Ludvig Aberg Looking to Exchange Momentum for a Victory in Fort Worth
It's impossible to argue against the play we've seen from Ludvig Aberg this season, as he only has one finish outside the top 10 since the PGA Tour began its Florida swing. Anyone can dismiss his ability to convert his opportunities into victories, but there is a highly impressive resilience to go along with the trophy shortcomings. He's making his first career start at the Charles Schwab Challenge this week at Colonial Country Club, which should play well into his tee-to-green game that ranks third this season on tour. The only concern lies with the greens, as the 26-year-old has lost strokes putting in three of his last four events. Still, the incredible ball striking should give the young Swede plenty of opportunities; it's just whether he capitalizes enough to get over the hump. He's still a worthy DFS play nonetheless.
Source: Data Golf
Source: Data Golf
Stephan Jaeger Trending Upward as PGA Heads to Fort Worth
Stephan Jaeger is starting to play some better golf again. The German golfer had consecutive Top 20 results for the first time in 2026 straight after back-to-back missed cuts. Myrtle Beach may have been rockbottom after Jaeger lost 2.74 strokes to putting. Contrast that with the other outlier from last week at The CJ Cup Byron Nelson. Overall, Jaeger's putting gains him 0.259 strokes overall (42nd). The previous two seasons have seen a solid jump in that metric. Jaeger averages 27.99 putts per Round 1. Getting off to a solid start on Thursday will be vital at the Colonial. From a DFS standpoint, Jaeger could be a sneaky option especially early this week.
Source: PGATour.com
Source: PGATour.com
Max Homa Comes Off Awful Putting Performance at PGA Championship
Max Homa cratered at the PGA Championship earlier in the month. The American golfer went 75-77 and did not come close to making the cut at +12. Too many rounds lately have been an exercise of survival for Homa. A total of 16 of his previous 18 rounds have seen Homa score 70 or above. That has pushed his scoring average to 70.91 (132nd). While the Colonial does not require a lot of birdies, improved weather conditions could easily push scoring down around 265. Putts per round to start is 29.09 (109th) for Homa. If a good start is needed, Homa may have issues there and could be a fade again this week.
Source: PGATour.com
Source: PGATour.com
Tony Finau Faces Different Test at the Colonial
Tony Finau was able to thrive in the high birdie output fest last week. The American golfer does have respectable odds to win the Charles Schwab Challenge (+6100 - started at +5000). Finau has two Top 5 results at the Colonial including a runner-up in 2019. Add in several more Top 25 outcomes and Finau instantly sounds like a reasonable betting option. Around the green Finau has gained 0.403 strokes in 2026 which ranks 13th but being near average everywhere else lends support to those wanting to fade Finau from a betting and DFS standpoint.
Source: PGATour.com
Source: PGATour.com
Robert MacIntyre Seeks Better Beginning in Fort Worth
Robert MacIntyre has to feel like the Valero Texas Open was a lifetime ago. The Scottish golfer T-2 at the event. After another Top 5 at The PLAYERS Championship, MacIntyre felt like a win was coming. Since then, it has been an unmitigated disaster. He opened with an 80 at the Masters Tournament and then a 70-75 in May at the PGA Championship. Both times, MacIntyre missed the cut. Putting metrics have drifted negative in the last two events which had not occurred in all of 2026. Approaching the green could be vital this week and MacIntyre ranks 138th in strokes gained at -0.403. As a betting option, that has to make MacIntyre a bit of a red flag.
Source: PGATour.com
Source: PGATour.com
Tom Hoge's Ups and Downs Could Continue at Colonial
Tom Hoge has not been dull in 2026. The American golfer has three Top 10 results in 2026 but has missed five cuts. Four of those missed cuts came between February and April. Worse, Hoge has been up and down since then almost alternating good results with almost unmitigated disasters. Last week, he put most of it together at The CJ Cup Byron Nelson (T6). It was the first time Hoge ended up in the 60's for all four rounds in 2026. Four consistent rounds at Colonial are a requirement. With scoring at a different level (last week's winning score was -30), it is almost unknown whether to trust Hoge as a DFS choice even at Fort Worth.
Source: PGATour.com
Source: PGATour.com
Brian Harman Not Having the Best Golf Season in 2026
Brian Harman has made 11 of 13 cuts in 2026. The American golfer does not have a single Top 10, however. Harman is nearing 40 and it does seem the magic is slowing. He has won four PGA events including the 2023 Open Championship. Unfortunately, 2026 has proven to be bearish. The PGA Championship saw Harman make a move with a 66 on moving day but gave it all back with a final round 75. That has happened several times in 2026 including at the RBC Heritage where Harman dropped to a T-25 after a final round 73. Putting has been better with Harman gaining strokes in four of his previous five events but that may not be enough to make him a DFS or betting choice this weekend.
Source: PGATour.com
Source: PGATour.com
Austin Eckroat Struggling Too Often Heading to Charles Schwab Challenge
Austin Eckroat has two career wins on the PGA Tour. The American golfer has not won in two years but does have two Top 10 results in 2026. Eckroat's problem is proximity shots from greater than 200 yards. He ranks 140th there at 55 feet 8 inches. Despite a good scoring average of 69.7 (29th), Eckroat has not truly been in contention other than the Valero Texas Open (T-10) this year. He has not missed a cut in five events but a lower cut line is possible this week on the Fort Worth course. The other concern is having so many final rounds of 70 or above, that may keep him from being a viable betting option this week.
