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Reviewing Demetri's Bold Predictions from the 2016 Season

Demetri looks back at his bold predictions for the 2016 fantasy baseball season

Welcome back to RotoBaller's 2016 Bold Predictions series. We've heard from several writers already, but have plenty more fearless forecasts coming down the pike. Today, it's my turn to put my sterling reputation on the line.

I would love to blame most of these on me spending a couple months in Greece this summer. But I made all 10 of these predictions way before my bags were packed. Let's take a look.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through the playoffs. Premium DFS research, lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

 

Grading the Predictions

1) Mark Teixeira will play more than 140 games 

I was only 24 games shy. You almost did it, Mark, you almost did it. In a season where Teixeira played in 116 games, surpassing last year's total by five, the Yankees veteran first baseman saw his lowest drop in production in his 14 year stint; a career low 14 home runs and 44 RBI. He battled neck spasms in May, took a trip to the DL in June after tearing cartilidge in his right knee, but then remained relatively healthy the rest of the way. He hit his 400th home run in early July and then about a month later, announced that this would be the last season he rocks pinstripes and any other MLB uniform.

Tex has missed around 300 games since 2012, but after a healthy spring, this was his year to play in a full campaign. Joe Girardi also benched Tex a handful of times, and started the young, blooming Tyler Austin and late-season acquired veteran, Billy Butler. Makes you wonder how many more dingers he would have hit if he played in a majority of all those he missed in his career, if he stayed healthy. Some guys simply can't.

Grade: C+

2) Will Smith to finish within top 10 of saves

Yikes. In order to finish within the top 10 of saves, you need to start by recording at least one. Will Smith did not, failing to get jiggy with it for the Brewers. Smith was never the closer in Milwaukee, and didn't taste the role when he was traded to the San Fransisco Giants. Battling with Jeremy Jeffress for the gig in spring training, Smith was beaten by his competitor. Even Jeffress was later replaced by Tyler Thornburg after being shipped to Texas. I wish this was the worst it got on this list, although this is certainly in the running.

Grade: F

3) Jacoby Ellsbury will steal more than 40 stolen bases 

Does half of 40 count? Ellsbury was off to a solid pace, stealing five in April and then six in May, but then something really, really strange, like mind-boggling strange, like some Twilight Zone strange, happened. He. Stopped. Running. It's not like the dude wasn't getting on base, obviously not at an accelerated rate like he was before the Yankees unloaded a UPS truck filled with money on him, but he was. He simply chose to inch, centimeter by centimeter, to second base, something I guess we can consider a "lead," and stayed put. He clearly enjoyed talking to the opposing first baseman more than swiping a bag considering he stole only three in June, three in July, one (in 102 AB) in August, and two in September. As a matter of fact, Ellsbury went August 21st to September 29th without a single stolen base. Wait, without a single attempt. I won't sugarcoat this, Jacoby. You're the worst signing in Yankees franchise history.

Grade: D 

4) Miami Marlins to contend in the NL East 

Alright, we're finally getting somewhere. At the end of July, the Miami Marlins were four games back of the Washington Nationals for first place in the division, and two games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers for the top wild card spot in the National League. Their odds at making the playoffs sat at an impressive, and surprising, 38.9%. But then August happened, the team posted a damaging 11-18 record for the month, and were surpassed by the surging New York Mets. There was a hint of glory, flirting with potential of the future. Getting a head start on 2017 predictions, the Marlins will contend again next season.

Grade: B

5) Nolan Arenado wins National League MVP

There are four candidates vying for this honor; Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant, Daniel Murphy, and Nolan Arenado. Arenado arguably has the best all around numbers out of the four, with his .292 average, 41 home runs and 133 RBI. But, he plays at Coors Field for half the season, which could very well hinder some voters from giving him the nod. Then we have Murphy's insane average of .345 and solid production, and the teammates in Chicago. We won't know if this bold prediction will come to fruition until after a new team is crowned World Series Champion, but Arenado is an MVP in my book.

Grade: B+

6) Blake Swihart will finish inside Top 10 of fantasy catchers 

And my two-prediction streak comes to a loud, screeching halt. Blake Swihart was named Boston's opening day catcher, but was quickly replaced by Christian Vasquez because of the pitching rotation's struggles. After his demotion, Swihart moved to left field in the minors, and was recalled to the bigs about two weeks following. 11 starts in the outfield later, Swihart collided with the Green Monster and broke his ankle. See you later prediction.

Grade: D-

7) Aaron Hicks will play more games than Brett Gardner 

Brett Gardner struggled against lefties. He also struggled against righties. But nobody had a rougher time in pinstripes this season than Aaron Hicks. Hicks couldn't even sneeze near a pitch thrown by a lefty without striking out, and batted .161 in 118 AB versus southpaws. Hicks played in 25 less games than Gardner, so I was close. But no cigar for me. I predicted that this would be the season that Hicks breaks out, and Gardner finds the bench permanently. Neither happened.

