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Ben Rolfe analyzes optimal DFS cash game value plays for Week 10 of the NFL season. These players are worth considering on FanDuel and DraftKings daily fantasy sports cash games.
Six teams on a bye week mean that we have another slimmed-down 10-game featured slate on DraftKings this week. However, with plenty of bad defenses on the slate, including the Giants, Buccaneers, and Dolphins, there is still plenty of value to be found across the slate.
Four games on this slate have a line of 47 or above, with six games below 45, and three of the games floating around the 40 point mark. As always the higher lines will present us value in terms of the pass-catchers, with the lower lines offering more value to the running back position. Another consideration here is the weather, with snow already coming down in Green Bay, and the potential to affect the game come Sunday.
This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 10 of the 2019 NFL season.
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Week 10 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays
Jacoby Brissett/Brian Hoyer, IND vs. MIA | DK: $6,000/$5,900, FD: $7,600/$7,100
The Colts offense has been somewhat hit and miss this season, but this week against the Dolphins should offer them a chance to have a solid week. The Dolphins are currently allowing over 21 FPPG to opposing quarterbacks, and the Colts proved they could move the ball effectively on a much stiffer Steelers Defense last week. In terms of which quarterback you want, it may actually be Hoyer, as he is more likely to be a full go, and throw caution to the wind. However, both should be capable of a 20 point score this week, against a Dolphins team which has proven it will fight hard in these games.
Sam Darnold, NYJ vs. NYG | DK: $5,800, FD: $7,200
If Darnold does not do it for me this week I am done. The Giants are allowing 23 FPPG to quarterbacks, and now face a Jets team which should have enough talent to take advantage. The Jets offensive line has issues, but the Giants pass rush is hardly intimidating either. This has to be the week for Darnold in what could prove to be a shootout, where we see him throw the ball 30 or more times.
Week 10 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays
David Montgomery, CHI vs. DET | DK: $5,500, FD: $6,400
Much like with Darnold I am close to breaking point with this Bears team, but this is the week to roll with Montgomery. The Lions rank dead last in FPPG allowed to opposing leading backs, with their average FPPG of 24.5 being three points higher than the second-place Chiefs. Montgomery has seen 41 carries and nine targets the last two weeks and should have every chance to see similar numbers this week against the Lions.
Devin Singletary, BUF @ CLE | DK: $5,000 FD: $6,700
The Bills finally committed to Singletary as their lead back last week as he carried the ball 20 times, adding four targets, which all added up to a 23 point return. This week he faces a Cleveland team that allows an average of over 18 FPPG to opposing lead running backs. In what should be another tight game, I would expect to see Singletary build on his promising performance from last week.
Ronald Jones II, TB vs. ARI | DK: $4,300, FD: $6,300
Week 9 saw the first double-digit return in four weeks for Jones, thanks in large part to having 18 carries and a touchdown. It looks like he may have supplanted Peyton Barber as the number one option in the Buccaneers offense, and now he faces an Arizona team allowing over 19 FPPG to lead running backs.
Week 10 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays
Zach Pascal, IND vs. MIA | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,400
T.Y. Hilton has already been ruled out for next week, meaning Pascal should be one of the top options again this week. Last week he saw six targets, which he turned into 18.6 points, with Hilton missing. Pascal has also been averaging 4.8 targets per game at home this season and is now facing a Dolphins team allowing over 20 FPPG to lead wide receivers.
Jamison Crowder, NYJ vs. NYG | DK: $5,000, FD: $6,500
Crowder got back into the double-digits last week with eight receptions on nine targets for 84 yards and a touchdown. Generally, he has had a good rapport with Darnold this season, and he has seen at least five targets in every game Darnold has played this season. His ceiling is limited by the fact that many of his receptions tend to be short, but he found the end zone for the first time last week and could be in for a bump if Le'Veon Bell is limited. His matchup this week sees him facing a Giants team allowing 12 FPPG to slot receivers and over 20 FPPG to lead receivers, which he arguably is in this offense.
Cole Beasley, BUF @ CLE | DK: $4,100, FD: $5,500
Beasley is my solid floor player for cash games as often as I think he is viable. Last week his game was salvaged with a touchdown, as he saw a season-low two targets. However, Beasley has been a solid part of this offense this season, and the game against the Redskins last week kind of petered out, which may explain his limited usage. This week the game against the Browns should be closer and I expect to see Beasley play a big part for the Bills.
Week 10 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays
Jonnu Smith, TEN vs. KC | DK: $3,500, FD: $5,100
Last week was a crash back to earth for Smith, as he could only turn his five targets into 4.8 fantasy points. It looks as though Delanie Walker is going to miss another week, so Smith will get his chance to rebound against a Chiefs Defense which has allowed an average of 13.5 FPPG to the tight end position.
O.J. Howard, TB vs. ARI | DK: $3,300, FD: $5,000
Howard has missed the last two weeks but was back as a full participant this Wednesday, which suggests he is back to full health. Additionally, this week he sees the softest matchup in the league for tight ends, with the Cardinals having allowed over 17 FPPG to lead tight ends. Howard has the ability to rip defenses apart, and despite a limited role in the offense this season, this is a game to get him on track for the season. A great comparison here is the amazing week that rookie tight end T.J. Hockenson had in Week 1 against this Cardinals Defense.