Source: PGATour.com
Source: PGATour.com
Zach Bauchou Tries to Keep Momentum Rolling at Colonial
Zach Bauchou is playing some of his best golf in 2026 right now. The American golfer scored his first Top 10 of the season at The CJ Cup Byron Nelson last week. Weather seems to be on the golfer's side as softer greens could be likely for this weekend with lower winds forecasted. No one is expecting 2018 where Justin Rose went 260 to win the event. However, one good number for Bauchou is putts per round early (Rounds 1 and 2). The golfer averages 28.04 putts per round on Thursday and Friday. That could make Bauchou an early DFS option at the Charles Schwab Challenge this week.
Source: PGATour.com
Source: PGATour.com
Keegan Bradley Looking to Rebound at Colonial
Keegan Bradley missed the cut at the PGA Championship, though before that, he had recorded three top-25 finishes in four events. He now looks to get back on track at the Charles Schwab Challenge, where he finished runner-up in 2024. Success at Colonial typically comes down to strong driving, short-iron play, and a hot putter. Bradley ranks 20th in total driving this season, though he sits just 93rd in putting (-0.067 strokes gained per round) and 129th on approach (-0.273). One encouraging sign is that he is in the 88th percentile in proximity from 100-150 yards, a range that accounted for more than 34% of approach shots here last year. At $8,900 on DraftKings, Bradley will need both the irons and putter to cooperate to return value.
Source: PGA Tour
Source: PGA Tour
Ben Griffin Looking to Repeat This Week at Colonial
It was a breakthrough victory last season for Ben Griffin, who parlayed that into his first Ryder Cup team. He'll now be trying to join Ben Hogan as the only players to win this event back-to-back, but there are a plethora of guys in much better form attempting to stop him. He's recently turned the tides of his 2026 season, with a solo third and T14 finishes in two of his last three starts. However, there is still an overwhelming cause for pause regarding Griffin's DFS viability. Ranking outside the top 100 in both strokes gained off the tee and on approach, the ball striking is still clearly not there. He hasn't gained strokes with his approach play in his last six starts. The putter has had to go crazy for him to compete, which isn't always an easy thing to count on. This isn't to say the former Tarheel is a full fade heading into Thursday, but those willing to bite on the recent finishes need to know the high-risk game they're playing.
Source: Data Golf
Source: Data Golf
Rasmus Hojgaard a Player to Avoid at Charles Schwab Challenge
Things have been fairly stagnant for Rasmus Hojgaard as of late, as teeing it high and letting it fly seems to be the only thing working right now. The long drives won't do him nearly as well here as they do at other venues, and the fact that he's hitting less than 50% of his fairways leaves much to be desired from that standpoint. And recently, things haven't gotten much brighter from there, losing strokes on approach and on the greens in three of his last four starts. There are certainly places for the bomb-and-gouge players, but this layout isn't one of them, and Hojgaard isn't doing enough anywhere else to feel comfortable about his chances this week.
Source: Data Golf
Source: Data Golf
Hideki Matsuyama Needs Solid Driving Week at Charles Schwab Challenge
If Hideki Matsuyama were averaging positive strokes gained off the tee this season, he would arguably be the leading favorite this week at Colonial. Some of the approach play and putting statistics he's accrued at various spots this season have been good enough to win. However, the struggles off the tee have been too detrimental to allow the 34-year-old to get over the hump. His collapse in Phoenix earlier in the year explains it perfectly. The Japanese star ranks 130th in strokes gained off the tee (-0.292), and is still inside the top 40 in strokes gained tee to green despite it. The bottom line is that what he does off the tee will dictate whether he is a must-play or just one of the more solid options, but regardless, he has immense fantasy value this week.
Source: PGA Tour
Source: PGA Tour
Justin Thomas Trending Well Ahead of Charles Schwab Challenge
It's been a nice run of play for Justin Thomas the last few weeks, capping it off with a T4 finish at Aronimink; his best major championship finish in two years. Next up is a Colonial Country Club layout that would be assumed to fit his shot-sculpting playstyle, but where he's had more frustrating weeks than successful ones. The 33-year-old finished T10 in his debut appearance, but has produced a T40 and a missed cut since, thanks to poor approach performances. He looks to be figuring that part of his game out, having averaged 1.02 strokes gained on approach at the PGA Championship. If the trends of solid putting and the familiar ball striking continue, it could be another solid week for JT.
Source: Data Golf
Source: Data Golf
Akshay Bhatia Lacking Driving Prowess Needed at Colonial Country Club
For whatever many of us thought was going to happen after Akshay Bhatia's victory at Bay Hill, things haven't really come to fruition. The 24-year-old hasn't had a top-10 since, while missing the cut at both of the year's first two majors. We know he has an abundance of talent, but so far, he is driving the ball too poorly for anything else to shine. He ranks 128th in strokes gained off the tee (-0.245), and is outside the top 100 in driving accuracy and distance. And though his iron play has suffered over his last few starts, it's otherwise a strong part of what makes Bhatia one of the young stars on the PGA Tour. However, this week doesn't fit how he is playing at the moment. The ceiling is too low for the price he warrants.
Source: PGA Tour
Source: PGA Tour
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