X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Expert NBA DFS Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel (2/10/24)

Donovan Mitchell - NBA DFS Lineup Picks, Daily Fantasy Basketball

Free expert daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for today's slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. Use Kyle's NBA DFS expert picks to building winning DFS lineups on February 10, 2024.

Welcome to the weekend, RotoBallers. We have a solid seven-game slate on tap in the NBA tonight, and it's packed with value following the trade deadline. The Rockets-Hawks, Suns-Warriors, and Pacers-Knicks games project out as the top matchups to target in my K-Grade model (shown below), but there are going to be options in the other four games, particularly the 76ers-Wizards showdown.

The key to being successful in NBA DFS comes down to making adjustments during the day as injury information becomes available. But it's always really important to have a game plan and the best players and spots circled first before making those adjustments. To keep up with all the latest developments and get access to updated projections, grab an NBA season pass and also gain access to our RotoBaller Premium Discord where @chiefjustice6 is talking about the slate up until lineups lock!

This article will provide you with my daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 2/10/24. Remember to monitor NBA injury news and our awesome NBA injuries report tool, as the slate can completely change before lineups lock at 7:00 PM EST on FanDuel and DraftKings.

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 50% off using code SMASH! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

I start my process with a "K-Grade" model shown below, which I've been fine-tuning for about three years. This model takes real metrics like the implied total, fantasy points per game allowed, defensive ratings, offensive ratings, and projected pace, and applies them to a model with weights. It should be used as a directional guide for the slate and I've had plenty of success with it, but stick to your process and DFS best practices. For example, a player on a team with a "D" K-Grade could easily be the top value on the slate due to a significant uptick in minutes and usage rate.

Today's NBA DFS K-Grades

Today's NBA DFS Core Plays

Let's first take a look at our premium projections to see who we want to target for our top spend-ups tonight.

It's a bit of an anomaly of a slate with the lack of high-ceiling pieces (Doncic, Giannis, Jokic) present. We have Donovan Mitchell in a prime matchup against a Raptors team that's allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game over their last seven games. Jalen Brunson is in a pace-up spot against the Pacers, but he's questionable to play with a lingering ankle sprain. Trae Young almost hit 60 DK points last night in the absence of Dejounte Murray, but I'm only interested in him if DJM sits out again.

The Rockets-Hawks game is the top game to target on this slate, so of course I'm interested in Alperen Sengun. I'll get to a few value options from this game as well, but it's just Sengun and Young (if Murray sits again) at the top of the player pool. The Suns-Warriors game is also an elite one to target tonight, but I'm only interested in Bradley Beal as far as the higher-priced options go.

This feels like a situation where we'll want the news to break regarding the key players here (Brunson, Murray, Maxey) before taking any stands. I might be more inclined to select one of Mitchell/Sengun and get to as much mid-tier and cheap value as possible tonight because there is more to like from those salary ranges on this slate.

Top Core Plays:

  1. Donovan Mitchell, CLE vs. TOR  – PG/SG ($9,900 DK; $10,300 FD)
  2. Alperen Sengun, HOU vs. ATL – C ($9,200 DK; $9,000 FD)
  3. Bradley Beal, PHX vs. GSW – PG/SG ($7,300 DK; $8,000 FD)

 

Today's NBA DFS Value Plays

Using the same premium NBA projections, let's sort them by fantasy points per dollar to see what players are popping as the best values tonight.

Amen Thompson is popping up as the best value on the slate again. He's up to $6,000 now after being $3,900 on 2/2, but it's warranted as he has outputs of 38.75 and 44.25 DK points over his last four games. He got 34 and 32 minutes of playing time over the last two games, so he's a locked-in value option in the best game environment on the slate tonight. Aaron Holiday put up 25.75 DK points over 31 minutes last game, and he makes for an intriguing cheap pivot off Thompson as Cam Whitmore's absence opens up a higher chance at a ceiling game for him.