Grade: D

8) Tyler Duffey: American League Cy Young candidate 

So I'm pretty sure a 9-12 record, with a 6.93 ERA (Yikes), 25 homers allowed, in 133.0 innings pitched and 25 games started, should earn him some votes. I just don't know how many exactly. Duffey certainly regressed in his second stint in the MLB, and his first real opportunity of a full season's workload, following 10 impressive starts in 2015. Maybe it didn't help that the Minnesota Twins finished with the league's worst record, and were 35.5 games out of first place at season's end.

Grade: F

9) Joe Mauer will bat .300 

This one was looking pretty good for me. Then April ended, and Mauer's .321 record for the month was replaced with a .253 May average, then lowered even more by a .223 June showing. The former league MVP did have an outstanding August, posting a .337 average and 14 ribbies, but then finished September with an .111 average in limited plate appearances. So, there's that. 2016 marks the third straight season that Mauer has hit below .280.

Grade: D

10) At least one Colorado Rockies pitcher will win 10 games 

Whoop whoop, I got one, regardless of how soft of a prediction this was. Jon Gray finished the 2016 campaign with 10 wins on the nose (phew), but my bet was hedged by Chad Bettis and his strong finish to the season. Bettis recorded 14 wins and lowered an ERA that flirted with 6.00 in early July down to 4.89. Granted nothing too impressive, but Bettis surprisingly had much better numbers at the pitcher's nightmare, Coors Field. At home, Bettis went 8-2 with a 4.44 ERA, and allowed eight fewer home runs than on the road. He also added a complete game shutout against the playoff-bound San Fransisco Giants in early September. Looks like we both ended on a high note.

Grade: A




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

NBA

Bronny James Scores 10 Points
Harrison Ingram

Limited on Sunday
NBA

Isaiah Mobley Drops 16 Points
NBA

Ryan Rollins Staying with Bucks
T.J. Watt

Pittsburgh Still Not Close on New Contract
Terry McLaurin

Still Not Pleased with Contract Situation
Sonny Milano

on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Yu Darvish

to Make Season Debut on Monday
MLB

Nationals Fire Dave Martinez, Mike Rizzo
Jakub Dobes

Signs Two-Year Deal with Canadiens
KaVontae Turpin

Arrested on Two Charges
Cole Ragans

to Begin Throwing on Monday
Theo Johnson

Prioritizing his Health this Offseason
Andrés Giménez

Andres Gimenez Hits 10-Day Injured List
Jermaine Burton

Continues to Show Growth
NHL

Hendrix Lapierre Signs One-Year Deal with Capitals
Carson Hocevar

Should DFS Players Consider Carson Hocevar for Chicago Lineups?
Tye Kartye

Kraken Re-Sign Tye Kartye for Two Years
Ross Chastain

May be A Decent DFS Option for Chicago Lineups
Dmitri Voronkov

Signs Two-Year, $8.35 Million Extension with Blue Jackets
Ryan Preece

Should DFS Players Roster Ryan Preece at Chicago?
Austin Dillon

Is Too Great of A Risk to Add to Chicago Lineups
Zane Smith

Is A Value Play Worth Rostering At Chicago
Austin Hill

is A Favorable Value Option for Chicago DFS Lineups
Ty Dillon

Is Ty Dillon A Decent Driver to Add For NASCAR DFS At Chicago?
William Byron

Qualifying Crash Makes William Byron a Likely DFS Must-Have
Alex Bowman

Should Finish Well, but Probably Costs Too Much for Serious DFS Consideration
Joey Logano

Has Been Relatively Mediocre on Road Courses Lately
Ryan Blaney

Doesn't Really Fit Neatly into Optimal DFS Lineups
Austin Cindric

Remains an Overrated Road Racer
Brad Keselowski

Likely to Brush Past Chicago Street Course to Focus on Daytona
NASCAR

John H. Nemechek One of the Best Underdog Options After Strong Runs at Mexico City and Last Year
Cole Custer

Strong Mexico City Run and Xfinity Series Chicago Win Make Him a Solid DFS Option
Erik Jones

Likely Not Good Enough on Road Courses for DFS Consideration Despite Poor Qualifying Result
Noah Gragson

May Be Better Than Other Cheap DFS Options
Riley Herbst

Despite Decent Mexico City Run, Don't Expect Riley Herbst to Contend at Chicago
Cody Ware

Is a Road Course Veteran, but It's Rarely Helped Him in NASCAR
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Is The Heavy Favorite to Win at Chicago Street Course
Christopher Bell

Should Be Strong Despite Practice Struggles at Chicago Street Course
Cam Ward

"Not Expecting" to be handed Starting Job
Chase Claypool

Eager to Get Back on the Field
Wyatt Langford

Activated, Playing on Saturday
Jay Huff

on the Move to Indiana
Cam Whitmore

Wizards Acquire Cam Whitmore from the Rockets
LaJohntay Wester

Stands out on Special Teams
Clarke Schmidt

Likely to Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Nolan Arenado

Scratched from Saturday's Lineup
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Starting on Saturday
Corbin Carroll

Activated from 10-Day Injured List
Cincinnati Bengals

Shemar Stewart, Bengals Continue Contract Talks, No Progress Made
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Potential Giannis Antetokounmpo Trade may not Happen Until "August, September"
Ha-Seong Kim

Removed Early During Season Debut
ARI

Christian Fischer Retires From NHL at 28
NHL

Spencer Martin Moves to Russia
WAS

Anthony Beauvillier Re-Signs With Capitals for Two Years
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Sitting Out With Foot Issue
Isaiah Neyor

Impresses at Minicamp
Houston Rockets

Jock Landale Waived by Rockets
Bo Bichette

Back in Blue Jays Lineup
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Considering Returning to Europe
Miles Sanders

Works With Starters During Mandatory Minicamp
Jabari Walker

Signs Two-Way Deal With Sixers
Chimere Dike

Titans Could Move Chimere Dike Inside
Keandre Lambert-Smith

KeAndre Lambert-Smith not Guaranteed Roster Spot
Anthony Bradford

Working Hard to Win Back Starting Job
Byron Young

Still Improving?
Cody Simon

Jonathan Gannon has Been Impressed With Cody Simon
SirVocea Dennis

has Impressive Offseason
Trevor Penning

Could Still Have a Role in New Orleans
Jonathan Kuminga

Warriors Decline Recent Offer for Jonathan Kuminga
Orlando Magic

Moritz Wagner, Magic Agree to One-Year Deal
Clarke Schmidt

Placed on Injured List
José Soriano

Jose Soriano Throws Gem Against Braves
Robbie Ray

Earns Ninth Win in Complete Game
T.J. Watt

Likely to Reset the Edge-Rush Market
George Springer

Blasts Two Homers, Drives in Four
James Wood

Goes Yard in Five-Hit Night
Bradley Beal

Suns Discussing Potential Buyout
Los Angeles Lakers

Jaxson Hayes Staying with the Lakers
NBA

Damian Lillard "Open" to Signing With a Team This Offseason
Max Muncy

Out at Least Six Weeks
Clarke Schmidt

Leaves Start with Forearm Tightness
Colson Montgomery

Promoted to the Major Leagues
Pittsburgh Steelers

Omar Khan, Steelers Agree to Three-Year Contract
Max Muncy

Goes on Injured List With Knee Bruise
SJ

Sharks Claim Nick Leddy Off Waivers
SJ

Sharks Sign Dmitry Orlov to Two-Year, $13 Million Contract
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Joins Hurricanes on Six-Year Contract
Chau Smith-Wade

Having Stellar Offseason
Ace Bailey

Inks Rookie Contract With Jazz
Boston Celtics

Josh Minott Inks Deal With Celtics
Sandro Mamukelashvili

Heading to Toronto
Jared McCain

Not on 76ers Summer League Roster
Dylan Harper

Unavailable for California Classic
COL

Brent Burns Inks One-Year Deal with Avalanche
STL

Blues Land Pius Suter on Two-Year Deal
Morgan Frost

Agrees to Two-Year Extension with Flames
WPG

Gustav Nyquist Moves to Winnipeg
Cody Glass

Devils Re-Sign Cody Glass to Two-Year Deal
PIT

Anthony Mantha Joins Penguins
Cleveland Cavaliers

Larry Nance Jr. Headed Back to Cavaliers
Emil Heineman

Signs Two-Year Deal with Islanders
Simon Holmstrom

Re-Signs with Islanders for Two Years
UTA

Nate Schmidt Signs Three-Year Deal with Mammoth
UTA

Brandon Tanev Moves to Utah on Three-Year Contract
Bud Cauley

in Great Form Ahead of John Deere Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

a Player to Avoid at John Deere Classic
Jake Knapp

Riding Momentum Ahead of John Deere Classic
PGA

Sungjae Im Looking for Consistency at John Deere Classic
Ryan Gerard

a Solid Option at John Deere Classic
Rickie Fowler

Looking to Rebound at John Deere Classic
Cameron Champ

a Volatile Option at John Deere Classic
Jackson Suber

Staying Below 70 is Key to Success for Jackson Suber
Kevin Roy

Playing Better Heading into John Deere Classic
Justin Lower

Hoping for Something Positive in Illinois
Ben Kohles

a Long Shot at John Deere Classic
Stephan Jaeger

Attempts to Stop Roller-Coaster Ride
Beau Hossler

Needs a Challenge in Illinois
Harry Higgs

Has Potential at John Deere Classic
Nick Dunlap

Keeps Plugging Through Tough 2025 Season
Kevin Yu

a Near Must-Play at TPC Deere Run
PGA

J.T. Poston Returns to John Deere Classic Looking for Another High Finish
Thriston Lawrence

a Decent Fit For John Deere Classic
Tom Kim

Not Finding Much to be Happy About Ahead of John Deere Classic
Si Woo Kim

is a Prohibitive Fade at John Deere Classic
Ben Griffin

is the Appropriate Favorite at TPC Deere Run
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