🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Champ or Chump: Nick Delmonico & Lucas Giolito

It's easy to stop paying attention to the weaker teams this time of year, as the small portion of media coverage baseball gets with football starting up is devoted exclusively to the pennant races. The weakest teams are arguably the most interesting from a fantasy perspective, however, because they are trying to unearth the gems you are looking for to fuel your playoff run.

Consider the Chicago White Sox as an example. There is no way that they're playing in October, yet astute fantasy owners could receive a boost from unheralded Nick Delmonico for their playoff push. Likewise, Lucas Giolito was summoned to the major leagues with little fanfare to make his 2017 debut. Let's take a closer look at what the White Sox have to offer in fantasy.

Ownership rates provided are from Yahoo! leagues.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

The Fantasy Jury is Out

Nick Delmonico (OF, CWS) 20% Owned

Raise your hand if you knew that Delmonico was slashing .329/.434/.614 with six homers and a pair of swipes over the first 83 PAs of big league career. No lying! Nothing in his minor league track record suggests that Delmonico is actually this good, but he might be good enough to provide a little help.

Delmonico hit an uninspiring .262/.347/.421 with 12 HR and four steals in 429 PAs at Triple-A this season, a slight improvement over the .246/.320/.385 with seven dingers and two steals he put up over 295 PAs at the level last season. He earned last year's promotion by dominating Double-A to the tune of .338/.397/.676 with 10 HR and a steal over 159 PAs. The performance sticks out like a sore thumb on Delmonico's player page, but it is there and shouldn't be completely discounted.

A closer look at Delmonico's indicators should let us separate the talent from the luck. Let's start with his power stroke. Delmonico's FB% of 37% is solid, especially since fly balls tend to do well at Guaranteed Rate Field. His 29.5% FB% before his promotion creates some skepticism that he can maintain a rate this high over a larger sample, but his 44.1% FB% at Triple-A last season suggests that he knows how to lift the ball. With all of the fly ball revolution talk, Delmonico seems likely to continue hitting an above average number of airborne baseballs.

Sadly, his HR/FB is almost certainly due for significant regression. His 30% mark would set a professional best, surpassing the 27.8% rate he produced during his magical PAs at Double-A last season. His average airborne exit velocity thus far is nothing special (91.3 mph), nor does he produce Barrels at an above average clip (5.3% Brls/BBE). That said, there is one positive indicator here. He has pulled a ton of his fly balls so far (40%), a fact that should help him maximize his home park if he can keep it up. His HR/FB at Triple-A was 14%, suggesting moderate power with upside thanks to his home park.

His batting average is supported by excellent plate discipline and a .333 BABIP. A 14.5% BB% paired with a 15.7% K% is nothing short of elite, though the walk rate would be a professional best over a full season. Still, his underlying chase rate of 25.4% and emerging power support an elevated BB%. His favorable K% is similarly supported by a 17% rate at Triple-A before his call-up and an 8.9% SwStr%. Plate discipline metrics are among the fastest to stabilize, and this profile looks legitimate.

His BABIP is... interesting. He is popping out much less frequently than he did in the minors (10% IFFB% vs. 20.9% at Triple-A this year), so more pop-ups are likely moving forward. His .261 BABIP on ground balls is rooted in consistently weak contact, as evidenced by an average grounded exit velocity of just 77.8 mph. This could allow him to regularly make it to first base before an opposing fielder can get the ball and throw it over there. This "skill" could prove sustainable, though his .296 BABIP at Triple-A was just average.

He has pulled relatively few grounders so far (47.8%), so the shift should not rob him of too many hits. Delmonico's line drives have produced at a well below average rate (.545 BABIP) despite a reasonable LD% (20.4%), potentially giving Delmonico some room to mitigate regression elsewhere. Delmonico can probably run a .310 BABIP or so the rest of the way, a high enough figure to be a real batting average asset with his refusal to strikeout.

The White Sox have taken to hitting the 25-year old cleanup on most days, so he should produce as many counting stats as can reasonably be expected from the team. He also has a pair of appearances at first base this season, creating the possibility of dual positional eligibility in the future. Delmonico is not the All-Star caliber bat he's looked like so far, but he can still help a fantasy roster.

Verdict: Champ

Lucas Giolito (SP, CWS) 21% Owned

Giolito was meh in his 2017 debut, going six innings and allowing six hits (three of which were homers) with only four strikeouts. Control has been a frequent problem for Giolito in the past, so it was nice to see him avoid walks. Still, the start wasn't quite what fantasy owners were hoping to see out of him.