The newly-minuted 76ers also look great at their prices and in an extremely forgiving matchup against the Wizards. Buddy Hield and Cameron Payne crushed value in their team debuts last night, and they haven't been priced up for their roles in Philly. Tyrese Maxey, De'Anthony Melton, and Nicolas Batum are the names to watch here. If they all sit out again, get to ALL of the Hield and Payne exposure.

There's a smattering of other value pieces on the board here, but the highlights are the Rockets and Sixers. Tyus Jones and Kyle Kuzma are intriguing options from the Wizards, though. The Sixers have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game over their last seven games, and the matchup holds the highest projected pace on the slate. I don't love the ceiling's on either player, but they're too cheap and in a great spot to exceed their median projections.

Top Value Plays:

  1. Amen Thompson, HOU vs. ATL -  PG/SG ($6,000 DK; $7,300 FD)
  2. Buddy Hield, PHI vs. WSH - SG/SF ($5,000 DK; $5,800 FD)
  3. Cameron Payne, PHI vs. WSH - PG ($4,000 DK; $4,600 FD)
  4. Aaron Holiday, HOU vs. ATL - PG ($3,400 DK; $4,000 FD)

 

Want more NBA DFS tools and exclusive content? Check out our premium daily content from proven winner Will Priester! Grab an NBA season pass and get access to our daily projections, optimizer, Will's personal picks, props, advice, and VIP chat rooms. Use promo code THUNDERDAN at checkout to save 10%

 

Today's NBA DFS Lineup Picks: Point Guard

The Amen Thompson Show continues. He failed to hit value in his last game with just 24.25 DK points as he shot just five times and finished with six turnovers. However, he played 32 minutes after seeing 34 minutes the game prior. That's what we like to see, especially out of a still-underpriced guard in the best PG matchup on the slate. The Hawks are allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing PGs over their last seven games, and the defense is even more vulnerable if Dejounte Murray sits out again.

Top PG Options:

  1. Amen Thompson @ ATL ($6,000 DK; $7,300 FD)
  2. Cameron Payne @ WSH ($4,000 DK; $4,600 FD)
  3. Bradley Beal @ GSW ($7,300 DK; $8,000 FD)
  4. Aaron Holiday @ATL ($3,400 DK; $4,000 FD)

Today's NBA DFS Lineup Picks: Shooting Guard

As detailed in the "Core Plays" section, Donovan Mitchell is my favorite spend-up at the position, though it's somewhat by default. He projects to score the most fantasy points on the slate against a Raptors team that's allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game over their last seven games. He needs 49.5 DK points to hit 5x value here, and he has exceeded that mark in six of his last eight contests.

Thompson, Hield, and Beal have already been covered as top plays that qualify at SG, but Josh Hart is another player to highlight. He's not exactly cheap anymore, but he's getting all the minutes he can handle and just exploded for 60.5 DK points last game as Jalen Brunson was inactive. If Brunson sits again, Hart becomes a priority play with his projected uptick in usage and production.

Top SG Options:

  1. Donovan Mitchell @ TOR ($9,900 DK; $10,300 FD)
  2. Amen Thompson @ ATL ($6,000 DK; $7,300 FD)
  3. Buddy Hield @ WSH ($5,000 DK; $5,800 FD)
  4. Josh Hart vs. IND ($7,000 DK; $7,300 FD)

Today's NBA DFS Lineup Picks: Small Forward

We've already covered the two players to prioritize at this position in Hield and Hart. The next options from a FPTS/$ perspective are either too expensive for my tastes or in poor game environments that I'd rather stay away from. Depending on how injury situations shake out, Deni Avdija, Corey Kispert, and Bilal Coulibaly are potential options from the Wizards. They went off for 49.25, 45, 40.5 DK points against the Celtics last night, respectively.

Top SF Options:

  1. Buddy Hield @ WSH ($5,000 DK; $5,800 FD)
  2. Josh Hart vs. IND ($7,000 DK; $7,300 FD)
  3. Corey Kispert vs. PHI ($4,800 DK; $5,500 FD) prefer on DraftKings
  4. Deni Avdija vs. PHI ($6,100 DK; $6,000 FD) prefer on DraftKings

Today's NBA DFS Lineup Picks: Power Forward

Things continue to look a little dicey as we move to the power forward position. Kyle Kuzma is the preferred play here, even though he was seemingly the only Wizards player to not smash value last night as he put up 31 DK points over 37 minutes. He's going to be able to do whatever he wants against this Embiid-less frontcourt, and I see him re-asserting himself as the alpha of this team tonight.

