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Koby's best MLB player prop bets for today (6/29/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Kyle Manzardo, Jackson Chourio, and others!
Welcome back, RotoBallers! I am back for another edition of our Home Run props! I was able to nail Joc Pederson with the leadoff home run to start the day off. I was hoping that would be a sign that the rest were going to follow. Unfortunately, Gunnar Henderson looked terrible, and Owen Caissie got pulled after only two ABs. That being said, we have another day to make some more money. Let's dive in!
In this article, I'll be going over my four favorite home run props. Make sure to check out the RotoBaller Discord, where you can find input from all our experts, which could include more home run spots as well as some great strikeout picks.
Below, you'll be able to read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Monday, June 29, 2026. The current odds given reflect the best price as of the time of publication, but remember to always shop around at other sportsbooks so you can get the most value on your home run wagers. Odds can vary significantly from one sportsbook to another.
MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (6/29/2026)
Kyle Manzardo OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+475 TheScore)
Time for a little bit of a deep dive. It is looking like Winston Santos is going to be making his major league debut for the Rangers. He more than likely won't be starting but will come in after the opener. That being said, it was an interesting choice by the Rangers to call him up. He hasn't been very good, as he is sporting a 7.44 ERA in 11 games this season.
The big thing I noticed was his home runs given up; he has given up 10 home runs, eight of which to lefties this season, down in AA. I have had a decent amount of success this season in picking on guys making their debut, including snagging a few home runs on JR Ritchie when he made his first few starts for the Braves. Watson is even less refined, which should give us ample opportunity for the Guardians to get him out of the game early.
If the opener has a clean inning, we might see Manzardo be the first batter Watson faces. Manzardo has done a great job against RHP this season, with eight home runs while sporting a .391 SLG, .174 ISO, 12.1% Barrel%, and a 44.8% HardHit%. He leads the current roster in home runs against righties.
The last few games have been a bit of a rough patch for Manzardo, but I think going up against a guy making his MLB debut should be just what the doctor ordered to get him back on track.
Jackson Chourio OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+450 HardRock)
Nick Lodolo is on the mound for the Reds tonight, and the righties have had their way with him. In nine starts this season, he has given up seven home runs to righties and another 28 hits to go along with them. They are sporting a .488 SLG, .217 ISO, 11.2% Barrel%, and a 40.2% HardHit%. As for the Brewers, I really like what I have seen from Jackson Chourio. He leads the team in home runs against lefties with four, and he's seen quite a few fewer ABs than some of his other teammates.
Chourio is sporting a solid line against lefties, including a .600 SLG, .255 ISO, 12.5% Barrel%, and a 55% HardHit%. Even if he is not hitting home runs, he is still having quite a bit of success against them, and taking him to get 2+ hits at +200 makes for a great bet as well.
I think the best part about this bet is how well Chourio has hit the Sinker, Changeup, and Four-Seamer, which are pretty much all Lodolo throws. The Sinker has been a real problem for him, as it accounts for four of his seven homers.
Across the last five games against LHP, Chourio is averaging a 97.3 mph exit velocity on batted balls, which leads the team in that time period. We are still getting solid value at +450, and hopefully Chourio can take advantage of a great spot.
Number 🔟 for the reigning NL Player of the Week
Vote Jackson ⭐️ https://t.co/ZGJNZU1cbn https://t.co/jNW83wZiso pic.twitter.com/WPNFnRyCuP
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) June 18, 2026
