RADIO
It's a new year, and with that comes our first set of rankings for the 2018 fantasy baseball season. As a reminder, our first round of rankings comes to you courtesy of Pierre Camus and Jeff Kahntroff, in addition to yours truly.
Today, I’ll be finishing up the hitter side of things with a look at how we ranked players in the outfield. You can see our previous ranking and analysis columns for catcher, first base, second base, third base and shortstop.
Expect a fair amount of adjustments in future installments. These are preliminary rankings and a lot can happen between now and March, particularly with so many free agents still languishing on the market.
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2018 Fantasy Baseball Tiered Rankings: Outfield (January)
| Ranking | Tier | Player | Position | Kyle | Pierre | Jeff |
| 1 | 1 | Mike Trout | OF | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie Blackmon | OF | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | Mookie Betts | OF | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | Bryce Harper | OF | 10 | 7 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | Kris Bryant | 3B/OF | 11 | 15 | 17 |
| 6 | 2 | Giancarlo Stanton | OF | 23 | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | 2 | Aaron Judge | OF | 12 | 24 | 21 |
| 8 | 2 | J.D. Martinez | OF | 28 | 22 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | Cody Bellinger | 1B/OF | 30 | 25 | 27 |
| 10 | 3 | Marcell Ozuna | OF | 32 | 26 | 34 |
| 11 | 3 | George Springer | OF | 33 | 37 | 29 |
| 12 | 3 | Starling Marte | OF | 45 | 35 | 31 |
| 13 | 3 | Rhys Hoskins | 1B/OF | 31 | 42 | 41 |
| 14 | 3 | Justin Upton | OF | 34 | 33 | 51 |
| 15 | 3 | Nelson Cruz | OF | 43 | 48 | 35 |
| 16 | 3 | Domingo Santana | OF | 51 | 68 | 48 |
| 17 | 3 | A.J. Pollock | OF | 48 | 62 | 61 |
| 18 | 4 | Dee Gordon | 2B/OF | 35 | 82 | 58 |
| 19 | 4 | Khris Davis | OF | 53 | 58 | 65 |
| 20 | 4 | Byron Buxton | OF | 74 | 57 | 46 |
| 21 | 4 | Andrew Benintendi | OF | 81 | 47 | 50 |
| 22 | 4 | Andrew McCutchen | OF | 54 | 74 | 52 |
| 23 | 4 | Tommy Pham | OF | 67 | 81 | 42 |
| 24 | 4 | Christian Yelich | OF | 69 | 64 | 60 |
| 25 | 4 | Yoenis Cespedes | OF | 72 | 49 | 94 |
| 26 | 5 | Ryan Braun | OF | 82 | 72 | 79 |
| 27 | 5 | Michael Conforto | OF | 87 | 98 | 69 |
| 28 | 5 | Lorenzo Cain | OF | 109 | 104 | 76 |
| 29 | 5 | Billy Hamilton | OF | 116 | 63 | 124 |
| 30 | 5 | Ender Inciarte | OF | 85 | 129 | 101 |
| 31 | 5 | Adam Eaton | OF | 110 | 102 | 112 |
| 32 | 5 | Gregory Polanco | OF | 106 | 105 | 118 |
| 33 | 5 | Matt Olson | OF/1B | 130 | 99 | 117 |
| 34 | 6 | Shohei Ohtani | SP/OF | 118 | 97 | 141 |
| 35 | 6 | Adam Jones | OF | 120 | 88 | 149 |
| 36 | 6 | Chris Taylor | 2B/SS/OF | 96 | 175 | 106 |
| 37 | 6 | Adam Duvall | OF | 137 | 117 | 127 |
| 38 | 6 | Ian Desmond | OF/1B | 176 | 138 | 82 |
| 39 | 6 | Whit Merrifield | 2B/OF | 84 | 111 | 225 |
| 40 | 6 | Steven Souza | OF | 148 | 121 | 154 |
| 41 | 6 | Michael Brantley | OF | 190 | #N/A | 96 |
| 42 | 6 | Yasiel Puig | OF | 162 | 125 | 142 |
| 43 | 6 | Ian Happ | 2B/OF | 114 | 169 | 148 |
| 44 | 7 | Eduardo Nunez | SS/3B/2B/OF | 171 | 148 | 123 |
| 45 | 7 | Brett Gardner | OF | 156 | 133 | 157 |
| 46 | 7 | Jay Bruce | OF | 195 | 140 | 111 |