Jalen Johnson is worth taking shots on as well. He isn't the most consistent player in the league, but his floor rarely kills your lineup and he puts up ceiling games more often than most realize. To that point, he has exceeded 51 DK points in two of his last four games. The Rockets typically limit production to PFs, but they're allowing the seventh-most fantasy points per game to the position over their last seven contests.

Top PF Options:

  1. Kyle Kuzma vs. PHI ($7,500 DK; $8,200 FD)
  2. Jalen Johnson vs. HOU ($7,400 DK; $8,300 FD) prefer on DraftKings
  3. Draymond Green vs. PHX ($6,000 DK; $7,000 FD) prefer Jonathan Kuminga on FanDuel
  4. Saddiq Bey vs. HOU ($6,000 DK; $6,300 FD)

 

Today's NBA DFS Lineup Picks: Center

It's Alperen Sengun, and then everyone else at center tonight. Sengun struggled and only played 21 minutes last night against the Raptors, but his size is going to be needed against Clint Capela and Onyeka Okongwu tonight. He's the only center on the slate who's capable of putting up 50-60+ DK points, and that's an extremely valuable piece to have heavy exposure to in lineups tonight. Atlanta has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game to the position this season.

Jarrett Allen just hasn't been putting up the lofty numbers we're looking for at his price tag, so I'm out on him with Kuzma just $200 more and in a much better matchup. Paul Reed, Myles Turner, and Wendell Carter Jr. all project as solid enough options, but my focus is going to be solely on fitting Sengun into my lineups tonight.

Top C Options:

  1. Alperen Sengun @ ATL ($9,200 DK; $9,000 FD)
  2. Kyle Kuzma vs. PHI ($7,500 DK; $8,200 FD)
  3. Paul Reed @ WSH ($5,900 DK; $6,500 FD) prefer on DraftKings
  4. Myles Turner @ NYK ($6,000 DK; $6,800 FD) prefer on DraftKings
  5. Nick Richards vs. MEM ($5,800 FD) FanDuel only

 

Today's Top NBA DFS Game Stacks

  1. Houston @ Atlanta (242.5 total)
  2. Philadelphia @ Washington  (237 total)

 

Today's Top NBA DFS Avoids

  1. We still can't be getting to Tyrese Haliburton, at least until we know his minutes restriction has been lifted. He hasn't played 30 minutes in a game since 1/19.
  2. The fairly priced high-salary guys. Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry, Devin Booker, Scottie Barnes, Donte DiVincenzo, and Pascal Siakam are all priced how they should be, which means I'm not going to be getting to them with the underpriced studs we have available.
  3. Jarrett Allen. There isn't much to like at center aside from Sengun tonight, but the Raptors defend the position well and Allen hasn't given us a reason to think a ceiling game is imminent.

 

My Favorite NBA DFS Lineup Picks for Today

Here is where I leave you with some of my favorites.

  • My favorite overall play on the slate: Donovan Mitchell
  • My favorite CASH play on the slate: Amen Thompson
  • My favorite GPP play on the slate: Alperen Sengun / Aaron Holiday (if Whitemore sits)
  • My favorite value play: Buddy Hield


Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy basketball mobile app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, lineup notifications & DFS articles. All free!

