROBABLE PITCHERS - WEDNESDAY (4/24/19) | ||||||
| GAME | VISITING STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE | HOME STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE |
| ARI@PIT | Merrill Kelly | ARI | START | 51 | Jordan Lyles | PIT | START | 52 |
| ATL@CIN | Mike Soroka | ATL | START | 53 | Tanner Roark | CIN | SIT | 46 |
| CHW@BAL | Ervin Santana | CHW | SIT | 48 | John Means | BAL | SIT | 45 |
| DET@BOS | Tyson Ross | DET | SIT | 44 | Eduardo Rodriguez | BOS | START | 54 |
| KC@TB | Jake Junis | KC | SIT | 46 | Blake Snell | TB | START | 65 |
| LAD@CHC | Walker Buehler | LAD | START | 65 | Cole Hamels | CHC | START | 52 |
| MIA@CLE | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | START | 52 | Jefry Rodriguez | CLE | SIT | 45 |
| MIL@STL | Jhoulys Chacin | MIL | SIT | 48 | Adam Wainwright | STL | SIT | 47 |
| MIN@HOU | Kohl Stewart | MIN | SIT | 33 | Justin Verlander | HOU | START | 67 |
| NYY@LAA | CC Sabathia | NYY | START | 50 | Felix Pena | LAA | SIT | 47 |
| PHI@NYM | Vince Velasquez | PHI | SIT | 49 | Jason Vargas | NYM | SIT | 34 |
| SEA@SD | Felix Hernandez | SEA | SIT | 42 | Chris Paddack | SD | START | 51 |
| SF@TOR | Drew Pomeranz | SF | SIT | 47 | Clay Buchholz | TOR | START | 52 |
| TEX@OAK | Bullpen Game | TEX | SIT | N/A | Aaron Brooks | OAK | SIT | 47 |
| WAS@COL | Anibal Sanchez | WAS | SIT | 45 | German Marquez | COL | START | 52 |
| PROBABLE PITCHERS - THURSDAY (4/25/19) | ||||||
| GAME | VISITING STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE | HOME STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE |
| ARI@PIT | Zack Greinke | ARI | START | 64 | Jameson Taillon | PIT | START | 55 |
| ATL@CIN | Julio Teheran | ATL | START | 51 | Luis Castillo | CIN | START | 57 |
| CLE@HOU | Trevor Bauer | CLE | START | 64 | Gerrit Cole | HOU | START | 68 |
| DET@BOS | Jordan Zimmermann | DET | SIT | 43 | Rick Porcello | BOS | START | 51 |
| LAD@CHC | Ross Stripling | LAD | START | 51 | Jon Lester | CHC | SIT | 48 |
| MIA@PHI | Caleb Smith | MIA | START | 52 | Aaron Nola | PHI | START | 64 |
| NYY@LAA | Masahiro Tanaka | NYY | START | 56 | Trevor Cahill | LAA | SIT | 48 |
| TEX@SEA | Taylor Hearn | TEX | SIT | 39 | Marco Gonzales | SEA | START | 52 |
| PROBABLE PITCHERS - FRIDAY (4/26/19) | ||||||
| GAME | VISITING STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE | HOME STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE |
| BAL@MIN | Alex Cobb | BAL | SIT | 42 | Martin Perez | MIN | SIT | 47 |
| CHC@ARI | Kyle Hendricks | CHC | START | 51 | Robbie Ray | ARI | START | 51 |
| CIN@STL | Anthony DeSclafani | CIN | SIT | 48 | Miles Mikolas | STL | START | 51 |
| CLE@HOU | Corey Kluber | CLE | START | 53 | Collin McHugh | HOU | START | 58 |
| COL@ATL | Antonio Senzatela | COL | SIT | 45 | Max Fried | ATL | START | 55 |
| DET@CHW | Daniel Norris | DET | SIT | 46 | Carlos Rodon | CHW | START | 54 |
| LAA@KC | Tyler Skaggs | LAA | SIT | 49 | Danny Duffy | KC | SIT | 46 |
| MIA@PHI | Jose Urena | MIA | SIT | 42 | Jerad Eickhoff | PHI | START | 50 |
| MIL@NYM | Chase Anderson | MIL | START | 50 | Jacob deGrom | NYM | START | 64 |
| NYY@SF | James Paxton | NYY | START | 69 | Madison Bumgarner | SF | START | 58 |
| OAK@TOR | Mike Fiers | OAK | START | 52 | Marcus Stroman | TOR | SIT | 48 |
| PIT@LAD | Chris Archer | PIT | START | 51 | Hyun-Jin Ryu | LAD | START | 54 |
| SD@WAS | Matt Strahm | SD | START | 51 | Max Scherzer | WAS | START | 65 |
| TB@BOS | PPD | PPD | N/A | PPD | PPD | N/A |
| TEX@SEA | Shelby Miller | TEX | SIT | 36 | Yusei Kikuchi | SEA | START | 51 |
| PROBABLE PITCHERS - SATURDAY (4/27/19) | ||||||
| GAME | VISITING STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE | HOME STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE |
| BAL@MIN | Dan Straily | BAL | SIT | 44 | Jose Berrios | MIN | START | 67 |
