Avoid draft-day mistakes with RotoBaller’s top Fantasy Football Busts and player fade picks. Our experts spotlight overvalued players, risky ADPs, and bust candidates to help you draft smarter.

Is JuJu Smith-Schuster Still a WR1?
In the last 10 seasons, only one man has been able to finish with more than 300 PPR points in fantasy leagues while playing wide receiver for the Pittsburgh Steelers: Antonio Brown. The misunderstood and now much-maligned wideout did it six times from 2013 to 2018 without failing at it, getting between 307.3 points and 388.2 […]

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 6
Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]

NextGen Stats - Running Back Breakdowns and Takeaways
With five weeks of play in the books and things starting to settle a bit, it's time to get back to studying some of the rushers around the league and see how they have performed through (almost) the first third of the season. Here's to hope that we don't have any more setbacks with regards […]

The Cut List (Week 6) - Time to Let Go?
If you are familiar with this column, you are probably used to seeing three or four players I dub droppable. For this week, I found that many players that fit the criteria (players owned in at least 30% of leagues) are either obvious drops, or that there just weren’t a whole lot of candidates I […]

Week 5 Outliers Analysis - We Must Overreact!
Unlike Week 4 where 17 quarterbacks scored at least 20-fantasy points, only 11 quarterbacks reached that same mark in Week 5. Patrick Mahomes finished the week as the No. 1 quarterback on the week, while Ryan Fitzpatrick finished No. 2 in surprising fashion against a tough 49ers Defense. Travis Kelce finished Week 5 as the […]

Booms and Busts - Surprise Starts and Sits for Week 5 Lineups
We are a quarter of the way through the NFL season and the major storyline continues to be the mounting injuries across the league. It seems as though each week there are several new injuries to vital producers in fantasy football. This is causing managers to traverse the waiver wire and reconstruct their rosters much […]

Top 10 Fantasy Football Busts for Week 5
It's Week 5, RotoBallers! We're essentially one-third of the way through the fantasy regular season. With last week featuring the NFL's first COVID-related postponement, fantasy managers can officially expect the unexpected moving forward. While some managers will lose interest or grow frustrated with the ever-growing injury list combined with unplanned bye weeks, this is the […]

Low-Usage Running Backs Bound For A Explosion
If you're not familiar with Expected Points (EP), here's a quick definition per RotoViz: EP are the number of fantasy points that a target or carry should score based on game situation (down, distance, and field position, based on similar past plays). They transform raw opportunities (carries and targets) directly into fantasy points. As we […]

How Sean McVay Keeps Screwing With Fantasy Teams
Remember the halcyon days of 2018, when the Los Angeles Rams offense was just so easy to predict? Jared Goff was a QB1. Todd Gurley II was an RB1. Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks were consistent WR2 starts for fantasy managers, while Cooper Kupp played just eight games, but was also a consistent WR2 start […]

Fantasy Football Buy or Sell - Week 5
The fantasy stonks market is always a fun one to evaluate. Buy/Sell articles like this are essentially glorified "Who's Hot and Who's Not" but the tables are turned to where sometimes, you want to buy those that are cold and sell the hot. Buy-low, sell-high is the motto but also, sometimes it is ok to […]

Fantasy Football Warning Signals From Week 4
We are now four weeks into the season. We’ve gained a lot of knowledge about some of these players from a fantasy football perspective. As the sample size of information increases the easier it is to evaluate players. The warning signals get brighter by the week. Some of these players are dead weight in fantasy […]

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 5
Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]

NextGen Stats - Wide Receiver/Tight End Breakdowns and Takeaways
I can't believe it. Months of waiting, painful empty weekends, and now a quarter of the NFL season is suddenly gone! But I'm not going to lie, I love the moment when the whistle blows to end the week on Monday nights. It is just the confirmation that we have another full round of data […]

Now Is the Time to Sell High on Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott came into the season as a consensus top-five quarterback in fantasy football. Through four games, the Dallas Cowboys QB has soared past those expectations, completing 68% percent of his passes for 1,690 yards, nine touchdowns, and three interceptions. Currently ranked as QB1, Dak is on an absurd pace of 6,000+ passing yards on […]

Can We Count on Kenyan Drake?
After a top-four finish following his trade from Miami to Arizona, running back Kenyan Drake was all the hype coming into fantasy drafts this season. With Arizona giving him the transition tag and the $10 million that came with it, the thought was he would be used heavily this season. So far, it has not […]

The Cut List (Week 5) - Time to Let Go?
We have reached the point in the season where you will inevitably encounter players once featured in the “hold” category, be demoted to the “drop” portion of the entry. As the sample size of games increases, it will be harder to recommend a hold on a “let’s see” approach. There are naturally exceptions to this, […]

Week 4 Outliers Analysis - We Must Overreact!
There were 17 quarterbacks that scored at least 20-fantasy points in Week 4 with Dak Prescott leading the charge. Teddy Bridgewater, Justin Herbert and Sam Darnold were some unfamiliar faces that cracked the top-10 this week, but other than those guys none of the big producers really surprised us. As a whole, tight ends weren't […]

Top 10 Fantasy Football Busts for Week 4
Week 4 is here, RotoBallers! This is often when fantasy managers begin adjusting their season-long expectations and attempt to separate mirage from reality. As the weeks roll along, we accumulate useful data for making start/sit decisions. With three weeks of matchups in the books, we can begin to see trends developing as we determine which […]

Fantasy Football Booms and Busts: Week 4
I don’t know about you, but I’m getting sick of all the injuries in the NFL. Trying to field a lineup in fantasy football lineup in standard leagues, dynasty leagues or DFS contests is harder than finding a decent player on the New York Jets offense or New York Giants Defense. Injuries create openings for […]

Regression is Coming - Five Players Bound to Decline
It's been three weeks of games already. That means we're quickly approaching the completion of the first quarter of the season. Time flies, folks. With a big enough sample of data already in our hands, it's time we start separating the wheat from the chaff before it's too late. And that's what I'm here for. […]

Coaching Matters: Offenses That Will Decline From Week 3
This series continues into its third week of where I dive into offensive areas that will improve or decline based on coaching in order to glean insight as to fantasy football value. After much research, I've developed a broad knowledge of how each team's play-caller historically operates and compiled data to help make informed decisions throughout the regular season as […]

Fantasy Football Buy or Sell - Week 4
The fantasy stonks market is always a fun one to evaluate. Buy/Sell articles like this are essentially glorified "Who's Hot and Who's Not" but the tables are turned to where sometimes, you want to buy those that are cold and sell the hot. Buy-low, sell-high is the motto but also, sometimes it is ok to […]

Were We Wrong To Be Excited About Joe Mixon?
We did it again. I say "we" because I'm right there with you. We told ourselves we wouldn't be duped. We told ourselves that we wouldn't go back considering the frustration he caused us in the past; yet, here we are, rostering Joe Mixon and wondering what we've gotten ourselves into again. It seems like […]

NextGen Stats - Quarterback Breakdowns and Takeaways
You can officially start panicking. We're already through three weeks of the year, and by next Monday at this time, you'll be looking at the schedule to realize that a quarter of the season is already behind us. It sucks, but it means there are still three more quarters ahead of us! Yay! To gain […]

Fantasy Football Warning Signals From Week 3
With Week 3 in the books, we now have to take a step back and analyze which players could be trending in the wrong direction. Being objective will be key here since some of these players were held in high regard going into the season. Nonetheless, it's about exploiting gaps in the market and selling […]

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 4
Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement. […]

Waiver Wire Teases - Players To Avoid Or Not Overspend On
Remember when Nyheim Hines was the hottest pickup in Fantasy Football in Week 1? He was supposed to be the next Austin Ekeler, but he completely disappeared a week later. Fantasy players have also been teased by the likes of Benny Snell Jr., and Marquez Valdes-Scantling, who has proven to be a waiver wire bust […]

Week 3 Outliers Analysis - We Must Overreact!
Week 3 was a wild one in the NFL with several key players going down with injuries and a few shootouts going down. The quarterback position was fairly stable with Russell Wilson, Josh Allen and Dak Prescott finishing as the top-three producers at the position. Tight end on the other hand was an absolute disaster […]

The Cut List (Week 4) - Time to Let Go?
Thankfully, Week 3 was a much more forgiving week for injury news than Week 2. That doesn’t mean you stay put with your existing roster though – unless you’re sitting pretty at 3-0 and you don’t have any of the players appearing on this list. If that's the case, I suppose you can stay with […]