NBA DFS News and Injury Alerts

More DFS Lineup Picks and Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sterling Shepard's Stock Rising for Buccaneers
Cam Talbot

Collects Third Straight Win
Connor Bedard

Shines With Three Assists
CFB

Jermod McCoy Officially Out for Alabama Matchup
Zach Benson

Records Four Assists In Season Debut
CFB

Jam Miller Questionable to Face Tennessee
Cam York

on Track to Make Season Debut Thursday
John Klingberg

Deemed Day-to-Day
Will Borgen

Battling Lower-Body Issue
Hampus Lindholm

Still Day-to-Day
Jaden Ivey

Considered Day-to-Day
Josh Hart

Making Progress
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Busy in Preseason Debut
Keegan Murray

Lands Five-Year, $140 Million Extension
Domantas Sabonis

Sustains Hamstring Injury Wednesday
Jaylen Brown

"Fine" Following Wednesday's Early Exit
CFB

Arizona State QB Sam Leavitt Probable For Saturday
Jake Walman

to Remain Out Thursday
Dmitry Kulikov

to Miss Five Months Following Surgery
Darcy Kuemper

Day-to-Day With Lower-Body Injury
Anze Kopitar

Listed as Day-to-Day
Jacob Markstrom

Out for "Couple of Weeks"
Kevon Looney

Slated to be Sidelined With Knee Injury
Nick Foligno

Out on Wednesday
Lucas Raymond

Misses Wednesday's Game
New York Knicks

Malcolm Brogdon Calling it a Career After Nine NBA Seasons
Russell Westbrook

Inks Deal With Kings
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Open 21-Day Practice Window for Khalik Mack
Quentin Johnston

Will Practice Wednesday
Travis Hunter

Jaguars Plan to Expand Travis Hunter's Role on Offense
Anthony Volpe

Undergoes Left-Shoulder Surgery
Deshaun Watson

"a Good Month Away" From Practicing
CFB

Jayden Gibson No Longer with Oklahoma Program
David Njoku

Not Practicing Wednesday
Rashee Rice

Chiefs "Allocating a Heavy Workload" for Rashee Rice Right Away
Puka Nacua

a "Long Shot" to Play in Week 7
Emeka Egbuka

is Expected to Miss Week 7
Jalen Suggs

Participates in Contact Drills
Mark Williams

Progresses to Five-on-Five Work
Gary Harris

to Miss 1-2 Weeks
De'Andre Hunter

Sustains Knee Contusion Tuesday
Karlo Matković

Karlo Matkovic Hurts Elbow in Loss to Houston
Jalen Duren

Returns to Action Against Cavaliers
Stuart Skinner

Records Eighth Career Shutout
Matthew Knies

Dishes Out Three Assists in Tuesday's Win
Maxwell Crozier

Likely Out on Friday
Brett Howden

Dealing With Lower-Body Injury
Adin Hill

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Versus Flames
Matt Duchene

Injured in Tuesday's Win
Emmanuel Clase

to be Banished for Life After Gambling Allegations?
Alex Bregman

Plans to Opt Out of Contract With Red Sox
Jalen Green

Reinjures Hamstring, Will be Reevaluated in 10 Days
Trey Murphy III

Set to Suit Up Tuesday
Joel Embiid

Could Play in Friday's Preseason Finale
Alexey Toropchenko

to Remain Out Wednesday
Paul George

Participates in Team Activities During Practice on Tuesday
CeeDee Lamb

"Looking Good" for Week 7
Kevin Huerter

Could Be an Option Thursday
D'Andre Swift

Breaks Out for 175 Total Yards and Touchdown in Win
Drake London

Explodes for 158 Yards and Touchdown in Win Over Bills
Bijan Robinson

Erupts for 238 Total Yards and Touchdown Against Bills
Christopher Bell

Sits Third in Points After Quiet Third-Place Finish
Chase Briscoe

Passes Denny Hamlin at the Start, but Hamlin Gets Him in the End
Joey Logano

Falling Out of Playoff Picture Despite Other Contenders' Crashes
Ryan Blaney

Stage 1 Crash Puts Ryan Blaney in Severe Playoff Trouble
Denny Hamlin

Wins at Las Vegas and Will Compete for the 2025 Cup Series Title
Kyle Larson

Dominates at Las Vegas but Ends Up Second
Chase Elliott

Struggles to Gain A Solid Finish at Las Vegas After Pit-Road Penalty
William Byron