| 47 | 7 | Joey Gallo | 3B/1B/OF | 141 | 130 | 191 |
| 48 | 7 | Manuel Margot | OF | 168 | 127 | 168 |
| 49 | 7 | Ronald Acuna | OF | 155 | #N/A | #N/A |
| 50 | 7 | Nomar Mazara | OF | 187 | 134 | 171 |
| 51 | 7 | Marwin Gonzalez | 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF | 142 | 221 | 129 |
| 52 | 8 | Corey Dickerson | OF | 182 | 163 | 155 |
| 53 | 8 | Scooter Gennett | 2B/3B/OF | 170 | #N/A | 172 |
| 54 | 8 | Kevin Kiermaier | OF | 161 | 153 | 201 |
| 55 | 8 | Matt Kemp | OF | 154 | 190 | #N/A |
| 56 | 8 | Shin-Soo Choo | OF | 198 | 156 | 177 |
| 57 | 8 | Aaron Altherr | OF | 121 | 280 | 137 |
| 58 | 8 | Mitch Haniger | OF | 169 | 263 | 122 |
| 59 | 8 | Jackie Bradley | OF | 194 | 241 | 130 |
| 60 | 8 | Eric Thames | 1B/OF | 177 | 164 | 235 |
| 61 | 8 | Trey Mancini | 1B/OF | 252 | 135 | #N/A |
| 62 | 9 | Josh Reddick | OF | 241 | 151 | 195 |
| 63 | 9 | Kyle Schwarber | OF | 209 | 179 | 203 |
| 64 | 9 | Dexter Fowler | OF | 218 | 183 | 190 |
| 65 | 9 | Bradley Zimmer | OF | 158 | #N/A | 239 |
| 66 | 9 | Nick Williams | OF | 206 | 195 | #N/A |
| 67 | 9 | Michael Taylor | OF | #N/A | #N/A | 204 |
| 68 | 9 | Odubel Herrera | OF | 167 | 181 | 266 |
| 69 | 9 | David Peralta | OF | 199 | 218 | 197 |
| 70 | 9 | Eddie Rosario | OF | 174 | 204 | 246 |
| 71 | 9 | Jason Kipnis | 2B/OF | 278 | 188 | 160 |
| 72 | 9 | Mark Trumbo | OF | 254 | 167 | 226 |
| 73 | 10 | Jose Bautista | OF | 253 | #N/A | 179 |
| 74 | 10 | Howie Kendrick | 2B/OF | #N/A | #N/A | 216 |
| 75 | 10 | Aaron Hicks | OF | 224 | #N/A | 209 |
| 76 | 10 | Max Kepler | OF | 263 | 171 | #N/A |
| 77 | 10 | Carlos Gonzalez | OF | 213 | 246 | 193 |
| 78 | 10 | Carlos Gomez | OF | 185 | #N/A | 263 |
| 79 | 10 | Avisail Garcia | OF | 229 | 274 | 175 |
| 80 | 10 | Clint Frazier | OF | #N/A | 226 | #N/A |
| 81 | 10 | Stephen Piscotty | OF | 272 | 202 | 212 |
| 82 | 10 | Chris Owings | 2B/SS/OF | 220 | 267 | 211 |
| 83 | 11 | Delino DeShields | OF | 300 | 223 | 205 |
| 84 | 11 | Hunter Renfroe | OF | 255 | 231 | #N/A |
| 85 | 11 | Jorge Soler | OF | #N/A | #N/A | 247 |
| 86 | 11 | Cameron Maybin | OF | #N/A | #N/A | 248 |
| 87 | 11 | Melky Cabrera | OF | 205 | #N/A | 300 |
| 88 | 11 | Scott Schebler | OF | 228 | #N/A | 278 |
| 89 | 11 | Gerardo Parra | OF | 320 | #N/A | 206 |
| 90 | 11 | Keon Broxton | OF | 240 | 284 | 268 |
| 91 | 11 | Derek Fisher | OF | #N/A | 265 | #N/A |
| 92 | 11 | Lewis Brinson | OF | #N/A | 262 | 274 |
| 93 | 11 | Kole Calhoun | OF | 266 | 276 | #N/A |
| 94 | 11 | David Dahl | OF | 289 | 293 | 237 |
| 95 | 12 | Jarrod Dyson | OF | #N/A | #N/A | 273 |
| 96 | 12 | Brandon Belt | 1B/OF | #N/A | 287 | 270 |
| 97 | 12 | Kevin Pillar | OF | 293 | #N/A | 277 |
| 98 | 12 | Jacoby Ellsbury | OF | #N/A | 282 | 290 |
| 99 | 12 | Hernan Perez | 2B/3B/OF | 297 | #N/A | 291 |
| 100 | 12 | Joc Pederson | OF | 311 | #N/A | #N/A |
| 101 | 12 | Jose Martinez | OF/1B | 318 | #N/A | #N/A |
Tier 1
Remember when people were seriously suggesting that anyone other than Mike Trout should go first overall in fantasy drafts? Oh, wait, they still are. Trout is only 26, hadn’t landed on the disabled list before last year, and nobody else in baseball has produced at anything close to his level over the last six seasons. Don’t overthink this, folks.
