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Today's free MLB prop betting picks for Tuesday, July 25, 2023. Use Dan Palyo's top baseball prop picks and MLB prop bet recommendations to win money on sports books.
There's really nothing like Tuesdays and Fridays in Major League Baseball as far as betting and DFS slates. We always get all 30 teams in action and we usually don't have to worry about any day games either. That's the case again today as we have all 15 baseball games going off after 6 PM EST.
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In this article, I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Tuesday, July 25, 2023. If you ever want to chat about strikeout props or any other MLB bets, you can find me on Twitter @ThunderDanDFS. Good luck today and let's cash some bets!
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MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
Blake Snell OVER 7.5 strikeouts (-135 DraftKings)
It's officially Blake Snell day, let us rejoice and be glad in him. It could be Snell's last start for the Padres if they are seriously shopping him, and what better team than Pittsburgh to show out against?
The Pirates lead the league in K% over their last 30 games and have been really bad against lefties (30%). Snell got them for 10 strikeouts already earlier in June and they've been arguably worse since then with more rookies joining the lineup who are struggling to make contact.
This is a ladder play up to at least 10 strikeouts, we know Snell has it in him and the extra motivation to impress a potential suitor for a trade might even push him up over double digits.
Blake Snell's 5th and 6th Ks...thru 4. pic.twitter.com/F2a3BqsXsH
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 15, 2023
Corbin Burnes OVER 7.5 strikeouts (-145 DraftKings)
Burnes is set to take on the Reds for the fourth time this season. He has 6, 7, and 13 strikeouts against them in his first three starts and we need at least eight of them tonight to cash this bet, which has some juice attached to it.
I'm not sure conventional logic applies to Burnes, as you'd think the opposing team would be getting more used to him and yet they struck out as many times in the third meeting as they had in the first two meetings combined.
I am going to side with Burnes mainly because of the elite form that he's in. Over his last four starts, he is carrying a 36% K% and 0.63 WHIP while holding opponents to a .092 batting average. He's been an unstoppable force and if the Reds are actually a goo matchup for him with at least five lefties in the lineup (Burnes is reverse split and strikes out a lot more lefties than righties, too).
Eduardo Rodriguez OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-155 DraftKings)
I was happy to see E-Rod open up at 5.5 once again and I bet this one without having to do all that much research. Rodriguez has 6+ strikeouts in five straight starts and in all but two starts this season. He missed the entire month of June with an injury but has returned strong with a 32.3% strikeout rate in his three starts in July. The Angels will present a challenge in terms of run prevention, but they are striking out 26% of the time against LHP over the last month, so they are a great target for Ks, too.
George Kirby OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-150 DraftKings)
Anytime we get Minnesota and Seattle on the slate, we have to look at the pitchers facing them. The Twins and Mariners are two of the most strikeout-prone teams against RHP in the majors. And as much as I get wary of going back to a pitcher against the same team in back-to-back starts, this is too good of a spot to ignore, too. Kirby was dominant last week against the Twins when he struck out 10 while allowing just four hits, no walks, and no runs.
George Kirby's Wicked 'Gausman' Splitter. 🤢 pic.twitter.com/tcnihPBTsU
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 20, 2023
Both Maeda and Castillo got there in this series for us last night, so sometimes you can throw that "pitcher against the same team" trend out of the window. Kirby has pinpoint control and has added a nasty splitter (see the video) as he continues to evolve his arsenal this season.
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MLB Hitter Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
Ketel Marte OVER 1.5 total bases (+100 DraftKings)
Marte should lead off against the lefty Steven Matz, but his hits/runs/RBI prop was too juicy for me at -170, so I am going with total bases instead. Marte has some nice splits against lefties this season and in his career. He profiles well against the sinker/changeup combo, too, and has been in great form both over the last several months and more recently as he's hit this prop in four of his last five games.
Cody Bellinger OVER 1.5 hits + runs +RBI (-125 DraftKings)
Bellinger homered again last night and now has a seven-game hitting streak. His total base number was still only set at 0.5 so instead of betting that, I will roll with his hits/runs/RBI instead for better value. He faces Michael Kopech today who is the ultimate boom/bust pitcher. He could strike out Bellinger three times or give up two home runs pretty easily. Kopech has a massive 17% barrel rate to lefties and is a very HR-prone, fly ball pitcher. If Bellinger squares up a 96 MPH fastball, it's going to a long way.
[Codify] Cody Bellinger since June 24: .446 batting average .475 on-base percentage .728 slugging percentage 22 runs, 21 runs batted in [by Antgua... pic.twitter.com/Jt2Vas6we1
— Yankees news (@AshleyBurnell15) July 25, 2023
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