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Joey Logano has gotten a lot of criticism for being the first defending NASCAR Cup Series champion to fail to earn a top-10 finish in the first five races of the season, but that doesn't reflect how well he has run as the Penske cars seem to be a lot faster this year, and Logano has led large portions of four of the five races to date. However, while Logano was very successful at Homestead with the Gen 6 chassis -- most notably when he won the 2018 championship race -- he has never led a lap with the Next Gen chassis and has not finished better than eigth since 2019. Nonetheless, expect him to run better than he did in 2022 and 2024 since he likely threw those races away after clinching his Championship 4 spot at Las Vegas in both years to prepare for Phoenix. Now that this race is in the regular season in a year Logano is leading most races, he's probably a dark-horse contender to win as long as he can control this year's Stage 3 fades.--Sean Wrona - RotoBaller
Source: Racing Reference
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