👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 50% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

Three-Man Weave: Fantasy Basketball's Illusionists

Do you remember Jerome James?

James was a 7-1, center who averaged 4.9 points and 3.5 rebounds a game. Yet, in the first round of the 2005 NBA playoffs, James was able to turn a 17.2 points and 9.4 rebounds average into a 5-year, $30 million contract.

Thanks Isiah Thomas.

Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 6 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW

 

The Illusionists

James became a cautionary tale. The contract-year "illusionist." A player who has underperformed throughout his career, but would put enough games together to catch a general manager's eye and get the one big contract. Only to go back to being the same subpar player once he started to cash those checks.

The contract-year player isn't the only one who can mislead. There's the prime-time performer as well.

Rajon Rondo seemed to be the biggest abuser of this in recent memory. Rondo would consistently perform better in nationally televised games. Prime-time games were also where Rondo frequently visited the triple-double.

Ever since Ice Cube rapped, "Last week messed around and got a triple-double," on the seminal rap single "It Was A Good Day," what was painfully obvious before now became legendary. Getting a triple-double--whether it was in a pick-up game after eating "breakfast with no hog" or on an NBA court--could thrust you into legendary status.

This was certainly true last year when Russell Westbrook broke what was thought to be an untouchable Oscar Robertson record. Westbrook finished the year with 42 triple-doubles, averaging 31.6 points, 10.7 rebounds and 10.4 assists. Despite a phenomenal year, many accused Westbrook of stat chasing, attempting to devalue his historic season because his Thunder team managed just 47 wins. The only problem with this theory was...everything. The Thunder won more times than not when Westbrook hit a triple-double. He also led the league in box plus/minus (BPM) and value over replacement player (VORP). There was no illusion. Westbrook had one of the greatest seasons ever.

There are certain names we trust. Players who have performed at a high enough level, with consistent stats yearly that we start unconsciously on our fantasy team. You need to be aware of a certain group, however. "The illusionist" can have a negative affect on a team's performance. As more and more franchises rely on analytics to help mold player-personnel, you want to make sure you have the right players like Westbrook, and not those that may lose playing time--or value--based on poor advanced metrics.

For this exercise, we will focus players who negatively affect their team. As a fantasy owner, you should be aware that this could also be very bad for your squad in the future.

 

Carmelo Anthony

Anthony has always been hailed as a scorer. Someone who could get buckets from any position on the court, with or without the ball. With Oklahoma City this season his numbers reflect the worst start to a season in his career.

Carmelo's numbers are down in every statistical category. He is averaging 26.8 points, 9.6 rebounds, 1.2 steals and 2.3 assists per 100 possessions. He's not only down, outside of rebounds, his numbers are the worst they've been in his entire career.

Despite those stats, it has not affected Melo's outlook or aggressiveness.

Anthony is still in the top-25 in shot attempts and still gets a little over 33 minutes per game. Both are good for fantasy owners.

Where it could get dicey is if OKC chooses to make some adjustments based on analytics. Anthony has a -3.4 BPM and -0.3 VORP. To put it into layman's terms, Anthony affects the Thunder negatively when on the court. Leaving every Anthony fantasy owner feeling a little bit like Lala Anthony.

 

 

Hassan Whiteside

All owners are probably holding on to Whiteside as he recovers from the most extended absence due to a bruised knee in the history of the NBA (that may be a little hyperbolic). Whiteside's numbers are really good--when healthy. In the 15 games he's played, the big man has averaged 28 points and 23.9 rebounds per 100 possessions. The rebound mark is the most for anyone who has played more than one game this season. Whiteside has and will continue to be a top-30 player.

There is some cause for concern, however.

Whiteside is signed through the 2020 season after inking a monstrous contract in 2016. As the cornerstone of the organization, it makes sense for the Heat to limit his minutes going forward. So far this year he's gone from 32 minutes in 2016-17 to 26 minutes this season. His BPM (-2.2) and VORP (o.o) are also down this season.

Knees and 7-footers are a tricky subject. While Whiteside will be chasing stats and bringing in numbers while he's on the court. How long he's there may be the real question fantasy owners will have to answer.

 

Andrew Wiggins

It seemed like this was the year the former number one pick was going to finally make the leap to superstardom. In Wiggins' first three years in the league his points per 100 possessions jumped from 23.8 to 29.7 to 32.2 last season. So far this season, Wiggins has taken a step back scoring only 24.8 points per 100 possessions.

One might point to Jimmy Butler's addition as the main cause for his decline, but that's not the case. His field goal percentage has dropped from 45 percent last year to 43 percent this year, while his three point percentage has dropped from 35 to 30.

Luckily for owners, Wiggins' minutes have not dropped. He is consistently producing points, but at what cost?

