BALLER MOVE: Target in drafts ~pick 153
CURRENT ADP: ~184 overall
ANALYSIS: Holliday hits and hits some more. Between four levels as a 19-year-old last season, Holliday slashed .323/.442/.499 with 12 home runs, making it to Triple-A by season's end.
Holliday combines a strong feel for the strike zone and good contact skills. Checking in with a chase rate under 20 percent last season shows the elite batting eye as well as making contact on over 82 percent of pitches in the zone.
The only question is, how much power does Holliday get to? He hit 12 home runs last season. He added a ton of extra-base hits, having 30 doubles and nine triples to pair with the 12 home runs. The exit velocities were pretty respectable for a hitter with a smaller build that is 19 years old, as Holliday posted a 91 mph average exit velocity and a 102.3 mph 90th percentile. The average exit velocity is firmly above average, and the 90th percentile is average for the minor leagues.
He also needs to lift the ball more to get into 20+ home run territory, and it shows that the harder he hits the ball, the lower the launch angle. Holliday had just a 6-degree launch angle on balls hit over 95 mph and a -1-degree launch angle to the pull side.
Holliday has been getting run at second base so far this spring and seems slated to be Baltimore's starting second baseman out of spring training. If and when we get that confirmation, Holliday's ADP is going to soar.
First XBH of the spring for No. 1 overall prospect Jackson Holliday is a triple! pic.twitter.com/EmzlcfKttI
— MLB Pipeline (@MLBPipeline) February 29, 2024
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