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Rick Lucks - RotoBaller

647 articles

Rick Lucks is a fantasy baseball analyst and writer at RotoBaller, a multi-award-winning fantasy sports media company company. He joined RotoBaller in 2015 and provides fantasy baseball analysis while also contributing across a variety of topics as a freelance contributor. His love for the game dates back to 1999, when he was introduced to baseball through the SNES title Ken Griffey Jr.’s Winning Run and the MLB Showdown trading card game released by Wizards of the Coast. Rick’s interest in fantasy baseball began when he started reading fantasy baseball magazines long before he was old enough to participate in leagues himself. Always a stickler for the rules, he waited until he turned 21 in 2009 to begin playing, winning his first league that same season despite unreliable internet access disrupting the final portion of his draft. Since then, Rick has developed a highly analytical approach to the game, maintaining a fantasy journal to track draft decisions, trades, waiver moves, opposing manager tendencies, and statistical targets to improve his process each season. Rick’s writing reflects that same analytical mindset, focusing on thoughtful research and strategic insights designed to help fantasy managers gain an edge over the competition.

Articles

Oneil Cruz - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Prospects

What Is Exit Velocity (EV)? Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball (2025)

Welcome, RotoBallers, to our overview of exit velocity (EV) for hitters. This article is a deeper dive into EV, and is part of our ongoing series "Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball." In this article, we'll explore how EV can be used to predict BABIP and HR/FB using simple terminology anyone can understand. We'll also look […]


Colton Cowser - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Interpreting Minor League Stats (MiLB) for Fantasy Baseball Analysis (2025)

Welcome RotoBallers to our overview of minor league (MiLB) statistics. This article is a deeper dive into MiLB stats and is part of our ongoing series "Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball." In this article, we'll explore the predictive power of numbers on the farm, including how to deal with small MiLB sample sizes and when […]


Xavier Edwards - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

10 Fantasy Baseball Bold Predictions - Rick Lucks' 2025 Picks

Welcome back RotoBallers to another edition from our yearly Bold Predictions series from the MLB team. It's one of the most exciting times of the fantasy baseball calendar: bold prediction season! As a reminder, bold predictions aren't supposed to be likely outcomes but long shots with a purpose. These predictions, in particular, all do one […]


Brenton Doyle - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Ballpark Factors: Sabermetrics Glossary for Fantasy Baseball (2025)

Welcome RotoBallers to our overview of ballpark factors. This article is a deeper dive into ballpark factors and is part of our ongoing series "Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball." In this article, we'll explore how unique MLB parks influence a player's performance for fantasy purposes. Most people associate ballpark factors with home runs, but we'll […]


Jackson Chourio - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Prospects

How Important Is Batting Order? Sabermetrics Glossary for Fantasy Baseball (2025)

Welcome RotoBallers to our overview of batting order. This article is a deeper dive into batting order, and is part of our ongoing series "Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball." In this article, we'll quantify the differences between lineup spots for fantasy purposes. Along the way, we'll clearly and concisely answer questions like "How many plate […]


Garrett Crochet - Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups, Closers and Saves

What Is Pitch Info? Sabermetrics Glossary for Fantasy Baseball (2025)

Welcome RotoBallers to our overview of Pitch Info. This article is a deeper dive into Pitch Info and is part of our ongoing series "Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball." In this article, we'll look at where to find information on individual pitches in a hurler's repertoire. Potential applications include evaluating velocity spikes and pitch mix […]


Ketel Marte - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB injury News

What Is Pull%? Sabermetrics Glossary for Fantasy Baseball (2025)

Welcome RotoBallers to our overview of Pull%. This article is a deeper dive into Pull% and is part of our ongoing series "Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball." In this article, we'll explore how Pull% works including the benefits of pulling fly balls and the downsides of pulling grounders using easy language anybody can understand. We'll […]


Tanner Bibee - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Prospects

What Is BABIP (for Pitchers)? Sabermetrics Glossary for Fantasy Baseball (2025)

Welcome RotoBallers to our overview of BABIP (for pitchers). This article is a deeper dive into pitcher BABIP, and is part of our ongoing series "Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball." In this article, we'll explain what pitchers can do to control their BABIP and explore how a club's defenders may influence BABIPs allowed using easily […]


Kyle Hendricks - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

What are FIP and xFIP? Sabermetrics Glossary for Fantasy Baseball (2025)

