BALLER MOVE: Target in drafts ~pick 217
CURRENT ADP: ~228 overall
ANALYSIS: Mashing 31 home runs in 2023 across 117 games, Caminero posted elite exit velocities, reaching 111 mph on his 90th percentile exit velocity, which would rank in the top five among all hitters in baseball. The power is evident to all fields, and he can hit opposite-field home runs with the flick of his wrist. You could argue for a 70 grade on his power, and I would not be upset.
The contact skills are average as Caminero posted a contact rate north of 73 percent and a zone contact rate north of 80 percent. He is not going to be a .324 hitter like we saw in the minors, but he is capable of being a .270+ hitter consistently. The bat speed and barrel control allow Caminero to make adjustments on the fly in his swing and cover the zone well without expanding it too often.
Speed will not be a part of his game, and while he may give you a near zero in stolen bases, it is balanced out by the elite power and solid feel to hit. Caminero is not only the Rays' top prospect but also arguably the top prospect in all of baseball. He is a swing tweak away from putting up elite power seasons.
While the rumors are out there that Caminero will begin the year in Triple-A, it would be hard to keep him down with a strong spring training performance. Even if he does start in the minors, the Rays are not likely to keep him down long, especially with the prospect promotion incentive.
Junior Caminero took this breaking ball down and away and hit it where it was pitched, putting over the right field wall for a 💣. He controls the barrel through the zone so well and has easy power.#RaysUp pic.twitter.com/k92rnYylfK
— Chris Clegg (@RotoClegg) May 17, 2023
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