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Fantasy Analysis: Early Post-Post-Hype Sleeper Breakouts

Remember when Chris Davis was a huge prospect? Remember how we got excited about him in 2008 and how quickly we forgot about him after that? He hasn't forgotten. And now, at age 27, this dude is producing like a top-shelf stud. In his last 160 games (139 last year/21 this year as of 4/24/13) his line looks like this:  .284 BA, 86 R, 165 Hits, 40 HR, 107 RBI. Davis is a prime example to never forget about players hyped years before they have a chance to hit their prime….and he’s putting those who gave up on him from ’09-’11 on bended knees praying for patience.

Other young arrivers to the show have reached maturity and they're clamoring to join your team.

Clay Buchholz on May 21, 2012Clay Buchholz impressed the fickle fantasy baseball community in his second major-league start on September 1, 2007, with a 9K no-hitter against the Orioles. He immediately climbed the 2008 fantasy draft boards and promptly fell on his face. He’s pitched two shutouts since ’07, both against the Orioles (’10 & ’12).  But this guy is only 28 years old and, judging by his progress from last season into this one (especially against the long ball this season), appears to be honing his craft. He entered 2013 with an ominous 666 innings pitched (666.1 to be exact), but he's erased any thoughts of a curse with 29 K in 30 IP, a 0.90 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 4-0 record, while giving up only one homer so far. Buchholz was somewhere around #90 on most SP draft boards in early March. As of today, he’s easily in the top five. It’s time to start believing, folks-- not just in Buchholz, but in the Sox in general.

Homer Bailey was #5 on Baseball America’s list of top prospects in 2007, touted as “The next great Texas fireballer in the tradition of Nolan Ryan and Roger Clemens.” So far, those comparisons haven't hit their mark. But the soon-to-be 27-year-old began his emergence last year in his sixth MLB season (13-10, 3.68 ERA, 168 K). When all is said and done, he may be the best #3 starter in the league this season. Find the unbelieving manager who owns him in your league and make your pitch.

Opening Day 074 Justin Upton croppedJustin Upton makes this list, but nobody needs to hear what he’s done so far this season. After his breakout 30/20 season in 2011, he moved into the top 5 on most draft lists. Last season’s regression from our expected production made him a steal in many leagues this season. If you have him, keep him. If not, figure out a way to get him, especially in keeper leagues. He’s only 25 years old, and already has 117 HR and 83 SB to go with a career .278 BA on his six-year résumé. This guy is going to be a beast for many years to come.

Tradin’ Stuff

Here's some quick hits on possible trade targets, and some guys to sell off if you can: Mitchell Boggs's window as the Cardinals closer has closed. If you need a closer and Edward Mujica is available, pounce! David Freese is struggling mightily with the wood, but don't count the 2011 World Series MVP out just yet. Tim Lincecum is going to rebound into his former self at some point this season. Count on it and trade while the picking is easy. Carlos Gomez did some work last week and has his average up to .300. Trade J.P. Arencibia and his 7 HR today for his perceived value. If you can get Desmond Jennings cheap, complete the transaction.

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Be sure to check out RotoBaller's Ultimate Waiver Wire Watch List for gems who might be hiding in your free agent pool!




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

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Headlines 2025-26 All-Defensive First Team
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Starting Game 3 Against Spurs
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Available for Game 3 Against Thunder
De'Aaron Fox

Returns to Action Friday
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Won't Play Friday Night
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Remains in RB1 Discussion
Ladd McConkey

is Solid Buy-Low Candidate
Ryan Flournoy

an Intriguing Dynasty Stash Option
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is Expected to Have Larger Role in Las Vegas
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Hurricanes Keep Faith in Frederik Andersen
Devon Levi

Attracting Interest From Senators
Jacoby Brissett

Cardinals Not Close to a Reworked Deal
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Starting Game 2 Against Golden Knights
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Scratched for Game 2 Against Avalanche
Mark Stone

Won't Play Friday
Jackson Merrill

has Sore Ribs, Expected to Avoid Injured List
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Remains Out Friday
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Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Looking to Take Sophomore Leap
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Jadan Baugh Primed to Lead Florida Offense in 2026
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LSU Hires Ed Orgeron As Special Assistant
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Evan Stewart Pushing Oregon Receiving Corps
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North Carolina and South Carolina Cancel Home-And-Home Series
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Confidence High in Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor
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Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Friday
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Giants, GM Joe Schoen Agree on a Multi-Year Extension
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Loses 10 Pounds in the Offseason
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Dealing With Sprained Ligament in his Finger
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a Top Trade Target in Dynasty Leagues?
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Falling Out of Favor in Cleveland
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the Handcuff to Roster in Kansas City?
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a Perfect Fit for Chargers, Rising in Dynasty Leagues?
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Comfortably Into His Dynasty Prime
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Still a Capable League-Winner at a Sunken Dynasty Cost
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Signs Four-Year Extension with Lions
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Signs One-Year Extension with Rams
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Fills the Box Score in Game 2 Loss
James Harden

Held to Two Assists Thursday
Donovan Mitchell

Leads Cavaliers in Scoring in Game 2 Defeat
Karl-Anthony Towns

Records Double-Double in Game 2 Win
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Picks Up an Assist in Series-Opening Loss
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Adds 19 Points as Knicks Grab 2-0 Lead
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Hands Out 14 Assists in Game 2 Win
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Needs 33 Seconds to Score in Game 1 Loss
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Erupts for Playoff Career-High 26 Points in Game 2
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Struggles in Game 1 Against Canadiens
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Sharp in Game 1 Victory
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Opens Conference Finals With Three-Point Performance
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Notches Three Assists in Game 1 Win Over Hurricanes
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Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
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Considered Questionable for Friday Night
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Listed as Questionable for Game 3
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Questionable for Game 3 Against Spurs
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Could Miss Start of Next Season Due to Hip Surgery
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Looks to Stay Undefeated Thursday
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Contributes 22 Points in Wednesday's Loss
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Tallies Team-High 25 Points in Game 2 Loss
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Records Eighth Postseason Double-Double
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Extends Point Streak With an Assist
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Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
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Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
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Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
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Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
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Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
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UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
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Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
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Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
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Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
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Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
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Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
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Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
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Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
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Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
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to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
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a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
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Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
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is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
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to Make Season Debut on Friday Against Rays
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Ezavier Crowell has Immediate Opportunity at Alabama
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Mark Bowman a Day 1 Impact Player for USC?
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Bill Belichick Says Relationship with First North Carolina Team "Wasn't Great"
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Kemario Taylor a Breakout Candidate at Quarterback
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Trinidad Chambliss the Undisputed Top SEC Quarterback Entering 2026?
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Rocco Becht The "Unifier" of Penn State's Roster
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Orioles Reinstate Jackson Holliday From Injured List on Monday
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Braves Reinstate Ronald Acuna Jr. From Injured List on Monday
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Astros Put Jose Altuve on Injured List With Oblique Strain
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Bounces Back
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Dohoo Choi Wins His Third Consecutive Fight
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Suffers His Second Loss In A Row
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Scores Second-Round Submission
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Defeated At UFC Vegas 117
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Transfer Running Back Arnold Barnes Visiting Iowa State on Monday
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Gets Split-Decision Win
Jhostynxon Garcia

Expected to Join the Pirates on Tuesday
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
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