Much like the two stars referenced above, his advanced metric stats are worrisome. Wiggins BPM (-2.7) and VORP (-0.2) are bad--like really bad.

Despite those numbers, Wiggins is still a primary option on a good Minnesota team. The Butler, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jeff Teague, Wiggins nucleus have the potential to be explosive and very dangerous. The pressure is on head coach Tom Thibodeau to find a way to get there.

At the end of the day, it's not the numbers that lie, but the players.

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis

 

NBA DFS Premium Subscription

Get a free trial of our powerful NBA Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Cheat Sheets, and NBA Lineup Optimizer & Generator with daily matchup projections.

Win more. Try the most advanced lineup optimizer in daily fantasy basketball.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 50% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Bryce Eldridge

Giants to Promote No. 1-Ranked Prospect Bryce Eldridge to MLB Roster
Jonas Brodin

Out for Games 1 and 2 Against Colorado
Joel Eriksson Ek

Will Miss First Two Games of Colorado Series
Joel Kiviranta

Remains Out of the Lineup Versus Minnesota
Anthony Volpe

Reinstated from Injured List, Optioned to Triple-A
Josh Manson

Out for Game 1 Against Minnesota
Carter Bryant

Iffy for Game 1 Against Timberwolves
Joel Embiid

Considered Probable for Monday
Kyle Anderson

Available for Round 2 Opener
Ayo Dosunmu

Tagged as Questionable on Injury Report
Anthony Edwards

Listed as Questionable for Game 1 Against Spurs
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Unavailable for Start of Round 2, Considered Week-to-Week
Brandon Ingram

Won't Play in Game 7 Against Cavaliers
Ranger Suarez

Exits Sunday's Start with Hamstring Tightness
Agustín Ramírez

Marlins Demote Agustin Ramirez to Triple-A
Victor Hedman

Will Not Play Sunday Versus Montreal
Noah Dobson

Will Play Against Tampa Bay on Sunday
Marvin Mims Jr.

Path to Dynasty Relevance May Require a Change in Scenery
Tank Bigsby

Remains a High-End Dynasty Handcuff Running Back in Philadelphia
Ben Rice

Exits Sunday's Contest with Left Hand Contusion
Hunter Henry

Long-Term Future in New England in Question After NFL Draft?
Matthew Golden

a Prime Dynasty Buy-Low Candidate Heading into 2026
Kevin Huerter

is Out for Game 7
Jalen Coker

Carries Breakout Potential into 2026
Dak Prescott

Remains a Dynasty QB1 Heading into 2026
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Could be Done in Boston
Christopher Bell

Is Christopher Bell Worth Rostering for Texas Lineups?
Cal Raleigh

Considered Day-to-Day With Soreness in his Side
Brandon Ingram

is Downgraded to Doubtful for Game 7
William Byron

Might have the Speed to Compete for the Win at Texas
Jonathan Isaac

Remains Out for Game 7
Joey Logano

Provides Solid Upside for Texas DFS Lineups
Joe Ryan

Exits Early From Start on Sunday Due to Elbow Soreness
Chase Briscoe

Could Chase Briscoe be A Sneaky Pick for Texas Lineups?
Ty Gibbs

Should DFS Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Texas?
Daniel Suarez

Is Daniel Suarez Worth Rostering After Career-Best Starting Position at Texas?
Daniel Palencia

Cubs Reinstate Daniel Palencia From the Injured List on Sunday
Kyle Busch

Is a DFS Risk Starting in the Top 10 at Texas
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Place Ronald Acuna Jr. on Injured List With Strained Hamstring
Nick Lodolo

Expected to Make Season Debut on Friday
Tyler Reddick

One of the Favorites to Win Texas
Chase Elliott

Could Contend for Another Win at Texas
Carson Hocevar

on Pole at Texas
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Wrecks in Practice at Texas
Chris Buescher

