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Over the last three weeks, in my articles at RotoBaller, I am 14-2-2. I am red hot now and want to keep the momentum rolling into today's article. We have a small slate today, so only two pitcher props stand out. We have three total props we will hammer today, so let's see if we can go a perfect 8-0 on bets this week.
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I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Thursday, June 15, 2023, in this article. I will continue to hone in on K props first, as they are the most lucrative, and we will follow that with some total base props. Let's look at some of the best MLB player props worth wagering on for today's games without further ado! Follow me on Twitter @CaseyW22 for more free betting and DFS advice.
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MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
Taj Bradley OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-134 FanDuel Sportsbook)
Taj Bradley will square off today against the red-hot Oakland Athletics. I will not lie to you guys when I tell you I'm a bit worried about the recent trend of how the A's are playing. If we look at the whole season, this is an elite matchup and line for Bradley. Bradley has a 3.22 SIERA, 31.7% K, and an 11.1% SwStr.
His opponent, the Oakland A's, entered today with the second-highest K% against right-hand pitching this season. They own a 25.3% K, 88 wRC+, .291 wOBA, and .349 SLG. If we sort it by the last 15 days since the A's have been tending upward, they own a 22.0% K against right-hand pitching. Even at those rates, Bradley to reach six strikeouts is manageable.
Shohei Ohtani UNDER 18.5 outs (-180 DraftKings Sportsbook)
I will admit that the -180 on this line is not ideal, but it is tough sledding for pitcher props today. Ohtani enters today's start with a 3.49 SIERA, 33.3% K, 13.7% SwStr, and 11.1% BB. Ohtani has gone over 18.5 outs in four of 13 starts this season. The Angels do not like pushing Ohtani, and there have been some talks about taming his innings down before the all-star break.
He will also face a daunted offense in the Texas Rangers. They have the second-best wRC+ in the big leagues against right-hand pitching with a 117 wRC+. They have a .341 wOBA and a .455 SLG. They will battle with Ohtani throughout this game and have traffic on the bases. This will force Ohtani's pitch count up, almost forcing him not to be able to last past 18.5 outs.
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MLB Hitter Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
SGP Andrew Benintendi + Yasmani Grandal to record a hit (+105 DraftKings SportsBook)
Over the last few weeks, I provided you with some hit parlays. Honestly, it's been a blast betting and has been very profitable. I will make this a constant theme in my articles for the rest of the season. I like giving you guys different looks on how to bet instead of writing up the everyday props like always. You can always take either of the two guys below for their total bases prop to get a better line.
The White Sox will square off tonight against the Los Angeles Dodgers and Michael Grove. Grove has a 4.40 SIERA, 34.1% hard hit, and a .305 BAA. Grove has been terrible against lefties this season. He has a .495 wOBA, .308 ISO, and a 43.8% hard hit. He also has a .375 BAA against the split, making left-handed bats the primary target for the White Sox tonight.
The White Sox have a heavily right-handed lineup, but two lefties sore to the top when sorting their leaders in batting average against right-handed pitchers. Grandal leads the White Sox, hitting .281 against right-hand pitching, and Benintendi is right behind him, hitting .266. Grandal has hits in five of his last ten games, including a three-hit performance last night. Benintendi has hits in seven of his previous ten games. With Grove on the mound, I expect both to get a knock tonight against this week's splits.
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