| CHC@ARI | Yu Darvish | CHC | START | 50 | Zack Godley | ARI | SIT | 46 |
| CIN@STL | Tyler Mahle | CIN | SIT | 48 | Dakota Hudson | STL | SIT | 44 |
| CLE@HOU | Shane Bieber | CLE | SIT | 49 | Brad Peacock | HOU | START | 52 |
| COL@ATL | Jon Gray | COL | START | 52 | Mike Foltynewicz| ATL | SIT | 48 |
| DET@CHW | PPD | PPD | N/A | PPD | PPD | N/A |
| LAA@KC | Jaime Barria | LAA | SIT | 47 | Jorge Lopez | KC | START | 50 |
| MIA@PHI | Trevor Richards | MIA | SIT | 48 | Jake Arrieta | PHI | START | 54 |
| MIL@NYM | Brandon Woodruff | MIL | START | 51 | Noah Syndergaard | NYM | START | 55 |
| NYY@SF | J.A. Happ | NYY | START | 52 | Derek Holland | SF | START | 53 |
| OAK@TOR | Brett Anderson | OAK | START | 50 | Aaron Sanchez | TOR | SIT | 48 |
| PIT@LAD | Joe Musgrove | PIT | START | 53 | Clayton Kershaw | LAD | START | 67 |
| SD@WAS | Eric Lauer | SD | SIT | 44 | Stephen Strasburg | WAS | START | 64 |
| TB@BOS | Charlie Morton | TB | START | 54 | David Price | BOS | START | 53 |
| TEX@SEA | Mike Minor | TEX | SIT | 48 | Mike Leake | SEA | SIT | 47 |
| PROBABLE PITCHERS - SUNDAY (4/28/19) | ||||||
| GAME | VISITING STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE | HOME STARTER | START/SIT | SCORE |
| BAL@MIN | Dylan Bundy | BAL | SIT | 40 | Kyle Gibson | MIN | SIT | 49 |
| CHC@ARI | Jose Quintana | CHC | START | 55 | Luke Weaver | ARI | START | 53 |
| CIN@STL | Sonny Gray | CIN | START | 51 | Jack Flaherty | STL | START | 53 |
| CLE@HOU | Carlos Carrasco | CLE | START | 55 | Wade Miley | HOU | START | 52 |
| COL@ATL | Tyler Anderson | COL | SIT | 43 | Kevin Gausman | ATL | START | 54 |
| DET@CHW | Matthew Boyd | DET | START | 56 | Reynaldo Lopez | CHW | SIT | 47 |
| LAA@KC | Matt Harvey | LAA | SIT | 44 | Homer Bailey | KC | SIT | 43 |
| MIA@PHI | Pablo Lopez | MIA | SIT | 49 | Zach Eflin | PHI | START | 54 |
| MIL@NYM | Gio Gonzalez | MIL | SIT | 46 | Steven Matz | NYM | SIT | 48 |
| NYY@SF | Domingo German | NYY | START | 65 | Dereck Rodriguez | SF | START | 51 |
| OAK@TOR | Chris Bassitt | OAK | SIT | 43 | Trent Thornton | TOR | SIT | 47 |
| PIT@LAD | Trevor Williams | PIT | START | 50 | Rich Hill | LAD | START | 54 |
| SD@WAS | Joey Lucchesi | SD | SIT | 49 | Jeremy Hellickson | WAS | SIT | 47 |
| TB@BOS | Tyler Glasnow | TB | START | 57 | Chris Sale | BOS | START | 57 |
| TEX@SEA | Lance Lynn | TEX | SIT | 43 | Erik Swanson | SEA | SIT | 48 |
Two-Start Pitcher Ranking for Week 4
| PITCHER | MATCHUPS | TOTAL SCORE |
| Carlos Carrasco | CLE | MIA (66), @HOU (55) | 121 |
| Domingo German | NYY | @LAA (54), @SF (65) | 119 |
| Chris Sale | BOS | DET (61), TB (56) | 117 |
| (Maeda removed) | -- | -- |
| Matthew Boyd | DET | @BOS (51), @CHW (58) | 109 |
| Joe Musgrove | PIT | ARI (55), @LAD (53) | 108 |
| Kevin Gausman | ATL | @CIN (54), COL (54) | 108 |
| Jake Arrieta | PHI | @NYM (53), MIA (54) | 107 |
| Luke Weaver | ARI | @PIT (54), CHC (53) | 107 |
| Zach Eflin | PHI | @NYM (53), MIA (54) | 107 |
| Trevor Williams | PIT | ARI (55), @LAD (51) | 106 |
| Brad Peacock | HOU | MIN (51), CLE (55) | 106 |
| Jack Flaherty | STL | MIL (52), CIN (53) | 105 |
| Jose Quintana | CHC | LAD (50), @ARI (55) | 105 |
| (Skaggs removed) | -- | -- |
| J.A. Happ | NYY | @LAA (48), @SF (52) | 100 |
| Mike Minor | TEX | @OAK (52), @HOU (48) | 100 |
| Wade Miley | HOU | MIN (48), CLE (52) | 100 |
| Pablo Lopez | MIA | @CLE (53), @PHI (47) | 100 |
| Sonny Gray | CIN | ATL (49), @STL (51) | 100 |
| Brad Keller | KC | LAA (52), @TB (46) | 98 |
| Steven Matz | NYM | PHI (49), MIL (48) | 97 |
| Spencer Turnbull | DET | @CHW (50), @BOS (45) | 95 |
| Zack Godley | ARI | @PIT (45), CHC (48) | 93 |
| Erik Swanson | SEA | @SD (45), TEX (48) | 93 |
| Lance Lynn | TEX | @OAK (45), @SEA (43) | 88 |
| Chris Bassitt | OAK | TEX (44), @TOR (42) | 86 |
| Matt Harvey | LAA | NYY (42), KC (43) | 85 |
| Jeremy Hellickson | WAS | @COL (36), SD (47) | 83 |
| (Hess removed) | -- | -- |