The 23-year old has consistently posted strong seasons in the upper minors. His 4.48 ERA at Triple-A this year masked a much better 3.85 xFIP over 128 2/3 IP. His 24.3% K% was solid, though his 10.7% BB% was a little high. All of the traditional "luck" metrics were neutral (73.8% strand rate, 14.4% HR/FB) or worked against him (.312 BABIP), so there are no obvious reasons preventing Giolito from performing similarly in the major leagues.

Giolito actually figured out the minors a while ago. His first taste of Double-A in 2015 consisted of 47 1/3 IP of 3.80 ERA (3.37 xFIP) baseball, with very few homers allowed (4.4% HR/FB) and an inflated BABIP (.341). His 22.3% K% was mediocre, especially when paired with a 8.4% BB%. He repeated the favorable HR/FB (3.8%) in 71 IP at the level last year on his way to a 3.17 ERA and 3.69 xFIP. His BABIP was high again (.323) and his strand rate was a tad low (66.5%). His K% (23%) and BB% (10.9%) remained pedestrian, but the results were there to justify a promotion to Triple-A.

The Nationals exposed Giolito to Triple-A for 37.1 IP last season, over which he produced an excellent 2.17 ERA, still strong 2.51 xFIP, and average 14.3% HR/FB. His strand rate was high (82%), but he finally brought his BABIP under control (.295). Best of all, he finally produced the K% (26.9%) that his raw stuff always suggested he could while simultaneously cutting down his walk rate (6.7% BB%). This season could be seen as a step in the wrong direction after last season's numbers, but he still has enticing stuff. He approached 96 mph in the first inning of his MLB start, though lost velocity as the game wore on.

To date, Giolito's MLB performance pales in comparison to his minor league work. He has a 6.59 ERA (5.51 xFIP) over 27 1/3 career IP, with a subpar K% (12%) nearly equivalent to his BB% (9.6%). He has also struggled mightily with the long ball (32.3% career HR/FB), a rate that shouldn't be sustainable for anyone with the talent to reach the big leagues over a larger sample. In fact, Giolito actually excels at the one thing that should be able to control the power game: ground balls.

Giolito has posted FB% rates better than league average at every minor league stop. He had a 33.1% rate in his first taste of Double-A paired with a 26.7% IFFB% that made a quarter of them harmless. He didn't induce quite as many pop-ups when repeating the level last year (13.5% IFFB%), but allowed fewer fly balls to make up for it (26.8% FB%). His 21.9% FB% and 19% IFFB% were excellent in his first taste of Triple-A, and the elite pop-up rate returned this season (23.7% IFFB%) at the expense of a slightly higher FB% (33.8%).

He has a career 33.7% FB% at the MLB level, so this skill is translating. The pop-ups have disappeared (6.5% career IFFB%), but that should regress as he gains experience at the highest level. Giolito was not particularly susceptible to the long ball at Triple-A and prevented them entirely at Double-A, so this does not look like a contact quality issue. Giolito should have much better results when the ball starts staying in the yard.

This does not suggest that Giolito is a finished product. Guaranteed Rate Field is a terrible place to hope for HR/FB regression, and whatever strikeout pitch he relied on in the minors has eluded Pitch Info so far. His best offering is a change with a 14.3% SwStr%, but a low 31.3% chase rate prevents it from becoming a put away pitch. His heat sports a career Zone% of 55.6%, so he should be able to overcome the inflated BB% numbers that plagued him in the minors. He just needs to find a secondary pitch to complement it.

If you are in a tight ERA race or have a large enough lead to play very conservatively, Giolito isn't for you. He's a high upside lottery ticket who may be undervalued in certain circles right now. That has value for at least one roster in every league, so he gets a Champ tag.

