ATC Projections - Overvalued and Undervalued Hitters for 2022

The industry-leading ATC Projections are live for the 2022 fantasy baseball season. That means it's time to dive into the numbers to see what the fantasy takeaway is for key players. As Ariel Cohen himself explained in a recent breakdown of risk analysis using ATC, projections aren't meant to be viewed as exact predictions. They […]

Francisco Lindor: 2022 Fantasy Baseball Bust?

The New York Mets finished the 2021 campaign with a 77-85 record overall, which was a very disappointing outcome after an active offseason. The third-place finish and missing the postseason was a shock to many seeing as they entered with a strong pitching staff and had signed Francisco Lindor to a massive 10-year, $341 million […]

Prospects To Ditch In Dynasty

The dynasty format requires an owner to consider both the immediate and future implications of draft picks, trades, and waiver wire moves. Evaluating a player’s present and long-term future makes dynasty much more strategic, and unfortunately, much less forgiving given than redraft formats. The decision to cut loose a prospect for another prospect, a major […]

Failure to Launch: Decreasing Launch Angles and Home Runs for Fantasy Baseball

Once the toast of advanced stats in the baseball universe, average launch angle’s prominence as a performance predictor has taken a step back to other power-focused metrics such as barrel rate and max exit velocity. Perhaps this is because the “launch angle revolution” from a few years ago turned out to be more of a […]

AL Outfielders Set to Bust for Fantasy Baseball

In previous seasons, the outfield position has been one of the deepest positions to find top-end talent as well as deeper talent. In 2022, this appears to be the case again as the top-250 players based on ADP are littered with talent at the position. That being said, there are several land mines sprinkled throughout […]

Infielder Busts Who'll Keep Junking it Up - Fantasy Baseball Players To Avoid?

When it comes to busts, there are two types of fantasy managers. The type who carries the wounds of drafting the bust with them always and never picks the player again, and the type who sees once-reliable players underperform and gleefully scrutinize the player's numbers, hoping to find value in players discarded. The latter approach […]

Biggest Brl/BBE% Fallers - Hitters

Welcome to part two of my pre-season series on 2021 barrel rate risers and fallers. In the first part, I looked at the players who showed the biggest barrel rate improvement in 2021 and broke down whether or not we should believe that success will carry over into 2022. In this article, I'll look at […]

K-BB% Fallers for Fantasy Baseball - Starting Pitchers to Watch in 2022

We opened up this two-part series in this post, where we went over the K-BB gainers in 2021. Now, it's time to look at the other side of the coin and some of the most notable fallers. In the first part, I reviewed why I believe this statistic to be the most important metric to […]

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - End of Season Review

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Every week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. I have covered both Statcast and Fangraphs metrics to help identify hidden value as well as sell-high candidates. With […]

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 27

We made it! The final week of the regular season is upon us and hopefully, most of you are either competing for a fantasy title or have secured one already. Those of you still battling it out have one last chance for glory so we'll continue to look at some players droppable and some on […]

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - SIERA For Week 26

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. As the season winds down, I'll revisit one of my favorite metrics: SIERA.  SIERA is a great metric […]

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 26

Welcome back to The Cut List, the penultimate one of the season. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers might be considering cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. Normally, we cover players who are worth monitoring for replacing and someone on the hot seat who is worth […]

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Pitch Run Values For Week 25

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This week I will focus on a stat that describes how particular pitches have performed overall: run value. Run value […]

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 25

Welcome back to The Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers might be considering cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. Normally, we cover players who are worth monitoring for replacing and someone on the hot seat who is worth holding on to... for now. With […]

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - wOBA For Week 24

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! To those of you who have advanced to the fantasy playoffs or have locked up a spot, congratulations! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This […]

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 24

Welcome back to The Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers might be considering cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who […]

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Strikeout Rate For Week 23

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This week I will focus on another broader stat that can has a direct influence on a pitcher's fantasy value: […]

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 23

Welcome back to The Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers might be considering cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who […]

Recent Velocity Decliners - Arms To Abandon

We are about to turn the calendar to September, which means that a lot of the league's starting pitchers have gone through a five-month slog putting a ton of work on their throwing arms. This was possibly even a tougher challenge in 2021 after the shortened 2020 season severely reduced the requested workloads that these […]

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - WHIP For Week 22

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This week I will focus on a broader stat that can influence other aspects of a pitcher's game: walks and […]

Statcast Hitter Leaderboard - Second-Half xBA

As we revisit expected statistics such as xBA, it's only logical to focus on recent performance in the second half. In this week's column, I will evaluate the xBA leaderboard since the All-Star break, using 30 plate appearances as a minimum. Rather than run down the entire leaderboard, we'll skip over the obvious names and […]

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 22

Welcome back to The Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers might be considering cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who […]

Statcast Hitter Leaderboard - Second-Half Exit Velocity

We're a month removed from the All-Star break so it's time to narrow our focus on second-half stats. In other words, it's time to look the players on your roster in the eye and ask, "What have you done for me lately?" They won't respond, but it's a good mental exercise for you to practice. […]

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Barrels/Batted-Ball Event For Week 21

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This week I will focus on the rate of barrels per batted-ball event a pitcher allows (Brls/BBE %). Barrels are […]

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 21

Welcome back to The Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers might be considering cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who […]

Statcast Hitter Leaderboard - Launch Angle

One of the most basic components of Statcast metrics is launch angle, which is incorporated in Sweet Spot% and Barrel rate among other things. While launch angle alone doesn't tell the entire tale of a batted ball, much less an entire season's worth of offensive stats, it can serve as an entry point to a […]

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - wOBA-xwOBA Difference For Week 20

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This week I will focus on the difference between pitchers' weighted on-base average (wOBA) and expected wOBA (xwOBA). wOBA is […]

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 20

Welcome back to The Cut List. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers might be considering cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who […]

Fantasy Trade Deadline Advice - The Bigger Picture

The MLB trade deadline came and went like a category five hurricane (or typhoon, for those on the other side of the Pacific). We are still picking up the pieces, trying to make sense of what is left in the aftermath. This year, the rich got richer in L.A. and New York while non-contenders like […]