DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - The Texas Children's Houston Open Advice With Min Woo Lee, Jacob Bridgeman and More (2025)

Welcome everyone to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.

New starting this year -- if you would like to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - The Texas Children's Houston Open

We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:

PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

• A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
• The Texas Children's Houston Open

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

• Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
• All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
• In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
• Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
• Units: +340.903 Units
• All Totals Are Entering 2025
• Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

• Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

• Lifetime Record:
• (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Click here to see an example

First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles

• Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
• Click here to see an example

One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

• 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
• Click here to see an example

Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends

• We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

• Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.

TeeOffSports membership

• $224.99 per year - Sign up today for all the tools I provide!
• You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space since it includes top-notch work from the likes of Joe Nicely, Byron Lindeque, others, and myself!

You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!

Let's Look at the Stats

Field

Field Size: 156
Cut: Top 65 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 4

Last Five Winners of The Texas Children's Open

Expected Cut-Line at The Texas Children's Open

Memorial Park

7,435 Yards - Par 70 - Greens: Bermuda (Overseeded)

You can find my premium course breakdown in my premium DraftKings article this week. 

You can find Todd Mcgill's free breakdown here

First Look Into Outright Bets

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!

Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller

2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)

Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo

— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023

Favorite Targets Early On Monday

Min Woo Lee ($9,600)

You don't have to look any further than the betting market to see that much of the projected win equity for the event appears up top with Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy. We can get into the nitty-gritty of the exact percentage and who deserves a larger piece of the pie between those two names. However, getting that total to be less than 20% is hard when taking an aggregated return from both options. I would venture to say you are closer to 25-30%, especially since my model has taken a liking to McIlroy's predisposition to dominate tree-lined, wet tracks historically.

All of that suggests that my playability ratings (ownership aside) in the $9,000 section should be primarily obsolete since I don't see a massive discrepancy in win equity between those names and the choices in the next $8,000 tier. Nonetheless, the data retrieval I got from Min Woo Lee placed him as my model's third choice on the board in a market that doesn't view him quite that highly on Monday.

I am a big believer that outliers from the norm mean something when you typically don't get answers as strong (or weak) during other contests from that golfer. It also doesn't hurt that past trends have indicated my model has been rather accurate in projecting Lee this season.

If we dive into the last few examples, my model placed Lee 31st for safety at the PLAYERS (20th place finish), 32nd at the Arnold Palmer (missed cut), fifth at the Cognizant (11th) and 48th for upside at the Genesis (48th finish).

All of that has demonstrated a somewhat standard return in expectation and makes my fourth-place rank for Lee in Houston that much more enticing since it is accompanied by the Aussie ranking next to Rory McIlroy as the only two golfers in this field to crack the top 25 of all seven statistical categories that I weighed for the tournament.

Jacob Bridgeman ($8,400)

I weighed Carry Distance and Proximity from 200+ heavily in my model. I say that because this isn't some random return from a golfer who got a pass for ranking 72nd when diving into individual grades for each of those two metrics. Those concerns did weaken his profile, but my hope is that his lack of distance and the heightened price tag will get the industry to look the other way this week.

Believe it or not, Bridgeman graded as a favorite over most of the $9,000 section in my model (not quite everyone) and skyrocketed with his projection when I weighed short-game and non-distance-related topics more heavily.

I don't expect this to be everyone's cup of tea, but that is a nice answer for a golfer who is in some of the best form of anyone in this field.

Matti Schmid ($7,000)

Can I interest you in an enhanced offer over on BetRivers at 225/1?

Schmid ranked eighth in my model for Weighted Scoring, fifth when combining Carry Distance/Proximity From 200+ Yards, and cracked the top 20 for Strokes Gained Total when gearing the metrics toward Memorial Park.

His three top-28 finishes over his last four starts shouldn't be ignored for a golfer who landed in the top 60 in all seven categories that I weighed. That return made him one of only 10 players to accomplish that feat, including ranking as the only option who did it at less than $7,800 on DraftKings.

If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020

Congrats @tenndolly2 ???

Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt

— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020

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