Looking to Continue Strong Run at Texas
Austin Dillon

Blows Engine in Practice at Texas
CeeDee Lamb

Is CeeDee Lamb Being Undervalued?
Bijan Robinson

Could Just Be Entering His Dynasty Prime
Derrick White

Delivers All-Around Line in Game 7 Loss
Neemias Queta

Finishes with Double-Double in Playoff Loss
Malik Washington

Emerging as a Low-Cost Dynasty Buy Out of Ambiguous Receiver Room
Jaylen Brown

Posts Strong Line but Celtics Fall Short
Diego Pavia

Ravens Noncommital on Diego Pavia's Future with Team
Tyrese Maxey

Dominates in Series-Clinching Victory
David Njoku

Visiting the Chargers on Monday
VJ Edgecombe

Provides Key Spark in Game 7 Win
Patrick Mahomes

Expected to Participate in OTAs
Joel Embiid

Delivers 34 Points in Series Clincher
Ayo Dosunmu

Considered Day-to-Day Ahead of Game 1
Mike Reilly

Delivers Two Assists in Game 1 Win
Logan Stankoven

Establishes New Franchise Record With Five-Game Goal Streak
Frederik Andersen

Records Second Postseason Shutout
Radko Gudas

Ducks Hope to See Radko Gudas Return During Second Round
Josh Manson

Day-to-Day Ahead of Game 1 Against Wild
Joel Kiviranta

Considered Day-to-Day
Joel Eriksson Ek

Questionable for Game 1 Against Avalanche
Cal Raleigh

Scratched From Lineup, No Reason Given
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits with Left Hamstring Tightness
Anthony Edwards

Remains Week-to-Week
Joel Embiid

Available for Game 7 Against Celtics
Paul George

Cleared to Play Saturday
Owen Tippett

Unlikely to Play Saturday
Jonas Brodin

to Miss Game 1 Against Avalanche
Nikita Zadorov

Played Through Torn MCL in Playoffs
Connor McDavid

Played With Fractured Foot Against Ducks
Alexander Nikishin

a Game-Time Call Saturday
Nikolaj Ehlers

Expected to Play Saturday
Greg Dulcich

Carries Breakout Potential into 2026
Kaelon Black

Well-Positioned for Dynasty Success Following NFL Draft
J'Mari Taylor

Can J'Mari Taylor Break Through Crowded Running Back Depth Chart in Jacksonville?
Eli Raridon

Dynasty Stock Rising Following NFL Draft
Michael Trigg

Facing Uphill Battle for a Roster Spot in Dallas
Matthew Hibner

Is Matthew Hibner the Tight End of the Future in Baltimore?
Seth McGowan

Likely to be RB3 to Begin his Rookie Season
Caleb Douglas

a Low-Upside Dynasty Stash Competing for a Role in Miami
Francis Mauigoa

Giants "Comfortable" With Francis Mauigoa's Back
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Leaves With Side Tightness, Considered Day-to-Day
Jacob Misiorowski

Leaves Start Early on Friday With Hamstring Cramp
Brandon Nimmo

Aggravates Hamstring, Pulled Early on Friday
Ryan Helsley

Placed on Injured List With Elbow Inflammation
Dylan Holloway

Signs Five-Year Extension With Blues
Barrett Hayton

Jack McBain Iffy for Friday
Ryan Pepiot

to Miss the Rest of the Season, Scheduled for Hip Surgery
Brandon Woodruff

Goes on Injured List With Shoulder Inflammation
Nico Hoerner

Leaves Friday's Game Early With Neck Tightness
Jack Della Maddalena

Returns At UFC Perth
Carlos Prates

Set For UFC Perth Main Event
Quillan Salkilld

Set For Co-Main Event
Beneil Dariush

An Underdog At UFC Perth
Steve Erceg

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Tim Elliott

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Ollie Schmid

Set For His UFC Debut
Marwan Rahiki

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Wyatt Langford

Suffers Setback With Forearm Injury
Brandon Woodruff

to Get Some Time Off
Gary Woodland

Riding Momentum Into Cadillac Championship
Jordan Spieth

Brings Boom-or-Bust Potential to Cadillac Championship
Adam Scott

Looks Poised for Another Strong Finish at Doral
Maverick McNealy

Needs Approach Game to Click at Doral
CFB

Jameson Williams Files Lawsuit Against NCAA, SEC, Big Ten
Harry Hall

Volatility Continues at Cadillac Championship
Tommy Fleetwood

Looks to Rebound at Trump National Doral
Pierceson Coody

a Risky Value Play at Cadillac Championship
Akshay Bhatia

Offers Upside with Risk at Cadillac Championship
Justin Thomas

a Scary Proposition at Cadillac Championship
Scottie Scheffler

The Leading Favorite at Cadillac Championship
Collin Morikawa

Still a Smash Play at Cadillac Championship
Viktor Hovland

Showed at Augusta He Can Finish Well
Sepp Straka

Attempting to Finish Better in Miami
PGA

J.J Spaun Enduring Roller Coaster Start to 2026
Min Woo Lee

Seeks to Make Adjustments at Cadillac Championship
Max Homa

May Struggle at Old Doral This Weekend
Ben Griffin

Rebounds From Rough Stretch as Miami Looms
Shane Lowry

Searching For Answers at Cadillac Championship
Russell Henley

Daunting Test at Doral Likely Not a Place For Russell Henley
Justin Rose

Returns to Action After Finishing Third at Masters Tournament
Hideki Matsuyama

Has The Approach Game to Win at Cadillac Championship
CFB

Brendan Sorsby Facing Potential Permanent Loss of Eligibility
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF