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Sunday Night Football has arrived and there's no better way to cap off a great day of football than having a classic AFC West rivalry take place as the Kansas City Chiefs head to Vegas to take on the Las Vegas Raiders. This is a big-time game for both teams as it carries both AFC West implications and AFC playoff implications. This game has an under/over of 54.5 with the Chiefs being favored by 7 points.
In this article, I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Sunday Night Football slate on November 22th (Week 11). These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
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DFS Quarterbacks
Both quarterbacks look to be in play with how high scoring this game could be. Patrick Mahomes has done exceptionally well against the Raiders so far in his young career as he averages 306 passing yards per game while throwing 2.6 touchdowns per meeting. In their most recent game, Mahomes recorded 33 DK points as he threw for 340 passing yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. The Chiefs offense struggled in the second half as the Raiders generated a lot of pressure up front which forced Mahomes to abandon the deep shots downfield and look for shorter passing options. If the Chiefs' offensive line can hold their blocks, Mahomes could have a big day as the deep shots will be there. The Raiders defense has basically not practiced all week long as several of their starters were placed on the COVID list but should be
The Raiders were able to pull out the Week 5 win partly due to the play of Derek Carr. Carr outplayed Mahomes as he threw for 347 passing yards and three touchdowns while also throwing one interception but this was a big-time statement game for Carr and the rest of the Raiders' offense. They are a run-first offense but in this game, they were able to hit several big plays downfield which kept the Chiefs Defense honest from not loading up the box. Carr has had a very up and down career against the Chiefs as he has had much better success when facing them at home as opposed to facing them on the road. He averages 214 passing yards per game and has thrown seven passing touchdowns and eight interceptions when playing in Kansas City but averages 263 passing yards with 11 passing touchdowns and only six interceptions when facing them at home.
Analysis: Mahomes is the safer quarterback play in this matchup but both are viable in all formats. Carr has played better when the game is not in KC and with Mahomes being on this slate as well, Carr will carry much lower ownership in the captain spot which could be a good spot to go to in tournament lineups.
DFS Running Backs
The running game will be extremely important to both offenses and the team that can get the ground game working in their favor could end up pulling out the win. The Chiefs acquired Le'Veon Bell shortly after their lone loss to the Raiders as they wanted to beef up their ground attack, especially inside of the red zone. Chiefs rookie starter Clyde Edwards-Helaire missed practice this week with an illness but should likely be able to go. Even if healthy, CEH has seen reduced snaps over the last week and has only had 19 total rushing attempts over his last three games. Edwards-Helaire is still involved in the passing game as he is averaging four targets per game over his last three games played but it is obvious that this is more of a running back by committee approach with Bell now in the mix. In the week 5 matchup against the Raiders, Edwards-Helaire racked up 40 yards on 10 carries as the Chiefs fell behind in the second-half and were forced to abandon the run. While the Chiefs are known for their big passing plays, the Raiders are allowing teams to average 112 yards per game on the ground which ranks 13th in the league. It is a solid matchup for the Chiefs running back tandem and if they can get the ball moving on the ground early, it could really open up things downfield for their receivers.
The bread and butter for the Raiders' offense is the running game. Even though they have been playing behind a makeshift offensive line for half of the season, they're still getting a solid push upfront which is creating running lanes for both Josh Jacobs and Devontae Booker. The Raiders running back duo is coming off of a monster game where they combined for over 40 rushing attempts, 193 rushing yards, and four rushing touchdowns against the Denver Broncos and this is the true identity of this Las Vegas offense. In their week 5 victory over Kansas City, Jacobs had 23 rushing attempts for 77 yards but was also able to find the end zone twice. The Raiders have increased Bookers playing time as he has seen more snaps but Jacobs is still the main bell-cow back in this offense. Jalen Richard is still involved in the passing game as he fills the scat-back type of role but with the emergence of Booker as the true back-up, Richard will mostly get time in passing situations.