Strong Run Ends In A Wreck at Las Vegas
Garrett Wilson

Expected to Miss "a Couple of Weeks" With Hyperextended Knee
Dalton Kincaid

Ruled Out for Monday Night
CFB

Sam Leavitt Viewed as Day-to-Day with Undisclosed Injury
Anthony Santander

Scratched From Game 2 of ALCS With Back Tightness
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Expected to Play on Monday Night
Brock Bowers

Could Sit for the "Long Haul"
CeeDee Lamb

has a Chance to Play in Week 7
San Diego Padres

Mike Shildt Retires as a Manager
Tennessee Titans

Titans Fire Head Coach Brian Callahan
Mateusz Gamrot

Suffers Second-Round Submission Loss
Charles Oliveira

Gets Back In The Win Column
Montel Jackson

Drops Decision
Deiveson Figueiredo

Gets Split-Decision Victory
Vicente Luque

Outclassed
Vicente Luque

Joel Alvarez Outclasses Vicente Luque
Jhonata Diniz

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Mario Pinto

Remains Undefeated
CFB

Matt Rhule Denying Interest in Penn State Head Coaching Job
CFB

Le'Veon Moss Not Believed to Have Suffered Season-Ending Injury
Ricardo Ramos

Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
Chris Godwin

Not Expected to Return in Week 7
Bucky Irving

Not Expected to Return in Week 7
Puka Nacua

Rams Think Puka Nacua has Avoided a Long-Term Injury
Kaan Ofli

Scores Comeback Win
CFB

Bill Belichick Says he's Committed to North Carolina
Tiger Woods

Undergoes Back Surgery
CFB

UAB Fires Head Coach Trent Dilfer After 2.5 Seasons In Birmingham
CFB

Penn State Fires Head Coach James Franklin After 10.5 Seasons
CFB

Penn State QB Drew Allar Will Miss The Rest Of 2025 Season With Ankle Injury
Brandon Woodruff

Will Not be on NLCS Roster
Max Scherzer

Added to ALCS Roster
Bryan Woo

Makes ALCS Roster
Bo Bichette

Won't Make ALCS Roster
Christopher Bell

the Favorite to Win at Las Vegas
Denny Hamlin

on the Pole at Las Vegas
Joey Logano

Can Joey Logano Get Lucky in Las Vegas Again?
William Byron

has the Fastest Car in Practice at Las Vegas
Ty Gibbs

Speed of Ty Gibbs a Good Sign for Toyota at Las Vegas
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Should Contend at Las Vegas
Ross Chastain

Scrapes Wall in Practice But Qualifies 15th at Las Vegas
Chris Buescher

Looking for Improvement at Las Vegas
Austin Cindric

It Has Been Hit or Miss for Austin Cindric at Las Vegas
Chase Elliott

Should Run Well at Las Vegas
Kyle Larson

Conservatism May Keep him from Replicating Previous Las Vegas Drive
Josh Berry

After Josh Berry's Las Vegas Win, Ryan Blaney Should be a Top Contender
Chase Briscoe

has Definitely Improved on Intermediate Tracks
Gleyber Torres

Will Undergo Surgery to Repair Sports Hernia
Bryan Woo

Expected to be on Mariners' ALCS Roster
CFB

CJ Baxter to Miss Saturday's Game Against No. 6 Oklahoma
CFB

Syracuse QB Steve Angeli Will Miss Significant Time
Cody Bellinger

Plans to Opt Out of Contract
MLB

Munetaka Murakami Will be Posted This Winter
Nathan Eovaldi

has Hernia Surgery, Should be Ready for Spring Training
Mateusz Gamrot

Set For UFC Rio Main Event
Charles Oliveira

Returns At UFC Rio
Montel Jackson

Set For UFC Rio Co-Main Event
Deiveson Figueiredo

Returns At UFC Rio
Joel Álvarez

Joel Alvarez Set for his Welterweight Debut
Vicente Luque

A Huge Underdog
Mario Pinto

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Jhonata Diniz

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kaan Ofli

Looks To Secure His First Octagon Win
Ricardo Ramos

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Michael Aswell

Looks For His First UFC Win

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP