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Scott Cullen provides his NFL DFS prop picks for November 16th, 2020 on Monkey Knife Fight. Make your DFS picks with his fantasy football advice.
Monday night brings a classic NFC North matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and the Chicago Bears with plenty of chances to play props and win with Monkey Knife Fight.
The Vikings lost five of six games to open the season and it looked they were headed down the drain but they have won back-to-back games and are favored on the road at Chicago so maybe all hope is not lost.
As for the Bears, they won five of six to start the season and have since lost three straight. They are clinging to hope that they can stop the slide Monday night or this season could slip away from them very quickly.
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MINNESOTA-CHICAGO
MORE OR LESS
Nick Foles MORE THAN 270.5 PASSING YARDS
While the Bears quarterback has been getting slammed as the Bears have lost three straight games, he has thrown for more than 270 yards in the past two games and takes on a Vikings Defense that has not been great against the pass, allowing more than 270 yards passing in five of the past six games, allowing 287.9 passing yards per game overall – only two teams (Seattle Seahawks and Atlanta Falcons) allow more.
Kirk Cousins MORE THAN 225.5 PASSING YARDS
Cousins faces a different challenge. With the Vikings winning the past couple of games, he hasn’t had to throw very much and has 380 passing yards, total, in the past two weeks. He had thrown for more than 225 yards in five of the six weeks before that. The Bears Defense has only allowed 218.2 passing yards per game, and 5.9 net yards per pass attempt, so this is a tough matchup. At the same time, the Bears have allowed more than 225 yards passing five times this season; just once in the past four weeks, however.
Dalvin Cook MORE THAN 89.5 RUSHING YARDS
The Vikings have not been afraid to ride their lead running back. In the past two weeks, since returning from injury, Cook has rushed for 369 yards on 52 carries. The yardage is impressive but so is the usage. The Bears are allowing 4.1 yards per carry which means Cook would need about 22 carries to get to the over, if he was average, but he’s a whole lot better than average.
Adam Thielen LESS THAN 4.5 RECEPTIONS
Minnesota’s veteran receiver put up some big numbers early in the season but has a total of eight catches in the past three games and the Bears have been relatively stingy against wide receivers. The emergence of rookie Justin Jefferson also leaves fewer targets for Thielen in the Minnesota passing game so it’s hard to bank on five or more receptions.
RAPID FIRE
Allen Robinson -11.5 receiving yards vs. Justin Jefferson
Consistency is the key to Robinson’s game, even with shaky quarterback play in Chicago. He has put up at least 70 receiving yards in six of the past seven games which gives him a pretty strong baseline for comparison to Jefferson, the fast-rising rookie who has three games with more than 100 receiving yards but has also been held under 70 yards in three of the past four games.
Adam Thielen -0.5 receptions vs. Darnell Mooney
Thielen is a proven commodity who is averaging 4.6 receptions per game, though that average has been decreasing with a lack of production in recent weeks. Mooney is a rookie, a fifth-round pick out of Tulane, and while he has 3.4 receptions per game that number has been going up as he becomes the Bears’ No. 2 receiving option – and he led the team with 11 targets last week. Nevethelesss, Thielen still has the track record to make him a worthy favorite in this head-to-head contest.
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