Matt Miller's 2026 Sony Open PGA Longshot Bets

January 14, 2026

Matt Miller dives into his top longshot bets for the 2026 Sony Open. PGA sleeper plays, value bets, and under-the-radar golf betting insights.

Welcome to my weekly longshots article! The purpose of this piece is to identify players further down the board that are low risk, high reward wagers. For purposes of this article, I am considering longshots to be players over 100-1 on the odds list.

The wagers listed below might have playability in various sectors of the market. Please search your shops to see if you can find anything enticing.

If you have any additional questions for me, you can find me on X @MattyMillz85. I am always more than happy to answer any questions you might have. Also, stay tuned for additional announcements from me here in 2026. Big things are on the way!

Tom Kim (100-1 FanDuel)

Last season was nothing short of abysmal for Tom Kim, who had just one finish inside the top 10 in 26 starts. That said, Kim hasn’t played since October, and I believe that the time off is a good way for him to reset. In fact, one could potentially spin zone last season’s performance into a positive for this week. Kim should have been highly motivated in the offseason after laying an egg in 2025 and will surely look to come out hot in 2026.

At just 23-years old, Kim is already a three-time PGA Tour winner. When considering longshot bets that could potentially win, the most important thing is finding players who are actually going to be able to win a golf tournament. Between October 2022 and October 2024, the Korean had 11 finishes inside the top 10, with two wins. A pair of those top 10 finishes came at major championships.

There is no denying that Kim has some serious talent. In the 2023 season, he ranked 10^th on tour in strokes gained approach and was inside the top 20 in both driving accuracy and strokes gained total. If 2026 is the bounce back year for Kim that I expect, the 100-1 numbers won’t be next to his name for long.

Austin Eckroat (100-1 FanDuel)

Austin Eckroat is another player who I believe has more win equity and talent than his price suggests. Eckroat’s first season on tour came in 2023 where he, like many, struggled to make the adjustment to PGA Tour life. He was fully adjusted by 2024, winning both the Cognizant Classic and the World Wide Technology Championship. At just 27 years of age, Eckroat’s best days are still ahead of him.

When we dive deeper into Eckroat’s profile, he is a dependable ball striker. In 2024 he finished inside the top 30 on tour in both strokes gained off the tee and on approach. He was also above PGA Tour average in both categories in 2025. The struggles for Eckroat have come in his short game and putting.

At 100-1 I am willing to take a shot on a decent putting week from Eckroat. Eckroat has putted above baseline at the Sony Open in three career starts and his two previous PGA Tour wins have come on Bermuda Greens, which will be featured this week.

Luke Clanton (100-1 FanDuel)

Luke Clanton took the PGA Tour by storm as an amateur in 2024. In seven starts between June and November, Clanton registered four top 10 finishes, including a pair of runner ups at the John Deere and RSM Classic. He gained over a shot and a half on approach against the field in five of the seven and over four strokes tee-to-green in five of the seven.

Returning to college in 2025, he won four tournaments between February and May. Clanton turned pro at the RBC Canadian Open in June and surprisingly struggled the rest of the year. However, I believe a couple month hiatus is going to do Clanton well and we’re more likely to see him return to 2024 form than the latter part of 2025.

Clanton is a bonified winner. As noted above, he won four times in college in 2025. In 2024, he won three straight collegiate events. Clanton is going to pick up his first career PGA Tour winner sooner rather than later and I’d like to be ahead of the curve when it happens.

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