RADIO
With the 11 games we have on the slate, it won't be hard to find winning bets, let's just make sure we pick the most logical ones. A ton of good matchups to target, so before you take a swing on the first bet you see, make sure you go through the list and find the one you are most comfortable with. 11 games means you don't have to limit your options and there are plenty of good bets out there tonight.
These five props felt extremely safe to me and I promise next week I will get better at navigating MonkeyKnifeFight.com and include non-point oriented bets.
Find me in the NBA Chat Room or @HalfCourtJester on Twitter. As always, make sure you are checking roster updates to make sure you don't miss key injuries and lineup announcements. We are officially at the, "wait, why isn't he playing tonight?" portion of the season. Be wary.
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Domantas Sabonis (IND) OVER 17.5 Points
Both of the props in this game seem fairly safe. The Boston frontcourt doesn't have many high-volume rebounders or superbly skilled defenders, not to mention Domantas Sabonis has been, once again, killing teams in the early season. As the season get's closer and closer to the midpoint, the gameplan against the Pacers will focus around stopping Sabonis from owning the boards, but tonight I don't think there is anything the Celtics will be able to do about Sabonis. Luckily, this leads beautifully to the next prop from the same game.
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Kemba Walker (BOS) OVER 20.5 Points
Kemba Walker, much like the rest of the Boston Celtics, has flown under the radar for most of this season. Celtics fans, yes, obviously you have noticed a dramatic difference. Walker is a much more team-oriented guard that doesn't like to take from his teammates, unlike other point guards around the league. The start to his Celtics tenure was slow and he has slowly found his stroke in terms of offense, increasing his points per game average from what it was, closer to 16-18, to 23 per game over the past two weeks. The Pacers have solid defenders, they just won't have much answer for Walker.
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Devonte' Graham (CHA) OVER 19.5 Points
Not only has Devonte Graham not wasted any momentum, but he has picked up his scoring recently. With how the Hornets are assembled, Graham is quickly learning some of the quick-reaction, do-it-yourself tendencies that Walker used to have in Charlotte. Since that should continue throughout the season, Graham's scoring will only become more and more efficient. He went off against the Wizards last night and the Nets frontcourt will still have work to do in terms of defending Graham, sadly it won't change the fact that the Hornets are going to get whooped and Graham will end up scoring 20 basically out of pity.
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Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) OVER 31.5 Points
There are two things that can happen this game. Giannis Antetokounmpo scores 30 and the Bucks starters don't see the court for the last quarter of the game, or Giannis scored 40 and the Pelicans frontcourt scrambles all game trying to take charges in the paint, gifting free throw attempts to help secure our prop. Either way, whether it happens in the first half or the second, Antetokounmpo is going to feast on this matchup. The closer this game stays the higher the upside.
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Devin Booker (PHO) OVER 25.5 Points
It was between Devin Booker cooking the Grizzlies or Trae Young responding to his goof in dramatic fashion. While I still trust Trae Young to smash any projected for any league or contest he can be played in, Booker seems like the safer bet. On nights where you know Ricky Rubio is lined up to have a good game, you have to take his favorite target. Until Booker really shows a sign of inconsistency or he just straight up loses confidence, he will always have that big-game ability. 25 might seem like a lot against the Grizzlies defense, but Booker has lit up Memphis in the past on a minimal amount of shots and I expect an increase in attempts to be the deciding factor.
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