Tier 2
That’s not to say there aren’t plenty of other elite options in the outfield. All three rankers in this round have Charlie Blackmon, Mookie Betts, and Bryce Harper as top-10 overall players. Kris Bryant rounds out the top five outfielders, followed closely by the Yankees’ dynamic duo of Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge. I have them essentially flipped in my rankings as compared to my colleagues. While Stanton has a longer track record, he’s also had a tough time avoiding injury. J.D. Martinez has yet to sign, but he’s been roughly Stanton’s equal in terms of offensive production over the last four seasons. Finally, Cody Bellinger’s disastrous showing in the World Series doesn’t seem to have impacted his 2018 draft stock based on early ADP data.
Tier 3
This group is mostly comprised of old reliables – emphasis on the “old” in Nelson Cruz’s case – but includes a couple of 2017 breakouts close to my Phillies-loving heart. Rhys Hoskins’ transcendent debut has a lot of owners excited to see what he can do with a full season. A 50-homer pace is unrealistic, but Steamer projects 36 bombs, with quality run production and a passable batting average. I still haven’t gotten over Domingo Santana being included as the player to be named later in the completely unnecessary Hunter Pence trade (reportedly due to a clerical error, no less!) and last season showed why. The hulking outfielder made good on the George Springer comps he earned as a prospect, contributing in all five standard categories in his first full season. It’s a testament to his impressive raw power that he managed to hit 30 home runs despite a groundball-heavy profile. If he can figure out how to elevate the ball even a little more often, there’s potential for a monster here.
Tier 4
Some divisive players in this tier (in terms of how they’re viewed in the larger fantasy community, if not by our staff rankings). That starts right at the top with Byron Buxton. The former top prospect’s struggles are well-trod territory at this stage, but he “finally” flashed the potential many had long dreamt on in his age-23 season. Buxton recovered from a horrific start to finish the year with 16 homers and 29 stolen bases. Though strikeouts remained a problem, he managed to pull his batting average up above .250 for the first time. I’m less bullish than my colleagues, but I certainly see the appeal.
I’m also the low man on Andrew Benintendi, though I’m likely to give him a bump in future iterations. While he never had a prayer of winning Rookie of the Year with Judge obliterating the league, he still put up a five-category season in his first year. Another all-around performer was Tommy Pham, whose ADP should be one of the more interesting developments this year. He’ll be 30 in March, and it’s fair to wonder how much of his breakout can be sustained. Lastly, Billy Hamilton’s elite stolen base totals are enough to put him at the end of this tier despite his considerable shortcomings as a hitter.
Tier 5
I’m putting more stock into the breakouts of Whit Merrifield and Chris Taylor than my colleagues, even if I don’t necessarily expect them to reach those heights again in 2018. Matt Olson is certainly intriguing, but there might be no more obvious candidate stat for regression than his 41.4(!!!!) HR/FB%. Intriguing might as well be Shohei Ohtani’s middle name, but he’s much more likely to provide value on the pitching side of things than at the plate. I’m fading Ian Desmond and Michael Brantley pretty hard this year, though either could easily make that look foolhardy.
Tier 6
Somehow, I’m the only one who ranked Ronald Acuna in this round. This is admittedly an aggressive rankings, but he’s the consensus top prospect and blew through three levels of the minor leagues last year, improving at every stop. The combination of power and speed here is too enticing to ignore, and it would be surprising if he doesn’t open the year in the starting lineup now that Matt Kemp has been dealt away. For those who don’t want to pay Buxton’s expectant price, Manuel Margot could give you similar production at a much more reasonable cost.
Tier 7
While I’ll acknowledge that my ranking of Aaron Altherr probably needs to be revised downward, I’m lodging a formal complaint against Pierre for barely putting him the top 300. Toss out his injury-plagued 2016, and Altherr has a career MLB line of .261-83-24-87-11 in 578 plate appearances. The Carlos Santana signing might cut into his playing time if the Phillies don’t trade one of their outfielders – two of whom are also ranked in this tier – but his production deserves more respect. Pierre also didn’t even rank Bradley Zimmer, but that may have been an oversight. Elsewhere in this tier, Shin-Soo Choo put together a sneaky useful season in 2017, while Kyle Schwarber looks a lot less appealing after the league-wide power surge and the loss of his catcher eligibility.
Tiers 8 & 9
As you’d expect, the bottom tiers are mostly populated by players with obvious flaws, playing time concerns, or both. A few names jump out. Mark Trumbo, Carlos Gonzalez, and Jose Bautista aren’t far removed from being sought-after commodities, but a combination of recent struggles, age, and the altered offensive landscape have sent them tumbling down draft boards. Youngsters like Lewis Brinson, Derek Fisher, Clint Frazier, and David Dahl have talent to spare but lack track records and/or clear paths to playing time. Otherwise, take your pick of boring vets (Kole Calhoun, Melky Cabrera), SB specialists (Cameron Maybin, Jarrod Dyson, Delino DeShields), or guys who definitely won’t repeat their 2017 performance (Avisail Garcia).