Analysis: Jacobs looks to be the safest back selection and is viable in all formats. Bell and CEH look to be splitting time with Bell being more of the red zone back so he could see a slight increase in his rushing attempts. Booker is a cheaper tournament option as he will see 7-10 carries and will occasionally get involved in the passing game as well. Richard is a punt option in tournaments that could have upside should the Raiders fall behind and are forced to become one-dimensional.
DFS Wide Receivers
Both teams feature speedsters at the receiving position and if this game is like the one we saw earlier this year, wide receivers could make or break the slate. The Chiefs have arguably the most electric receiving weapon in Tyreek Hill who is a crafty route runner that has blazing speed that can get behind secondaries. In eight career games against the Raiders, Hill is averaging four catches per game for 66 yards and has three receiving touchdowns. He is also used in the run game against them as he has racked up two rushing touchdowns in that eight-game span as well. Sammy Watkins looks to be out for this game which is a sizeable loss for the Chiefs but they look to get another speedster back in Mecole Hardman who is coming off of the reserve/COVID-19 list. While Hardman isn't a primary target like Hill or Watkins, he does get his looks and serves as a great value play on this slate. Another receiver that could be looked at in the red zone is Demarcus Robinson. Robinson is one of the larger receiving targets for the Chiefs and with no Watkins, he could be called upon when the Chiefs get into the red zone.
The Raiders receiving corps operates a tad differently than most in the league. With the run game being the focal point of the offense and Darren Waller being the primary receiving target, the receivers for the Raiders don't see quite the volume that one would hope. The slot machine, Hunter Renfrow, actually leads the receiving group in targets (39) and holds the largest target share percentage of all Raiders receivers (13.8%). Nelson Agholor has been a great addition to this Raiders offense as his speed has taken the top off of defenses and looks to be a compliment to the other speedster in Henry Ruggs III. Ruggs is still getting his timing down with Carr but they were able to connect on a big touchdown pass earlier on in the season against the Chiefs so hopefully, we can see their connection hit on another big play in this game.
Analysis: Hill is the most consistent receiver on the slate and would be a great candidate for all formats. with Watkins being out, Hardman slides in to be a great value play while Robinson should be used in tournaments. Renfrow sees the most targets in the Raiders offense and carries the best floor while Agholor and Ruggs III are the big-time play makers that offer lower floors but higher ceilings.
DFS Tight Ends
This matchup features a top tier tight end battle in both Travis Kelce and Darren Waller and both of them make for great plays for all formats. Travis Kelce has been a thorn in the side of the Raiders throughout his career as he has played 13 career games against them and has averaged 5.2 catches and 73.3 receiving yards per game. In the Chiefs' Week 5 loss to the Raiders, Kelce hauled in eight receptions on 12 targets for 108 receiving yards and a touchdown which only confirms the fact that the Raiders struggle to contain Kelce. On the flip side of this game, Darren Waller is the premier tight end target for the Raiders and he himself gives defenses headaches as well. Waller hauled in five catches on seven targets earlier this season against the Chiefs and is averaging five catches and 58.5 yards per game against the Chiefs throughout his career. The interesting thing about both of these tight ends is that they both carry the highest target share on their respective teams so they should be viewed as the top receiving options going into this game.
Analysis: Both tight ends are great plays as they are main targets in their team's offense. Rolling them in the same line could be an optimal play in tournaments while getting one of them in your cash line is a must.
DFS Defense/Special Teams
When these two teams faced off in week 5, a combined 72 points were scored and with another highly projected scoring total for this matchup, it is best to once again fade both defenses. Both quarterbacks threw for over 300 yards during their Week 5 matchup and with this game being indoors, we could see a similar outcome. This game also features some really talented kickers as Harrison Butker and Daniel Carlson are both in play. Both kickers are averaging above eight DK points per game and both carry a kicking percentage above 85%. With the game being indoors, the weather will not be a factor which bodes well for both special teams.
Analysis: It is best to fade both defenses in all formats due to the back and forth nature of this matchup. Both kickers are in play and could be used as salary saving options for your cash game lineups.
Good luck, RotoBallers, and remember to mix it up and don't be afraid to be different in these large field GPPs!
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