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2025 Italian Grand Prix in Monza - F1 Fantasy Race Preview, Strategy, and Analysis

F1 RACE PREVIEW, FORMULA 1 STOCK GRAPHIC

Euan Leith's preview of the 2025 Italian Grand Prix for F1 Fantasy includes weather updates, differentials for your squads, and predictions for qualifying and the race.

Happy Italian Grand Prix, RotoBallers! Formula 1 returns to one of the most historic and exciting races on the calendar at the Temple of Speed in Monza. Ferrari always wants to perform well in front of the home crowd, and Charles Leclerc gave the Italian fans something to cheer about in 2024 when he brought home the win for the tifosi.

The deadline for the Italian Grand Prix in F1 Fantasy is Saturday, September 6, at 10 a.m. EDT, when Qualifying starts. Also, check out the rest of our excellent DFS racing coverage to get you through every NASCAR and Formula 1 race.

Want to build a winning fantasy F1 lineup? Check out our How To Play F1 Fantasy (Formula 1): Overview Guide, Tips, Chips, and Rules for all the essential tips and strategies to get you started on the right foot.

 

2025 Rotoballer F1 Fantasy League Update

Another race, another week of F1 Fantasy chaos in the RotoBaller league. Three of the top five fell out after the Hungarian Grand Prix. Well, the Dutch Grand Prix wanted to top that as we saw four of the top five squads plummet.

Only Stuart Allen remains from last week's group, but he has seen Jason Seidenberg pass him to top the league after 15 of the 24 races for the 2025 F1 Fantasy campaign. If you want to join the battle with the rest of us F1 Fantasy managers, use code P1JOTPHDW09 to join the 2025 league!

 

Previous Italian Grand Prix Winners

  • 2024: Charles Leclerc, Ferrari
  • 2023: Max Verstappen, Red Bull
  • 2022: Max Verstappen, Red Bull
  • 2021: Daniel Ricciardo, McLaren
  • 2020: Pierre Gasly, AlphaTauri

 

Italian Grand Prix Schedule

Friday, September 5

  • Practice 1: 7:30 a.m. EDT
  • Practice 2: 11:00 a.m. EDT

Saturday, September 6

  • Practice 3: 6:30 a.m. EDT
  • Qualifying: 10:00 a.m. EDT (***F1 Fantasy lineup lock***)

Sunday, September 7 

  • Race: 9:00 a.m. EDT

 

Italian Grand Prix Weather

Day Temperature Precipitation Forecast
Friday 29°C / 84°F 1% Hazy
Saturday 27°C / 81°F 12% Hazy
Sunday 21°C / 70°F 7% Mostly Cloudy

 

Italian Grand Prix Predictions

Qualifying

  1. Oscar Piastri, McLaren
  2. Lando Norris, McLaren
  3. Charles Leclerc, Ferrari

Race

  1. Oscar Piastri, McLaren
  2. Lando Norris, McLaren
  3. Charles Leclerc, Ferrari

ONE BIG PREDICTION

Both Aston Martin drivers are knocked out in Q1 of Saturday's Qualifying.

 

Forza Ferrari

A tough week in the Netherlands has put Ferrari in a bad spot. However, a home race at Monza is a perfect opportunity to bounce back and create some breathing space in the Constructors' Championship between themselves and Mercedes for second place.

Well... things couldn't have gone worse on Sunday if you had Ferrari as a constructor in your F1 Fantasy squad. Unfortunately, those are the breaks when it comes to fantasy sports. Lewis Hamilton made a careless mistake, while Charles Leclerc found his Sunday cut short by a rookie error from Kimi Antonelli of Mercedes.

The damage was severe, but it could've been much worse. Fortunately, a Lando Norris DNF affected many teams that had diverged from the steady-eddy 2A Constructor build into a Triple McLaren, Triple Aston Martin build.

Regardless, it's unlikely Ferrari's value will increase this weekend at Monza, but that may not matter. They've traditionally been strong at their home race, and if you stomach another Sunday of having the Italian stallions in your squad, I would stick rather than twist.

 

Tier B or Not Tier B?

While some F1 Fantasy managers stuck with Ferrari, many pivoted to a triple Aston Martin build. Should that be the new meta strategy in F1 Fantasy for the remainder of the 2025 campaign?

In the 2024 F1 Fantasy season, McLaren, Ferrari, Red Bull, and Mercedes finished inside the top-4 in 16 of 24 weekends. It demonstrated remarkable consistency among the top teams in the sport, making it a reliable lineup to select two of those four squads every weekend.

In 2025, those four teams have finished inside the top 4 in six of 15 races. It shows that the Tier B constructors are causing all kinds of chaos this season, and we can't just rely on the top 4 teams to carry our F1 Fantasy squads.

Aston Martin has been a prime example of this over the last two races in Hungary and Zandvoort, and now I reckon it's time for Williams to step up to the plate. Traditionally, they have some of the best races of the season at the Temple of Speed in Monza.

Alex Albon is coming off a 5th-place finish and averages 17.7 PPR over the last three races. Meanwhile, Carlos Sainz has suffered from some rotten luck (including a collision with Liam Lawson last week) and feels like he's due for a standout result with his new team in 2025.

 

F1 Fantasy Drivers to Target and Avoid

Drivers rise and fall in price after every F1 race. So, which drivers should we target to gain budget, and which should we avoid to miss the dreaded price drops?

Drivers to Target (A Tier, >$18.5m)

  • Oscar Piastri, McLaren
  • George Russell, Mercedes

Drivers to Avoid (A Tier, >$18.5m)

  • Lando Norris, McLaren
  • Charles Leclerc, Ferrari
  • Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari

Drivers to Target (B Tier, <$18.5m)

  • Alex Albon, Williams
  • Lance Stroll, Aston Martin
  • Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin
  • Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
  • Gabriel Bortoleto, Sauber
  • Liam Lawson, Racing Bulls
  • Franco Colapinto, Alpine

Drivers to Avoid (B Tier, <$18.5m)

  • Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
  • Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull
  • Pierre Gasly, Alpine

More DFS Lineup Picks and Analysis

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