Verdict: Champ

More Player Outlooks

 

Premium Tools & DFS Research

Get a free trial of our powerful MLB Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator, daily Matchup Ratings, expert DFS Lineups/Cheat Sheets, and more.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Philip Rivers

Will Start on Sunday Against the Seahawks
De'Von Achane

Expected to Play Monday Night
Rome Odunze

Bears Optimistic Rome Odunze Will Play in Week 15
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026
Cason Wallace

Off Injury Report Saturday
Keyonte George

Erupts for Career-High 39 Points Against Memphis
Bones Hyland

Exits Early With Knee Contusion
Isaiah Joe

To Miss Fourth Straight Game
Isaiah Hartenstein

Removed From Injury Report
Austin Reaves

To Be Re-Evaluated In One Week With Calf Strain
Logan O'Connor

Still Not Ready for Season Debut
Lukas Dostal

Activated From Injured Reserve
NJ

Arseni Gritsyuk Ruled Out for Weekend's Action
Connor Bedard

Ruled Out for Saturday
Zeev Buium

Canucks Acquire Zeev Buium From Wild
Marco Rossi

Moves to Vancouver
Quinn Hughes

Traded to WIld
Joel Embiid

Available Against Indiana
Ja Morant

Back on Friday Night
Rickard Rakell

Available Saturday
Tre Jones

is Returning on Friday
Coby White

Cleared for Action Versus Hornets
Jake Ferguson

Listed as Questionable for Week 15
Bo Horvat

Ruled Out for Saturday
Tre Johnson

to be Limited in Return on Friday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Could Return Monday
Geno Smith

Officially Ruled Out for Week 15
Victor Hedman

to Be Out Until February
Kenny Pickett

to Start in Week 15 Against Eagles
Moussa Diabaté

Moussa Diabate Available on Friday
Jared McCann

to Miss Three Weeks With Lower-Body Injury
Tyrese Maxey

Under the Weather on Friday
Josh Jacobs

Officially Questionable to Face the Broncos
Victor Wembanyama

Expected to Return on Saturday
Stuart Skinner

Shipped to Pittsburgh
Tristan Jarry

Oilers Acquire Tristan Jarry From Penguins
Anthony Edwards

Sidelined on Friday Evening
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Questionable for Week 15
CFB

Washington State Expected to Hire Kirby Moore as Next Head Coach
CFB

Kyle Whittingham Stepping Down as Utah Head Coach
T.J. Watt

Officially Ruled Out for Monday Night
Manel Kape

Set For UFC Vegas 112 Main Event
Davante Adams

to be Questionable, Expected to Play on Sunday
Brandon Royval

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 112
Rome Odunze

Questionable for Sunday
Kevin Vallejos

Set For His Third UFC Fight
Alvin Kamara

Ruled Out for Sunday
Giga Chikadze

In Dire Need Of Victory
Cesar Almeida

Set To Welcome Cezary Oleksiejczuk To The UFC
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Jayden Daniels

Not Cleared for Contact
T.J. Watt

Undergoes Surgery for Collapsed Lung
Maikel Garcia

Royals Agree on Five-Year Extension
Melquizael Costa

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Looks to Win Second Consecutive Fights
Marcus Buchecha

Looks To Bounce Back
Kennedy Nzechukwu

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 112
King Green

Returns At UFC Vegas 112
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Set To Open Up UFC Vegas 112 Main Card
Jake Ferguson

on Track to Play in Week 15
CFB

Sherrone Moore Charged with Home Invasion, Among Other Charges
Jayden Daniels

Cleared for Contact
Tee Higgins

Ruled Out Against Ravens
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ruled Out for Week 15, Expected Back This Year
Josh Jacobs

"Feeling Pretty Good," Will Practice on Friday
Daniel Gafford

Still Unlikely to Play Friday
Brady Cook

to Get Starting Nod for Jets in Week 15
Khris Middleton

Misses Second Straight Game
Collin Sexton

Sidelined Again Versus Bulls
Tee Higgins

Absent From Practice on Friday
Coby White

On Track To Suit Up Versus Charlotte
Tre Jones

Expected To Play Friday Vs. Hornets
Ayo Dosunmu

to Miss Friday's Game Vs. Hornets
CFB

Freddie Kitchens Fired from North Carolina Coaching Staff
Joel Kiviranta

Hurt in Thursday's Win
Lars Eller

Departs Early Versus Blue Jackets
Viktor Arvidsson

Makes Early Exit Against Jets
Bo Horvat

Suffers Lower-Body Injury in Thursday's Win
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Sustains Lower-Body Injury
Roope Hintz

Exits Loss With Injury
Logan Cooley

to Miss at Least Eight Weeks
CFB

Bryce Underwood Could Leave Michigan Without Buyout
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Padres Not Considering Trading Fernando Tatis Jr.
Tarik Skubal

Tigers Engaged in "Serious Talks" Around Trading Tarik Skubal at the Winter Meetings
CFB

Chris Brazzell II Declaring for NFL Draft
CFB

Fernando Mendoza Named AP College Football Player of the Year
Raisel Iglesias

to Remain the Braves Closer
Robert Suarez

Agrees on Three-Year Deal With Braves
CFB

Sherrone Moore Remains in Police Custody
CFB

Joe Klanderman Joining Baylor Coaching Staff
CFB

Kentucky Hiring Jay Bateman as Next Defensive Coordinator
Si Woo Kim

Closes 2025 With Strong Finish Among Putting Woes
Akshay Bhatia

Looks to Rebound in 2026 After Down Year Off the Tee
Brian Harman

2025 Season a Step Back Despite Spring Win
Sam Burns

' Elite Putting Headlines a Solid 2025 Season
Sepp Straka

Ends Stellar 2025 Campaign on a High Note
Robert MacIntyre

Closes Out a Steady 2025 Campaign
CFB

Chip Kelly Interviews for Georgia Tech Offensive Coordinator Job
CFB

Louisville Receiver Chris Bell has a Torn ACL
Min Woo Lee

Breaks Through to Win in Texas This Year
PGA

Alex Noren Wins Twice on European Tour This Year
Wyndham Clark

has Up-and-Down 2025 Golf Season
CFB

Michigan Fires Head Coach Sherrone Moore
Corey Conners

Comes Close to Winning Again in Very Good 2025
Justin Rose

Turns Back the Clock in 2025
CFB

Jim Knowles Expected to be Hired as Tennessee's Defensive Coordinator
Harris English

Enjoys Solid Finish at Hero World Challenge
CFB

Defensive Coordinator Jim Knowles Not Being Retained at Penn State
CFB

Indiana's Stephen Daley Done for Season After Post-Game Injury
Pete Alonso

Orioles Finalizing Five-Year Deal
Kyle Finnegan

Tigers, Kyle Finnegan Agree on Two-Year Deal
Bo Bichette

Red Sox Out on Bo Bichette For Now
Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies Extend Manager Rob Thomson Through 2027 Season
Michael King

the Mets' Top Rotation Target?
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Could Move Back to Leadoff Spot
CFB

Florida, Wisconsin Among Suitors for QB Transfer Kenny Minchey
CFB

Bryan Harsin, Justin Wilcox Candidates for Washington State Head Coach Job?
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Agrees to Deal With the Dodgers
Kyle Schwarber

Returning to Phillies on Five-Year Deal
CFB

Ole Miss Hiring John David Baker as Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Ty Howle the Top Target for Virginia Tech Offensive Coordinator Job
Shohei Ohtani

to be Used More as Traditional Starting Pitcher Next Year
Yordan Alvarez

to Become Full-Time DH in 2026?
Mason Miller

Padres Plan to Keep Mason Miller in the Bullpen
Ranger Suárez

Orioles Interested in Signing Ranger Suarez
Anthony Volpe

Yankees Don't Expect Anthony Volpe to be Ready in April
Gerrit Cole

Targeting a Return in May/June
Rory McIlroy

Ends 2025 as the Year's Most Unburdened Player
Aaron Rai

Needs to Figure Out Putting Woes This Offseason
Jordan Spieth

Plays Better on Paper in 2025 Than Results Show
PGA

Chris Gotterup Needs to Find Better Touch and Consistency This Offseason
Hideki Matsuyama

Ends 2025 Season With a Bookend Victory
Scottie Scheffler

Comes Up Just Shy of Hero World Challenge Victory
Merab Dvalishvili

Drops A Decision At UFC 323
Petr Yan

Reclaims Bantamweight Title
Alexandre Pantoja

Era Ends With Gruesome Injury
Joshua Van

Becomes Second-Youngest UFC Champion
Brandon Moreno

Suffers His First TKO Loss
Brandon Moreno

Tatsuro Taira Becomes First Fighter To Finish Brandon Moreno
Henry Cejudo

Payton Talbott Retires Henry Cejudo
Henry Cejudo

Retires After UFC 323 Loss
Jan Blachowicz

Bogdan Guskov Vs. Jan Blachowicz Ends In A Majority Draw
San Francisco Giants

Jeff Kent Elected to Baseball Hall of Fame
Ketel Marte

Red Sox Interested in Trading for Ketel Marte

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP