X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Way Too Early 2017 Breakouts - Wide Receivers

RotoBaller's Frankie Soler takes a look at early breakout candidates at the wide receiver position for the 2017 fantasy football season.

If you caught my last piece on breakout running backs, then you're just as starved as the rest of us.

Sometimes I think the weeks in between the Conference Championships and the Super Bowl are harder to get through than the dog days of late February. Our fantasy successes and disappointments are way too fresh in our mind so it's easy to get caught up in the hype of doing better next year.

That's why we're going to keep the off-season content coming early and often. As always, these 2017 breakout candidates are subject to change based on all the usual happenings over the spring. Still, these wide receivers are worth keeping your eye on as potential stars for next year's fantasy season.

Editor's Note: Explore RotoBaller’s Dynasty Fantasy Football hub for year-round dynasty rankings, trade tips, rookie analysis, and long-term player outlooks. Dominate your league with our sleepers, stash targets, and dynasty draft advice. Click here for Dynasty rankings and strategy.

 

Wide Receivers To Monitor for 2017

Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs

Let's get the most obvious name out of the way first. Tyreek Hill started turning heads in the second half of 2016 due to his explosiveness. He showed a ton of playmaking ability and quickly developed into a dangerous weapon for the Chiefs. Given that Kansas City doesn't really have many reliable weapons outside of Travis Kelce, Hill was a breath of fresh air in an inconsistent offense. In short, Hill was picked up off waivers and thrown into fantasy lineups with good reason.

Looking ahead to 2017, Hill is going to be one of the most talked about "sleepers" in all of fantasy. (There's a reason I put that word in quotes. I'll get to that in a second.) There's no question that he's a breakout candidate. In fact, I'd go so far as to say that he should be locked in as a weekly flex play with WR2 upside. He needs to be drafted as someone you intend to start every week. Think of him as a younger, more versatile DeSean Jackson. Throw in Hill's usage out of the backfield and you're looking at D-Jax with more touches. He's one big play away from helping you win each time he touches the ball. Playing the start/sit game with Hill is going to burn you since it's impossible to predict when he'll blow up.

The reason for putting "sleeper" in quotations is simple. Most owners interpret a sleeper as someone they take early, selecting him where they think he should be drafted. That's not what a sleeper is. A sleeper is someone you get at a discount because you expect him to exceed his ADP. Think Derek Carr in 2016. He didn't go higher than round 10 and outperformed his value tremendously. That's not going to happen with Tyreek Hill. He's going to go earlier than whatever he's ranked on whatever site you play on. A breakout does not equal a sleeper. The bottom line is if you want Tyreek Hill in 2017, you're going to have pony up at a higher price point for that breakout potential.

 

Sterling Shepard - (WR, NYG)

If Tyreek Hill is the most obvious name listed, Sterling Shepard isn't far behind him. Shepard's season long stat line of 65 receptions for 683 yards on 105 targets doesn't exactly jump off the page. What does warrant your attention, however, is that he was a touchdown machine for the Giants. He hauled in eight scores, just two behind Odell Beckham. For fantasy purposes, the Giants are a two-man show at wide receiver and Shepard is a big part of what they do offensively.

If you're looking for a name who can pad your weekly total by finding the end zone, Sterling Shepard is your guy in 2017. Yes, touchdowns can be fluky, but OBJ isn't going to catch them all. Besides, this is a solid rookie we're talking about here. Shepard has a legit shot at being a weekly WR2 as he was already in WR3/flex consideration in 2016. Look for him to improve during his sophomore year, making him a wideout worth owning.

 

J.J. Nelson - (WR, ARI)

Disclaimer: this is the one that is most likely to change due to questionable quarterback issues in Arizona.

J.J. Nelson is by far my favorite wide receiver on this list. Usually the odd man out in Arizona, the last three months have gone in Nelson's favor considerably. Between John Brown's health and performance issues, Michael Floyd getting cut, Nelson's late season breakout, and Larry Fitzgerald's retirement possibly coming after 2017, J.J. is looking at the biggest opportunity of his career. Nelson had a touchdown streak of four games throughout December with two other strong outings sprinkled in. It's a small sample size, no doubt, but we're projecting ahead more than we are looking backwards.

Even with Larry Fitzgerald announcing his return for one more year, Nelson has already earned himself the No. 2 gig.  Floyd is gone and Brown has regressed, leaving J.J. with no significant competition. His target share has nowhere to go buy up and he's already shown he can perform when given the chance.

 

Kevin White - (WR, CHI)

Let's call a spade a spade here and state that the Chicago Bears were dreadful in 2016. Outside of the emergence of Jordan Howard, there isn't much positivity on the offensive side of the ball. That being said, Kevin White is hoping to put together a healthy season in 2017 after his last two ended in injury.

In order to really consider White a breakout candidate we kind of have no choice but to ignore his injury history. He's going to be drafted fairly late compared to the rest of the names above so it's not like you'l be investing massive risk. Besides, it's February, so there's plenty of time to heal up. What makes White worthy of being on this list is that he's a talented receiver on a team with limited weapons. Throw in the potential departure of free agent Alshon Jeffery, and White has a fairly high ceiling. It's a risky play for sure, but that doesn't mean it won't be worth it. He's also going to come at a cheaper price than the names above him anyway.

There won't be much stat analysis or scheme talk on White because there are way too many unknowns in Chicago. We're approaching the "Way Too Early" pieces as if we're drafting today. White is definitely going to come at a discount, so the ratio of ADP to breakout potential swings in the latter's favor. Give me a guy who can be a playmaker for a team in desperate need of offensive weapons. Throw in the possibility that he's the high man on the totem pole should Jeffery leave and White is as good a choice as any other.

 

More Draft Targets and ADP Values


Check out RotoBaller's famous fantasy football draft sleepers and waiver wire pickups list, updated regularly!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Waived By Milwaukee
Darren Waller

Coming Out of Retirement to Play for Dolphins
Alexander Romanov

Islanders Retain Alexander Romanov on $50 Million Contract
Andrei Kuzmenko

Signs Up for One More Year with Kings
Morgan Geekie

Signs Long-Term Extension with Bruins
Ivan Provorov

Stays in Columbus on Seven-Year Deal
Alex Pietrangelo

Stepping Away From Golden Knights for Health Reasons
Matias Maccelli

Maple Leafs Bring in Matias Maccelli
Evan Bouchard

Inks $42 Million Contract with Oilers
Vladimir Tarasenko

Wild Acquire Vladimir Tarasenko From Detroit
Patrick Kane

Signs New One-Year Deal with Red Wings
Brad Marchand

Lands Six-Year Extension
Aaron Ekblad

Remains a Panther on Eight-Year Deal
Mitchell Marner

Heads to Vegas
Randy Arozarena

Homers Twice, Plates Four Monday
Shea Langeliers

Hits Three-Run Homer In Return From Injured List Monday
Wilyer Abreu

Belts Grand Slam and Hits Inside-the-Park Home Run
Philadelphia 76ers

Trendon Watford Lands in Philadelphia
New York Knicks

Jordan Clarkson Expected to Sign With Knicks
Zack Wheeler

Tosses Eight Shutout Innings, Punches Out 10
Santi Aldama

Remains with Grizzlies
Atlanta Hawks

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Lands in Atlanta
George Springer

Exits Early Monday With Neck Injury
Jalen Ramsey

Could Move Around in Pittsburgh
Los Angeles Clippers

Brook Lopez Strikes Deal With Clippers
Jonnu Smith

to be Used in Hybrid Role
Terry McLaurin

Commanders, Terry McLaurin Not Close on Contract Extension
Hunter Goodman

Likely Headed to Injured List
Chicago Bulls

Tre Jones Remaining in Chicago
Michael Mayer

Raiders Not Interested in Trading Michael Mayer
Houston Rockets

Dorian Finney-Smith Signing With Rockets
Trent Grisham

Exits With Hamstring Tightness
Atlanta Hawks

Caris LeVert Joining Pistons
Milwaukee Bucks

Kevin Porter Jr., Bucks Reach Agreement on a New Contract
Brooklyn Nets

D'Angelo Russell Heading to Dallas
Denver Nuggets

Bruce Brown Jr. Heading Back to Denver
Atlanta Hawks

Clint Capela Returning to Houston
Cameron Johnson

Traded to Denver
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Signs Massive Extension
Michael Porter Jr.

Traded to Brooklyn
Matt Chapman

Could Return for Start of Giants Homestand
Wyatt Langford

Expected to Return on Saturday
Yanquiel Fernández

Yanquiel Fernandez Called Up to Majors
Tyler Mahle

Dealing With Rotator-Cuff Strain
Brooklyn Nets

Ziaire Williams Expected to Return to Nets
Austin Wells

to Miss Next Two Games
Charlotte Hornets

Tre Mann Set to Become an Unrestricted Free Agent
Bo Bichette

Scratched With Sore Knee
Phoenix Suns

Cody Martin to Enter Free Agency
Los Angeles Clippers

Nicolas Batum Staying with Clippers
Jurickson Profar

to Return on Wednesday
Utah Jazz

Jazz Finalize Contract Buyout for Jordan Clarkson
Aldrich Potgieter

Wins Rocket Mortgage Classic
Thorbjorn Olesen

Finishes Tied for 41st at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Denny McCarthy

Finishes Tied For 12th at Travelers Championship
Chris Kirk

Finishes Tied For Second at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Michael Kim

Finishes Tied for 26th at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Max Homa

Misses Cut at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Lucas Glover

Finishes Tied For Ninth at Travelers Championship
PGA

Nico Echavarria Finishes Tied For Sixth at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Colby Thomas

Called Up From Triple-A
Shea Langeliers

A's Reinstate Shea Langeliers From Injured List
Pittsburgh Steelers

Rumors Still Swirling Around Potential T.J. Watt Trade
Bryce Harper

Activated and Starting on Monday
Ilia Topuria

Becomes The New Lightweight Champion
Charles Oliveira

Knocked Out At UFC 317
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Lands on Injured List With Fractured Ribs
Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
Kai Kara-France

Submitted At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
Tyler Boyd

Interested in Playing for Steelers
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Now Looking to Acquire a Tight End
Brandon Royval

Drops Decision
L'Jarius Sneed

Says he's Healthy
Renato Moicano

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Beneil Dariush

Gets Back In The Win Column
Felipe Lima

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Payton Talbott

Bounces Back
Minkah Fitzpatrick

Heading Back to Miami
Jonnu Smith

Shipped to Pittsburgh
Alex Bowman

Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
Erik Jones

Secures A Top-Five Finish After Adversity In Atlanta
Tyler Reddick

Collects A New Career-Best Finish At Atlanta
Jalen Ramsey

Steelers Acquiring Jalen Ramsey
Kerry Carpenter

Leaves Game with Apparent Hamstring Injury
Jonas Brodin

Expected to Miss Start of Next Season
TB

Conor Sheary Placed on Waivers for Contract Termination
Dante Fabbro

Stays with Blue Jackets on Four-Year Deal
Joel Hofer

Commits to Blues for Two More Years
Kevin Bahl

Signs Long-Term Extension with Flames
Oneil Cruz

Smacks Two Homers
Jordan Spence

Traded to Ottawa
Petr Mrazek

Heads to Anaheim
John Gibson

Red Wings Acquire John Gibson
Matthew Knies

Inks Six-Year Extension with Maple Leafs
Aaron Judge

Blasts Two Homers, Dealing With Back Issue
Chase Elliott

Ends Winless Skid With Atlanta Victory
Brad Keselowski

Falls Short of Atlanta Victory
NFL

NFL Won't Hold Supplemental Draft This Year
Damon Arnette

Getting Second Chance With Texans
Deommodore Lenoir

Arrested for Obstruction of Justice
Carson Hocevar

Recovers From Big One to Finish 10th at Atlanta
William Byron

Caught up in Atlanta Big One but Retains Points Lead
Denny Hamlin

Top In-Season Challenge Seed Denny Hamlin Eliminated in Lap 70 Crash
Ty Dillon

Bottom Seed Ty Dillon Upsets Denny Hamlin to Advance in In-Season Challenge
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Expected to Make Second-Year Jump
Jalin Hyatt

Looking to Flip the Script in 2025
Kyle Larson

Don't Expect Kyle Larson to Win First Drafting Track Race on Saturday
Christopher Bell

Unlikely to Complete Atlanta Sweep
Brad Keselowski

Seeks Another Clutch Win for Hail-Mary Playoff Bid
Chris Buescher

Unlikely to Lead Enough to Have Much DFS Value
Alex Bowman

Qualifies Best Among Non-Fords but Unlikely to Contend at Atlanta
Ryan Preece

Will Probably Run Better Than Usual at Atlanta
Austin Dillon

Consistently Mediocre at Atlanta
Ty Gibbs

Slightly Faster Lately but Unlikely to be a Factor at Atlanta
Erik Jones

a Low-Key Strong DFS Option
Noah Gragson

Could Have DFS Value as One of the Lowest-Qualifying Fords
Riley Herbst

Unlikely to Replicate February Atlanta Finish
Ty Dillon

Could Benefit from Kaulig Speed
Dylan Sampson

Being Used as a Receiver
Carson Schwesinger

Figures to be in Full-Time Role in 2025
Cedric Tillman

Should Have Full-Time Role
Bryce Young

Looking More Comfortable, Showing More Intensity
Charles Oliveira

Can Become A Two-Time Lightweight Champion
Ilia Topuria

A Favorite At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fourth Title Defense At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Brandon Royval

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Renato Moicano

Returns At UFC 317
Beneil Dariush

An Underdog At UFC 317
Payton Talbott

Looks To Bounce Back
Felipe Lima

Set To Open Up UFC 317 Main Card
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF