Read our matchups analysis, player breakdowns, and lineup recommendations for the matchup and set those winning lineups. Good luck RotoBallers!
Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos
Spread: Packers -1.0
Implied Total: Packers (23) vs. Broncos (22)
Pace: Packers (10th) vs. Broncos (18th)
Packers Off. DVOA: 19.4% Pass (11th), -20.3% Rush (27th)
Broncos Off. DVOA: 4.5% Pass (20th), -3.0% Rush (11th)
Packers Def. DVOA: 6.2% Pass (14th), 1.8% Rush (26th)
Broncos Def. DVOA: 48.3% Pass (32nd), 9.5% Rush (31st)
Matchups We Love
Aaron Jones (RB, GB)
The team held Jones out on Monday night prior to their bye to give him the extra rest. The hope was that he'd be good to go in Week 7. He's still on the injury report and practicing in a limited fashion, which gives me pause. The expectation seems to be that he'll play, but that may not equate to a full workload against the Broncos. Thankfully, the last word in that sentence was Broncos, who have been abysmal at stopping the run. Even on limited snaps, Jones would be a top-20 back. AJ Dillon may also be worth a look if we know Jones is limited entering Sunday.
UPDATE: Jones is listed as questionable for Sunday's game. It's a little surprising coming out of the bye week, but he still seems set to play. Dillon would be a top-24 back if he's out.
Christian Watson (WR, GB)
Two weeks ago, we saw Patrick Surtain II shut down Garrett Wilson. The Chiefs don't have a legit No. 1 receiver, so it's hard to draw a conclusion from last week. Watson ought to be the one who draws him in coverage, which is enough to push him outside the top 15, but the upside is still there. It does add some intrigue to Romeo Doubs and/or Jayden Reed. Doubs has operated as the No. 2 receiver or No. 1 when Watson was out, but the gap in production isn't all that large. Doubs has just 18 more yards and one more touchdown. They're both in the top 36 with the edge going to Doubs.
Luke Musgrave (TE, GB)
The other piece of this ensemble is Musgrave, who leads the team in yards after the catch (90) and sits second in receptions (18). His combination of talent as an outlet and downfield threat make him a breakout candidate as early as this week.
Love struggled against Las Vegas in Week 5 with three interceptions while completing just 53% of his passes. On the flip side, Denver has been roasted by opposing signal-callers on the season but looked formidable last week against Patrick Mahomes. It's enough to categorize Love as a boom-bust streamer with a wide range of outcomes.
The theme of things going from one end of the spectrum to the other continues here with Wilson. He was performing okay from an NFL perspective, and quite well for fantasy entering their Thursday night showdown with Kansas City. He somehow managed 95 passing yards on 22 attempts. Travis Kelce had more receiving yards than he did passing. That seems unfathomable. Nevertheless, it happened and it makes him hard to trust in a mediocre matchup.
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