Welcome RotoBallers to our overview of FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) and xFIP (expected Fielding Independent Pitching). This article is a deeper dive into FIP/xFIP and is part of our ongoing series "Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball." In this article, we'll explore how to separate a pitcher's performance from his supporting cast and luck using metrics […]


Christopher Morel - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

What is Plate Discipline (SwStr% and O-Swing%)? Sabermetrics Glossary for Fantasy Baseball (2025)

Welcome, RotoBallers, to our overview of plate discipline. This article is a deeper dive into plate discipline, and is part of our ongoing series "Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball." In this article, we'll look at how to predict K% and BB% using advanced plate discipline stats such as swinging strike percentage (SwStr%) and chase rate […]


Shohei Ohtani - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Glossary Of Key Stats to Predict Performance (2025)

Hello, fellow RotoBallers! Sabermetrics have become an integral tool for fantasy baseball draft prep, but a concise resource for understanding the basics can be difficult to find. Today's article is an initial overview of sabermetrics and key stats for fantasy baseball -- we will also be going through some of the individual stats below, and […]


Luis Arraez - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

What is Batted Ball Distribution? Sabermetrics Glossary for Fantasy Baseball (2025)

Welcome, RotoBallers, to our overview of batted ball distribution, or a batter's rates of grounders (GB%), flies (FB%), and line drives (LD%). This article is a deeper dive into batted ball distribution, and is part of our ongoing series "Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball." In this article, we'll explain the differences between grounders, flies, and […]


Aaron Judge - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

What is HR/FB Rate? Sabermetrics Glossary for Fantasy Baseball (2025)

Welcome Rotoballers to our overview of HR/FB (home run to fly ball ratio). This article is a deeper dive into HR/FB, and is part of our ongoing series "Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball." In this article, we'll explain why HR/FB is important and how short-term spikes generally aren't predictive of power breakouts in layman's terms […]


Bobby Witt Jr. - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

What is BABIP (for Hitters)? Sabermetrics Glossary for Fantasy Baseball (2025)

Welcome RotoBallers to our overview of BABIP (batting average on balls in play) for hitters. This article is a deeper dive into BABIP for batters, and is part of our ongoing series "Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball". In this article we'll explain what BABIP is, specifically for hitters, and provide a definition that is hopefully […]


Seth Lugo - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Rick Lucks' 2024 Fantasy Baseball Bold Predictions Revisited

Doesn't March feel like forever ago? Now that the 2024 fantasy baseball season is in the books, some of what we were thinking seems ridiculous in hindsight. I joined several of my Rotoballer colleagues in making bold predictions before the 2024 campaign, and now it's time to see how they panned out. Spoiler alert: there […]


Spencer Schwellenbach - Fantasy Baseball Prospects, Draft Sleepers, MLB Rookie Rankings

Champ or Chump: Luisangel Acuna and Spencer Schwellenbach Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

We're in the fantasy baseball season's final week. It's easy to assume your waiver wire gems will keep performing well, but this isn't always the case. Luisangel Acuna is off to a hot start with the Mets, but he may lose his starting job with the imminent return of Francisco Lindor. The Braves don't have […]


Tylor Megill fantasy baseball rankings waiver wire pickups draft sleepers

Champ or Chump: Tylor Megill and JJ Bleday Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

We're down to the final two weeks of the fantasy baseball season. If your standings are close (or you're in the playoffs of a H2H league), any decision could make or break your year. You should do your homework for the best chance at success, but don't beat yourself up if things go awry. Remember, […]


fantasy baseball prospects MLB prospects rookies call-ups

Champ or Chump: Rhett Lowder Fantasy Baseball Outlook

Have you heard? A dominant college pitcher was taken in the 2023 Draft's first round. Scouts loved his stuff and control, and he was expected to advance quickly. He debuted in the NL Central this season, and his career is off to a solid start with an ERA of 0.87. That sounds like we're talking […]


Champ or Chump: Kyle Manzardo and David Peterson Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

The calendar flipped to September, so it's crunch time in fantasy baseball. Choosing the wrong stream or rostering an unproductive player could make the difference between winning or losing your league. If you need a bat, Kyle Manzardo possesses solid skills for the stretch run. However, he may be the wrong fit depending on your […]


Dylan Crews - Fantasy Baseball Prospects, Draft Sleepers, MLB Rookies Rankings

Champ or Chump: Connor Norby and Dylan Crews Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

Why do people love lists so much? MLB.com ranks the top 30 prospects in every organization plus an overall top 100, making it sound like everyone is a huge prospect. Most prospect lists are also agnostic of time, making it difficult to know if someone is expected to be great right away or struggle for […]


Junior Caminero - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Prospects

Champ or Chump: Jace Jung and Junior Caminero Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

Traditionally, teams wait until September to call up promising rookies. September rosters no longer expand to 3,000 players per team, so clubs will take the plunge earlier if they think a prospect could benefit from big league time. Two teams recently made this decision. Jace Jung, younger brother of Texas' Josh Jung, and the No. […]


Austin Wells - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, MLB News

Champ or Chump: Victor Robles and Austin Wells Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

If you sort your waiver wire by whatever stat you're looking for, the results will be bleak right now. Everybody searches waivers that way, and your rivals have likely picked it clean. This doesn't mean that waivers are a barren wasteland, just that you need to approach it a little more creatively. One effective approach […]


Coby Mayo - Fantasy Baseball Prospects, Draft Sleepers, MLB Rookies

Champ or Chump: Lucas Erceg and Coby Mayo Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

MLB's trade deadline was a week ago today. Roles are still unsettled, and talented players will receive their first opportunity. This will probably be the last chance for fantasy managers to add impact talent off waivers until September call-ups. Lucas Erceg was traded from the A's to the Royals, and he doesn't have a fantasy-friendly […]


Champ or Chump: Isaac Paredes, Randy Arozarena, and Jazz Chisolm Jr. Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

It's trade deadline day, and fantasy managers are scrambling to keep up with all the moves. A.J. Puk and Hunter Harvey were once top saves specs, but both were traded before "the guy" on their former clubs. That makes them Chumps. Similarly, Jason Adam and Carlos Estevez enter situations where they'll get fewer saves than […]


Edouard Julien - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Prospects, Draft Sleepers

Champ or Chump: Nacho Alvarez and Edouard Julien Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

Injuries are unavoidable in professional sports, and fantasy managers are accustomed to scrambling for a replacement when a major player goes down. If there's a bright side, injuries often open up opportunities for intriguing players. For instance, Ozzie Albies is expected to miss at least eight weeks with a wrist injury. The Braves are calling […]


Champ or Chump: Willi Castro and Jurickson Profar Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

Nothing is better than seeing one of your sleeper picks named to a spot in the All-Star Game. Whether you're rewarded for your preseason draft prep or waiver wire savviness, it's confirmation that you're doing something right. Of course, first-half All-Stars can turn into second-half disappointments. Willi Castro might be an All-Star, but there's an […]


Jake Irvin - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Champ or Chump: Brooks Lee and Jake Irvin Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

With the All-Star Game and MLB trade deadline rapidly approaching, now is the ideal time for fantasy managers to look at player performances. Importantly, surface stats rarely tell the whole story. For instance, Brooks Lee is a 23-year-old top prospect hitting .474/.476/.684 with a homer in his first 21 PAs for Minnesota. His peripherals suggest […]


James Wood - Fantasy Baseball Prospects, Draft Sleepers, MLB Rankings

Champ or Chump: James Wood Fantasy Baseball Outlook

Once again, a huge prospect made his MLB debut. James Wood, 21, is the No. 3 prospect in the game per FanGraphs and MLB.com, and his tools are comparable to Elly De La Cruz. He has crushed MiLB pitching, combining an advanced plate approach with eye-popping exit velocity numbers. Of course, many highly-touted rookies have […]


Ben Rice - Fantasy Baseball Prospects, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Champ or Chump: Spencer Horwitz and Ben Rice Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

Fantasy managers in on-base percentage or points formats are in luck. Two of the most interesting names broadly available on waivers, Spencer Horwitz and Ben Rice, have plate discipline as their carrying skills. Both offer multipositional eligibility and are off to hot starts. Both are also relative unknowns in fantasy circles, so managers probably don't […]


Heliot Ramos - Fantasy Baseball Prospects, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Champ or Chump: Jake McCarthy and Heliot Ramos Fantasy Baseball Outlooks

Mookie Betts fractured his left wrist on Sunday, leaving fantasy managers scrambling for a replacement. If you're using Betts in the middle infield, the preferred replacement is David Hamilton. Hamilton bizarrely lost playing time so the Red Sox could play center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela (four Outs Above Average) as a terrible shortstop (-6 OAA), but […]


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